Last week, XAUUSD settled at $4964.62, up $69.18 or +1.41%Technical Setup: Support TighteningThis week, the wide support zone comes in at $4744.34 to $4427.82, just like last week. However, the uptrend line from the $3886.46 main bottom, moving at a rate of $43.06 per week, comes in at $4532.39. This creates a relatively tight support cluster at $4532.39 to $4427.82. Relatively tight that is, given the current elevated volatility.Pattern, Price, and Time Still IntactMarkets follow three elements, in my opin ...

Core Insights - Current mortgage rates are relatively low, with the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate at 5.95% and the 15-year fixed rate at 5.43%, marking significant milestones under 6% and 5.5% respectively [1][17] - Economic factors, including a disappointing job openings report, are contributing to the low rates, with potential increases expected if upcoming inflation data shows a slower rise [1] Current Mortgage Rates - The national average rates for various mortgage types are as follows: 30-year fixed at 5.95%, 20-year fixed at 5.99%, 15-year fixed at 5.43%, 5/1 ARM at 5.93%, and 7/1 ARM at 5.95% [5][17] - The average 30-year mortgage payment for a $300,000 loan at 5.95% would be approximately $1,789 monthly, resulting in $344,047 in interest over the loan's life [7] - For a 15-year mortgage at 5.43%, the monthly payment would increase to $2,440, with total interest paid being $139,222 [9] Adjustable Mortgage Rates - Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) typically start with lower rates than fixed rates but can increase after the initial period, such as the 5/1 ARM which remains fixed for the first five years [10][11] - Recent trends show that ARM rates can sometimes be similar to or higher than fixed rates, emphasizing the importance of comparing lenders and rates [12] Factors Influencing Mortgage Rates - Lenders offer the lowest rates to borrowers with higher down payments, excellent credit scores, and low debt-to-income ratios, suggesting that improving these factors can lead to better mortgage rates [13] - Options for reducing interest rates include paying for discount points at closing or utilizing temporary buydowns, which can lower initial payments [14][15] Future Rate Predictions - Forecasts indicate that the 30-year mortgage rate is expected to remain around 6.1% through 2026, with Fannie Mae predicting a similar rate near 6% by the end of the year [19]

Core Insights - Money market accounts (MMAs) are highlighted as a favorable option for storing cash due to their relatively high interest rates, liquidity, and flexibility [1] - MMAs typically offer better returns than traditional savings accounts and may include check-writing privileges and debit card access, making them suitable for long-term savings with easy access [2] Interest Rates Overview - Despite a general decline in rates over recent months, some MMAs still offer rates exceeding 4% APY [3] - Historical fluctuations in MMA rates are largely attributed to changes in the Federal Reserve's target interest rate [4] - Following the 2008 financial crisis, MMA rates were low, averaging between 0.10% to 0.50% due to the Fed's near-zero federal funds rate [5] - The COVID-19 pandemic prompted another drop in MMA rates as the Fed cut rates to combat economic fallout [6] - Starting in 2022, aggressive interest rate hikes by the Fed led to historically high deposit rates, with many MMAs offering rates of 4% or higher by late 2023 [7] - As of 2026, MMA rates remain high by historical standards but are on a downward trend following recent Fed rate cuts [8] Considerations for Choosing MMAs - When selecting a money market account, factors beyond interest rates, such as minimum balance requirements, fees, and withdrawal limits, should be considered [9] - Some MMAs may require a minimum balance of $5,000 or more to earn the highest advertised rates, and monthly maintenance fees can reduce interest earnings [10] - There are competitive MMAs available without balance requirements or fees, emphasizing the importance of comparing options [10] - It is crucial to ensure that the chosen account is insured by the FDIC or NCUA, which guarantees deposits up to $250,000 per institution, per depositor [11] Current Market Rates - The national average interest rate for money market accounts is currently 0.56%, while the best rates can reach around 4% APY, comparable to high-yield savings accounts [12] - For example, depositing $50,000 in a money market account with a 4.5% APY would yield approximately $2,303 in interest over one year [13] - Currently, no money market accounts offer 5% APY, but some high-yield savings accounts from online banks can exceed 4% [14]

Core Insights - Today's CD rates are significantly higher than the national average, with the Federal Reserve reducing its target interest rate three times in 2025, indicating a potential last opportunity to secure high rates with certificates of deposit [1] Group 1: Best CD Rates - As of February 9, 2026, the highest CD rate available is 4% APY, offered by Marcus by Goldman Sachs for a 1-year CD [2] - The article provides a comparison of the best CD rates from verified partners, highlighting competitive offers in the market [2] Group 2: National Average CD Rates - The national average CD rate for a 1-year term is 1.61% as of January 2026, which is significantly lower than the best available rates [3] - Current average CD rates are among the highest seen in nearly two decades, primarily due to the Federal Reserve's strategy to combat inflation by maintaining elevated interest rates [3] Group 3: Finding the Best CD Rates - To find the best CD rates, it is advisable to shop around and compare rates from various financial institutions, especially online banks that typically offer more competitive rates due to lower overhead costs [4] - It is important to check minimum deposit requirements, as higher rates may necessitate larger initial deposits [4] - Reviewing account terms and conditions is crucial, including early withdrawal penalties and auto-renewal policies, with some CDs offering no-penalty options for greater flexibility [4]

Market Overview - U.S. stock futures declined on Monday after a significant rebound on Friday, with major benchmark indices showing lower futures [1] - The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.22%, while the two-year bond was at 3.50%, indicating market expectations for interest rates [2] - The Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 experienced slight declines of -0.12%, -0.37%, -0.63%, and -0.33% respectively [2] Company Insights - FedEx Corp. rose by 0.47% following a consortium's announcement to acquire InPost for €7.8 billion ($9.254 billion), maintaining a strong price trend and value ranking [6] - ON Semiconductor Corp. fell by 1.38% as analysts anticipate quarterly earnings of 62 cents per share on revenue of $1.54 billion, while maintaining a moderate value ranking [7] - STMicroelectronics is noted to have a stronger price trend but a poor quality ranking according to Benzinga's Edge Stock Rankings [3] - Kroger maintains a strong price trend and solid quality ranking across all time frames [4] Sector Performance - The S&P 500's gains on Friday were led by industrials, energy, and information technology sectors, while consumer discretionary and communication services sectors closed lower [8] Economic Insights - Financial experts attribute the recent rally in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which closed above 50,000 for the first time, to cooling inflation and technical rebounds [9] - Analysts suggest that the S&P 500 may struggle to surpass the 7,000-point milestone without stronger contributions from the tech sector, particularly software [11] - Upcoming CPI data and labor market conditions are critical factors to watch for the year ahead, as noted by Allianz's Chief Economic Adviser [11]

Market Overview - U.S. stock futures declined on Monday after a significant rebound on Friday, with major benchmark indices showing lower futures [1] - The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.22%, while the two-year bond was at 3.50%, indicating market expectations for interest rates [2] - The Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 experienced slight declines of -0.12%, -0.37%, -0.63%, and -0.33% respectively [2] Company Insights - FedEx Corp. rose by 0.47% following a consortium's announcement to acquire InPost for €7.8 billion ($9.254 billion), maintaining a strong price trend and value ranking [6] - ON Semiconductor Corp. fell by 1.38% as analysts anticipate quarterly earnings of 62 cents per share on revenue of $1.54 billion, while maintaining a moderate value ranking [7] - STMicroelectronics is noted for a stronger price trend but has a poor quality ranking according to Benzinga's Edge Stock Rankings [3] - Kroger maintains a strong price trend and solid quality ranking across all time frames [4] Sector Performance - The S&P 500's gains on Friday were led by industrials, energy, and information technology sectors, while consumer discretionary and communication services sectors closed lower [8] Economic Insights - Financial experts attribute the recent rally in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which closed above 50,000 for the first time, to cooling inflation and technical rebounds [9] - Analysts suggest that the S&P 500 may struggle to surpass the 7,000-point milestone without stronger contributions from the tech sector, particularly software [11] - Upcoming CPI data and labor market conditions are critical factors to watch for the year ahead, as noted by Allianz's Chief Economic Adviser [11]

Group 1 - Prices tend to spike in January, with tariffs being a potential reason, but a more likely cause is suggested to be more esoteric factors [1]

Core Insights - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 50,000 for the first time, attributed to the administration's trade policies [1][2] - President Trump predicts the Dow will reach 100,000 by the end of his term, emphasizing his confidence in the market [3] Market Performance - The Dow Jones index rose 3.58% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 increased by 1.97% and the Nasdaq Composite index was up by 0.88% [8] - The ETF tracking the Dow Jones, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust, closed 2.48% higher at $501.03 [8] Economic Factors - Analysts noted that cooling inflation and technical rebounds were significant drivers of the recent market rally [3] - Median 1-year inflation expectations reached their lowest levels since early 2025, with expectations of potential Federal Reserve rate cuts later this year [4] - The rally is seen as a reaction to corporate strength rather than political factors, with large tech firms contributing positively to the economy [5] Technical Analysis - Achieving the 100,000 target for the Dow would require a sustained breakout from the technology sector, with the broader market facing resistance [6] - The S&P 500 may struggle to clear the 7,000-point milestone without stronger contributions from the tech sector, particularly software [6] Market Sentiment - The "Buy the Dip" mentality has helped avert a disorderly market process, but upcoming CPI data and labor market conditions remain critical for future performance [7]

Economic Outlook - The UK has underlying fundamentals that could make it an attractive investment destination, but political uncertainty raises questions about its medium-term sustainability [1] - The current political climate is affecting investor confidence and spending decisions, which could slow economic growth [2] Bank of England's Monetary Policy - The recent split vote within the Bank of England's committee indicates a divide on future policy direction, with some members leaning towards rate cuts sooner than expected [3][4] - The analysis from the Bank of England staff suggests that the supply side of the UK economy is performing better than anticipated, influencing the committee's decision-making [4] Wage Growth and Inflation - Wage growth is projected to decrease sustainably, with expectations of it reaching 3.2% by year-end, which aligns with the Bank of England's forecasts [8][11] - Inflation is expected to decline to the target of 2% by April, but the labor market's performance will be crucial in determining future monetary policy [8][9] Labor Market Dynamics - The unemployment rate is anticipated to rise to around 5.2% to 5.3%, and any significant increase beyond this could signal concerns for the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) [9] - The labor market's stability is critical, as any aggressive rise in redundancies could prompt a reassessment of the current economic outlook [9][10] GDP Expectations - The company forecasts GDP growth to be on the higher side, suggesting stronger underlying economic signals than previously thought [13]

Economic Data Insights - The January employment report on Wednesday at 8:30am will analyze nonfarm payrolls, unemployment rate, and average hourly earnings to assess labor market conditions and their impact on Fed policy [1][3] - The mid-week timing of the employment report creates unique dynamics, compressing the time for market adjustments before Friday's CPI release [3] Retail Sales and Consumer Spending - December retail sales data on Tuesday at 8:30am will provide insights into holiday shopping performance and consumer spending trends as 2026 begins [2][4] - The report will help determine if strong labor markets are translating into sustained consumer spending or if households are retrenching due to inflation pressures [4] Technology Sector Analysis - Earnings from Cisco (CSCO) on Wednesday and Arista Networks (ANET) on Thursday will provide insights into enterprise networking demand and data center investment amid questions about AI spending sustainability [5] - Cisco's results will focus on corporate IT budgets and cybersecurity product adoption, while Arista's earnings will assess trends in hyperscaler capital expenditures [5] Digital Platforms and Financial Technology - Earnings from Robinhood (HOOD) on Tuesday will provide insights into retail trading activity and cryptocurrency transaction volumes [6] - Results from Shopify (SHOP) and AppLovin (APP) will test the health of e-commerce platforms and mobile gaming advertising, respectively [7] Inflation and Market Reactions - The January CPI report on Friday at 8:30am will be critical for assessing inflation trends, particularly in energy prices, housing costs, and services inflation [8] - The timing of the CPI report following the employment data could lead to significant market volatility, especially in rate-sensitive sectors [8]