Core Insights - The Average True Range (ATR) is a key indicator for measuring market volatility, indicating potential breakout or consolidation periods [1][9]. - ATR does not predict market direction but is essential for traders to assess market conditions [9]. ATR Application - ATR can be found on Barchart tools by navigating to the "Technical Analysis" menu from any stock, ETF, or futures page [3]. - Multiple ATR periods are available, including 9-day, 14-day, 20-day, and 50-day, allowing traders to choose based on their trading strategy [4][7]. - Day traders typically use shorter ATRs (9-day), while swing traders may prefer 14- or 20-day ATRs, and long-term investors often focus on 50- or 100-day ATRs [7]. Market Signals - A decreasing ATR, as seen in the S&P 500 example, suggests that volatility is leaving the market, which can precede a breakout [8]. - Rising ATR indicates a high volatility environment, while a contracting ATR signals a quieter market [10]. Tools and Features - Barchart provides interactive charts where ATR can be added as an indicator, allowing for customization and overlay with other indicators [6][10]. - Combining ATR with the Earnings Calendar can help anticipate spikes in volatility [10].

Economic Overview - The economic calendar for September 15, 2025, is light, with the Empire Manufacturing data released at 8:30 AM ET, typically having a modest impact on the market [1] - The Treasury's 3-Month and 6-Month Bill Auction at 11:30 AM ET may cause minor yield adjustments but is not expected to have a major influence [1] Market Volatility - The week is anticipated to be volatile due to the FOMC rate decision, contract roll week, and triple witching on Friday, which could lead to significant market swings [2] - Traders are expected to position themselves for these events, potentially resulting in sharp market movements driven by anticipation or breaking news [2] SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) - SPY is currently at 658.00, a strong support level, with a target to rise to 658.50, a resistance level that has shown resilience [3] - If SPY surpasses 658.50, it may reach 659.29, with a top target of 660.99 [3] - If selling pressure emerges, bears could challenge 657.44, with further declines potentially reaching 654.41 and 652.86 [4] Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (QQQ) - QQQ is positioned at 587.00, a critical pivot point, with bulls targeting 587.50 as a firm intraday support [5] - If the upward trend continues, the next resistance level is 588.91, with a potential rise to 590.29 and a top target of 591.59 [5] - Should 587.00 falter, bears may target 586.15, with further declines possible down to 581.86 [6] Apple Inc. (AAPL) - AAPL is at 236.00, a resilient support level, with bulls aiming for 236.50 as the next resistance [7] - If momentum builds, AAPL could reach 237.13, with a top target of 238.76 [7] - If 236.00 weakens, bears may target 235.72, with further declines potentially reaching 231.36 [8] Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) - MSFT is grounded at 505.00, a notable support level, with bulls looking to advance to 505.50 [9] - If it climbs above 505.50, the stock could reach 506.57, with a daily peak target of 508.01 [9] - Should 505.00 slip, bears might test 504.10, with further pressure potentially dropping it to 498.89 [10] NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) - NVDA is situated at 175.00, a key level attracting trader interest, with bulls targeting 175.50 [11] - If the upward trend strengthens, NVDA could rise to 176.13, with a highest mark of 177.91 [11] - If 175.00 cannot hold, bears may aim for 174.92, with further declines potentially reaching 170.49 [12] Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) - GOOGL is fixed at 243.00, a support level with historical significance, with bulls planning to rise to 243.50 [13] - If it breaks through, the next target is 244.29, with strong buying potentially stretching to 245.42 [13] - If 243.00 softens, bears may hit 242.39, with further declines potentially reaching 239.55 [13] Meta Platforms Inc (META) - META is braced at 757.00, a solid base, with bulls targeting 757.59 as the next resistance [14] - If it holds, the next aim is 758.13, with robust buying potentially lingering near 759.59 [14] - If 757.00 wavers, bears might test 753.59, with further declines potentially reaching 749.13 [14] Tesla Inc. (TSLA) - TSLA is set at 426.00, a significant level for bullish moves, with bulls eager to push toward 426.50 [15] - If it breaks through 426.50, buyers might nudge it to 427.29, with a top target of 427.15 [15] - If 426.00 weakens, bears could test 424.44, with further declines potentially reaching 418.86 [16]

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Investment Strategy - The company employs a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares [1] - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, with a typical investment timeframe of 3-24 months [1] - The company targets stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Screening and Analysis - Fundamental analysis is utilized to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchased shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - Technical analysis is employed to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1]

Investment Strategy - The company employs a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares [1] - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, with a typical investment timeframe of 3-24 months [1] - The company targets stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Screening and Analysis - Fundamental analysis is utilized to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchased shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - Technical analysis is employed to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1]

Technical Analysis Tool Application - The parallel channel tool can identify potential price reversal areas by locating highs and lows [1] - This tool helps predict where the price might react [1] - Identifying reversal points using this tool, combined with other technical analysis, allows for tight risk management and high reward potential, potentially yielding 7-10x returns on the risk [3] Price Action Observation - Price movements often exhibit patterns, such as making its way with big candles [2] - External areas can act as flip zones, leading to expansive moves [2] - Specific areas can serve as reversal points before price retraces [2] Tool Limitations - The parallel channel tool should not be used in isolation [3] - It is more effective when combined with an understanding of trends [3]

Market Analysis & Predictions - Bitcoin is in a healthy uptrend, supported by a previous resistance-turned-support level on the daily chart [1] - A cup-and-handle pattern suggests potential further upward movement, targeting a previous high around the 0.080618 level [1] - The analyst uses New Moon and Full Moon cycles as a "mystical" indicator, noting past correlations with market movements and suggesting watching for potential highs around the next New Moon in 10 days [1] - Historical patterns of Bitcoin halving events suggest a potential peak around 520-540 days after the most recent halving in April 2024 [1] - The analyst expresses a neutral stance, viewing market volatility as an opportunity and suggesting potential shorting opportunities if Bitcoin reaches certain levels and exhibits specific price action [1][2] Trading Strategies & Risk Management - The analyst advises against blindly placing limit orders, instead recommending waiting for a breakout and pullback before entering a short position with a stop-loss above the high [2] - For Ethereum, the analyst suggests that if Bitcoin rallies, Ethereum is likely to follow, targeting a specific level; if both reach potential highs, any pullback could be a shorting opportunity [2] - The analyst mentions Bybit and Binance exchanges, highlighting potential fee discounts for users [2] Contrarian View & Long-Term Belief - The analyst acknowledges the "eternal bull market" narrative but cautions against complacency, emphasizing the importance of profiting from potential downturns [1] - The analyst believes Bitcoin will eventually reach $1 million USD, but is more concerned with how to profit during potential pullbacks [1]

Group 1 - The investor has a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a portfolio split of approximately 50%-50% [1] - The investment strategy involves buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, especially when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, primarily using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - The investor conducts professional background checks on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - The investment timeframe typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, indicating a medium-term investment horizon [1]

Group 1 - The investor has a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a portfolio split of approximately 50%-50% [1] - The investment strategy involves buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, especially when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, primarily using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - The investor conducts professional background checks on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - The investment timeframe typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, indicating a medium-term investment horizon [1]

Core Viewpoint - A notable shift in sentiment towards electric vehicles (EVs) is occurring on Wall Street, with Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) expected to experience a breakout in stock price due to a combination of technical factors and improving market sentiment [1]. Technical Analysis - Tesla has established a strong technical base characterized by a series of higher lows in recent weeks, maintaining its 200-day moving average, which has attracted traders' interest [2]. - The stock has seen a rally, gaining over 12% in just the last two days [2]. Catalysts - The upcoming third-quarter deliveries report, scheduled for October 2, is anticipated to be a significant catalyst for Tesla's stock price. The consensus estimate for Q3 deliveries is conservative, positioned at the lower end of historical ranges [3]. - There is potential for a positive surprise in the delivery report, as demand may have been pulled forward due to expiring EV credits on September 30, leading Wall Street to possibly underestimate the quarter's performance [3][4]. Market Sentiment - Sentiment around Tesla and the EV sector is shifting positively after a period of skepticism regarding Tesla's growth trajectory [5]. - The alignment of Tesla's technical setup with a likely interest rate cut next week, combined with traders being underweight ahead of the Q3 delivery report, suggests a favorable risk-reward scenario for the stock [5][6].