China’s economy probably grew at the slowest in a year last quarter despite a boom in exports, in a disconnect the Communist Party may move to rectify at a key meeting this week https://t.co/zmLFZhqI8c ...

Britain’s decision to leave the European Union will continue to weigh on UK growth for several years, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said. https://t.co/36Lbaf2BJ7 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The bank's net interest margin (NIM) compressed by about 8 basis points due to front-loading of interest rate cuts on the asset side of the balance sheet [6] - The capital adequacy ratio remained stable at around 19.9% to 20% with a slight change of 10 basis points [31] - The bank's return on assets (ROA) has been operating between 1.8% to 1.95% over the last eight quarters [56] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Loan growth has accelerated across segments, with a focus on disciplined pricing and market share gains in deposits [6][8] - The bank's contingent provisions increased by about INR 1,600 crore, enhancing resilience [11][65] - Fee income grew by approximately 9%, indicating consistent growth across various products [41] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The bank's loan-to-deposit ratio (LDR) started the year at about 96 and is expected to decrease below 90 as part of the strategic objectives [20] - Retail deposits accounted for about 83% of total deposits, with a slight increase in the proportion of retail deposits during the quarter [38] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The bank continues to invest in technology and distribution to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency [7][49] - The strategy includes maintaining credit standards while participating in growth opportunities in unsecured loans and mortgages [71] - The bank aims to grow faster than the market in FY 2027, with a focus on sustainable growth and capital consumption [29] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The domestic economy is showing signs of strength, supported by fiscal and monetary measures, which is expected to boost loan growth [5] - Management expressed optimism about the economic cycle and its sustainability beyond the festive period [28] - The bank is focused on maintaining asset quality and managing expenses tightly to create operating leverage [6][8] Other Important Information - The bank is exploring opportunities for cross-border transactions following recent regulatory relaxations [90] - The bank's home loan segment has seen improvements in turnaround times, now at two days for individual loans and three days for self-employed [50] Q&A Session Summary Question: Recovery in NPL movement - Management indicated that recoveries were boosted by a one-off upgrade contributing approximately 10 basis points to the NPL ratio [11][14] Question: Guidance on margins - The bank expects exit margins to improve, with stable rates anticipated to positively impact margins over the next few quarters [19] Question: Deposit growth and LDR - The bank's strategic objective is to reduce LDR below 90 while growing in line with the market [20][21] Question: Capital adequacy and growth - Management confirmed that the bank has sufficient capital for three to four years of growth, with a focus on maintaining higher capital levels for unforeseen risks [29][31] Question: Personal loans and risk appetite - The bank maintains strict credit standards and is cautiously optimistic about growth in unsecured loans [71] Question: Home loans and market share - The bank aims to grow its home loan segment without compromising on margins, focusing on long-term customer relationships [74] Question: Gold loans and yields - Yields on gold loans remain attractive, and the bank is cautious about maintaining clarity in terms with clients [76] Question: Credit card growth - The bank has seen a tepid addition to net receivables due to selective participation in spending during festive periods [82] Question: SME loan opportunities - There is a positive outlook for SME loans, with actual credit demand increasing in that segment [89]

Economic Growth & Savings - Faster expected economic growth leads to a decrease in savings, as individuals anticipate future wealth [1] - The effect of faster growth on savings is global [1] Economic Models - Frank Ramsey's canonical model of economic growth explains the inverse relationship between expected growth and savings [1]

Demographic Trends - Australia recorded its lowest ever birth rates [1] - Record levels of immigrants continue to enter Australia [1] - Immigration is correlated with declining birth rates [1] Economic Impact - Immigration contributes to unaffordable housing [2] - Immigration leads to stagnant wage growth [2] - Immigration results in decreased productivity [2] - Immigration makes Australians poorer [1] Social Concerns - Australians have not been consulted on immigration increases [3] - Australians are against large immigration increases [3] Proposed Solution - Ease the economic pressures preventing people from having children [4] - Immigration replaces the existing population for economic growth [4]

New technology is hardly the only driver of economic growth. Just ask the banks, which reported impressive quarterly earnings. ...

The research for which Joel Mokyr was awarded the prize money deals with a question that will never get a fully satisfactory answer: why do economies grow? https://t.co/mlL67gBgFP ...

The Bank of Italy cuts its growth forecast for next year to just 0.6% https://t.co/kePleapxjr ...

Group 1: U.S.-China Trade Relations - President Trump indicated that a 100% tariff on China is "not sustainable," suggesting a potential easing of trade tensions ahead of an anticipated meeting with Chinese counterparts [2][7] - White House Economic Adviser Kevin Hassett acknowledged China's "little bit of leverage" but asserted that further retaliatory actions would ultimately hurt China more [2] Group 2: U.S. Economic Outlook - Kevin Hassett expressed confidence in sustained 4% U.S. economic growth, stating there is "no reason" it can't continue [2][7] - Hassett signaled that expected Federal Reserve rate cuts are just the beginning, indicating potential for further easing [2][7] Group 3: Corporate Earnings - State Street Corporation (STT) reported strong third-quarter 2025 earnings, with an adjusted EPS of $2.78, exceeding estimates of $2.66, on revenues of $3.55 billion, which also beat the $3.47 billion estimate [2][7] - The company's assets under management (AUM) reached $5.41 trillion, and it reported a credit loss provision of $9 million and a return on equity (ROE) of 13.4% [2] Group 4: Regulatory Developments - The UK's Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) is set to release Google (GOOGL) from its Privacy Sandbox commitments, a move that could reshape the digital advertising landscape [3][7] Group 5: Global Investment Trends - Abu Dhabi conglomerate IHC announced a massive expansion plan, committing to spend $36 billion every 18 months, underscoring the company's growth ambitions [4][7]

Economic Theory vs Research Findings - Economists traditionally believe productivity and interest rates move in the same direction [1] - Some research suggests interest rates increase more than growth, potentially worsening debt sustainability [1]