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The State Of REITs: May 2025 Edition
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-23 18:25
REIT Performance Overview - The REIT sector experienced a significant decline in April 2025, with an average total return of -6.45%, underperforming the broader market indices such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (-3.1%), S&P 500 (-0.7%), and NASDAQ (+0.9%) [1] - Year-to-date, the average total return for REITs stands at -9.10%, which is worse than the -7.65% return for the same period in 2024 [12] Performance by Market Capitalization - Microcap REITs underperformed larger peers for the sixth consecutive month, with returns of -8.87% [3] - Large-cap REITs (-2.93%) outperformed mid-caps (-5.45%) and small caps (-8.69%) in April, with large-cap REITs outperforming small caps by 1081 basis points in the first four months of 2025 [3] Property Type Performance - Only 11.11% of REIT property types averaged a positive total return in April, with a 20.17% spread between the best (Data Centers +7.28%) and worst-performing property types (Timber -12.90%) [5][6] - Year-to-date, Office REITs (-24.06%) and Hotel REITs (-22.90%) significantly underperformed, while Health Care (+7.23%), Infrastructure (+6.88%), and Casinos (+6.00%) were the only property types with positive returns [7] Price/FFO Multiples - The average P/FFO for the REIT sector decreased from 13.9x to 13.4x in April, with 83.3% of property types experiencing multiple contraction [8] - Data Centers (26.9x), Multifamily (24.6x), and Infrastructure (18.7x) currently trade at the highest average multiples among REIT property types, while Hotels (5.9x) and Offices (8.2x) have the lowest [9] Individual REIT Performance - Digital Realty Trust (DLR) achieved a strong gain of +12.04% in April, despite a year-to-date return of -8.72% [11] - Wheeler REIT (WHLR) was the worst-performing REIT in April, with a staggering decline of -63.61% for the month and -98.29% year-to-date [11] Dividend Yield Insights - The high dividend yields of the REIT sector are a primary reason for investment, with many REITs trading below their NAV, resulting in attractive yields [15]
TOPSPORTS(6110.HK):PRUDENT GUIDANCE BUT STRONG CASH FLOW & YIELD
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-23 18:00
Core View - The company experienced a sales drop of 7% YoY in FY25, with net profit declining by 42% YoY, missing estimates due to weaker GP margin and higher finance costs, although the dividend payout ratio was raised to 135%, indicating strong cash flow and a potential decent yield in FY26E [2][4][6] Financial Performance - FY25 sales amounted to RMB 27.0 billion, aligning with estimates, while net profit was RMB 1.3 billion, missing estimates by 7% and 16% [2] - The dividend payout ratio increased to 135%, exceeding the estimated 100%, resulting in dividends being approximately 30% higher than estimates [2] - Cash and cash flow increased by 32% and 20% YoY, respectively, indicating a healthy financial position [2] Sales and Market Trends - Sales trends in 1Q26E are expected to mirror those in 4Q25, with management noting a similar retail sales trend and e-commerce sales growth outperforming offline sales [3] - The company anticipates a flattish net profit in FY26E, focusing on profit over sales and efficiency gains, despite expected pressure on GP margin due to slow new product launches and a promotional industry environment [4][5] Guidance and Outlook - The company is targeting a small increase in GP margin, driven by positive momentum from Adidas in mainland China, despite challenges from a changing channel mix and promotional pressures [4] - A high payout ratio of over 100% is still feasible, with a forecasted yield of around 9% for FY26E, despite anticipated sales pressures from store closures and a sluggish turnaround of Nike [5] Valuation and Rating - The target price has been trimmed to HK$ 3.62, based on a 16x FY26E P/E, slightly above the 5-year average of 14x, reflecting revised net profit estimates down by 27% and 24% for FY26E and FY27E [6] - The stock is currently trading at 14x FY26E P/E, in line with its 5-year average, and the BUY rating is maintained due to strong cash flow and high dividend yield potential [6]
Banco Santander (SAN) Could Be a Great Choice
ZACKS· 2025-05-22 16:47
All investors love getting big returns from their portfolio, whether it's through stocks, bonds, ETFs, or other types of securities. But when you're an income investor, your primary focus is generating consistent cash flow from each of your liquid investments.While cash flow can come from bond interest or interest from other types of investments, income investors hone in on dividends. A dividend is that coveted distribution of a company's earnings paid out to shareholders, and investors often view it by its ...
CINF Lags Industry, Trades at a Premium: How to Play the Stock
ZACKS· 2025-05-21 17:46
Core Viewpoint - Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) has underperformed compared to its industry and sector year to date, with a 4.5% gain against the industry's 11.8% and the Finance sector's 5.7% [1] Performance Comparison - CINF's stock is trading at a 7.2% discount to its 52-week high of $161.75 [1] - The stock is above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), indicating a bullish trend [2] Valuation Metrics - CINF shares are trading at a price-to-book value of 1.75X, higher than the industry average of 1.57X, indicating an expensive valuation with a Value Score of C [5] - Compared to The Progressive Corporation (PGR) and The Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV), CINF is cheaper, although all are trading at a premium to the industry [6] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings is $5.26, reflecting a decrease of 31% on revenues of $11.1 billion, while the 2026 estimate is $8.12, suggesting a 54.4% increase on revenues of $12 billion [8] - Recent estimate revisions show a 6.7% increase for 2025 and a 1.8% increase for 2026, indicating analyst optimism [7] Growth Factors - CINF is expected to benefit from prudent pricing, an agent-centric model, and disciplined expansion of Cincinnati Re, contributing to above-average industry premium growth [10] - The company is focusing on expanding its commercial lines segment and enhancing pricing accuracy to improve profitability [11] Operational Strengths - CINF's Excess and Surplus (E&S) line has performed well since 2008, utilizing technology and data analytics to identify new risks [12] - The agent-focused business model aims to secure new business through superior service and expanded offerings [13] Dividend and Financial Health - CINF has increased dividends for 65 consecutive years, with a dividend yield of 2.4%, significantly higher than the industry average of 0.2% [14] - The return on equity for CINF is 8.2%, better than the industry average of 6.6%, although its return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.3% is below the industry average of 5.9% [15] Market Outlook - The average target price for CINF is $152, indicating a 1.2% upside potential from its last closing price [16] - The company's operations are concentrated in the Midwest, which poses risks due to potential catastrophe losses [16]
Why DTE Energy (DTE) is a Top Dividend Stock for Your Portfolio
ZACKS· 2025-05-21 16:51
Company Overview - DTE Energy is headquartered in Detroit and operates in the Utilities sector [3] - The stock has experienced a price change of 14.61% since the beginning of the year [3] Dividend Information - DTE Energy currently pays a dividend of $1.09 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 3.15% [3] - The company's annualized dividend of $4.36 has increased by 5.1% from the previous year [4] - Over the last five years, DTE Energy has raised its dividend four times, averaging an annual increase of 1.01% [4] - The current payout ratio is 60%, indicating that 60% of its trailing 12-month earnings per share (EPS) is distributed as dividends [4] Earnings Growth - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DTE Energy's earnings in 2025 is $7.24 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth rate of 6% [5] Investment Appeal - DTE Energy is considered an attractive dividend play and a compelling investment opportunity, holding a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [7]
Why NatWest Group (NWG) is a Great Dividend Stock Right Now
ZACKS· 2025-05-21 16:51
Getting big returns from financial portfolios, whether through stocks, bonds, ETFs, other securities, or a combination of all, is an investor's dream. But for income investors, generating consistent cash flow from each of your liquid investments is your primary focus.Cash flow can come from bond interest, interest from other types of investments, and of course, dividends. A dividend is the distribution of a company's earnings paid out to shareholders; it's often viewed by its dividend yield, a metric that m ...
AngloGold Ashanti Trading Cheaper Than Industry: Buy the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-20 17:15
Core Viewpoint - AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) is positioned as an attractive investment opportunity due to its strong financial performance, competitive valuation, and growth prospects in the gold mining sector [6][27]. Valuation and Performance - AU stock is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 11.42X, which is approximately 16% lower than the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's average of 14.27X [1]. - The stock has appreciated 85.9% year to date, outperforming the industry's gain of 39.1% [7]. - Compared to peers like Newmont Corporation, Agnico Eagle Mines, and Kinross Gold, AU remains attractively priced [3][7]. Financial and Operational Results - In Q1 2025, AU reported earnings per share of 88 cents, a 529% increase year over year, driven by higher gold production and prices [9]. - Gold production rose by 22% to 720,000 ounces, marking the strongest first-quarter performance since 2020 [10]. - Adjusted EBITDA increased 158% year over year to $1.12 billion [11]. - Free cash flow surged to $403 million from $57 million in the previous year [15]. Debt and Liquidity - Adjusted net debt decreased to $525 million from $1.322 billion year over year, improving the adjusted net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio to 0.15X [15]. - AU ended Q1 2025 with $3 billion in liquidity, including $1.5 billion in cash and cash equivalents [16]. Gold Price Trends - Gold prices have increased by 23.5% year to date, currently above $3,220 per ounce, driven by geopolitical uncertainties and safe-haven demand [17]. - The favorable environment for gold prices is expected to continue, benefiting AU's profitability [17]. Strategic Growth Initiatives - AU is focused on organic and inorganic growth, including the acquisition of Centamin, which adds significant production capacity [18]. - The company aims to enhance production at its Obuasi mine and improve mining volumes at Siguiri [20][21]. Earnings Estimates and Dividend Policy - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AU's 2025 sales is $8.58 billion, indicating a 48.2% year-over-year growth [23]. - Under its new dividend policy, AU plans to return 50% of its annual free cash flow, with a current dividend yield of 3.27%, higher than the industry average of 1.64% [26]. Investment Outlook - The combination of rising earnings estimates, strong financial health, and an industry-leading dividend yield makes AU a compelling investment case [27][28].
How To Earn $500 A Month From Target Stock Ahead Of Q1 Earnings
Benzinga· 2025-05-20 12:31
Core Viewpoint - Target Corporation is expected to report a decline in quarterly earnings and revenue compared to the previous year, with analysts projecting earnings of $1.67 per share and revenue of $24.38 billion [1] Group 1: Earnings and Revenue Expectations - Target is set to release its first-quarter earnings results on May 21, with analysts forecasting earnings of $1.67 per share, down from $2.03 per share in the same quarter last year [1] - The projected quarterly revenue for Target is $24.38 billion, a slight decrease from $24.53 billion reported in the previous year [1] Group 2: Analyst Ratings and Price Target - Barclays analyst Seth Sigman has maintained an Equal-Weight rating on Target and has lowered the price target from $140 to $102 [2] Group 3: Dividend Yield and Investment Calculations - Target offers an annual dividend yield of 4.57%, translating to a quarterly dividend of $1.12 per share, or $4.48 annually [2] - To generate $500 monthly or $6,000 annually from dividends, an investment of approximately $131,209 or around 1,339 shares is required [2] - For a more modest income of $100 per month or $1,200 annually, an investment of $26,261 or around 268 shares is necessary [2] Group 4: Dividend Yield Mechanics - The dividend yield is calculated by dividing the annual dividend payment by the stock's current price, which can fluctuate based on changes in stock price and dividend payments [3][4] - An increase in the dividend payment will raise the yield if the stock price remains constant, while a decrease in the dividend will lower the yield [4] Group 5: Stock Performance - Target's shares fell by 0.6% to close at $97.99 on Monday [4]
B vs. KGC: Which Gold Mining Stock is the Better Pick Now?
ZACKS· 2025-05-20 11:16
Core Viewpoint - Barrick Mining Corporation and Kinross Gold Corporation are two significant players in the gold mining industry, with current gold prices remaining favorable despite recent fluctuations, making them relevant for investors seeking exposure to precious metals [1][2]. Barrick Mining Corporation - Barrick is advancing key growth projects, including Goldrush, Pueblo Viejo expansion, and Reko Diq, which are expected to significantly enhance production [4][5]. - The Goldrush mine aims for a production target of 400,000 ounces per annum by 2028, while the Reko Diq project is projected to produce 460,000 tons of copper and 520,000 ounces of gold annually in its second phase [5]. - The Lumwana Super Pit expansion in Zambia, costing $2 billion, is expected to double throughput and yield 240,000 tons of copper annually [6]. - Barrick's liquidity position is strong, with cash and cash equivalents around $4.1 billion and operating cash flows of approximately $1.2 billion in Q1 2025, marking a 59% year-over-year increase [7]. - The company returned $1.2 billion to shareholders in 2024 and has a dividend yield of 2.2% with a payout ratio of 28% [8]. - Barrick's stock has gained 17.4% year-to-date, trading at a forward earnings multiple of 9.74, which is a 28% discount to the industry average [14][15]. Kinross Gold Corporation - Kinross has a robust production profile and a promising pipeline of projects, including Great Bear and Round Mountain Phase X, which are expected to enhance production and cash flow [9]. - The Tasiast and Paracatu mines are key contributors to cash flow, with Tasiast being the lowest-cost asset and achieving record production in 2024 [11]. - Kinross ended Q1 2025 with liquidity of approximately $2.3 billion and generated record free cash flows of around $1.3 billion in 2024 [12]. - The company repaid $800 million of debt in 2024, reducing net debt to around $540 million, with a long-term debt-to-capitalization ratio of 14.4% [13]. - Kinross offers a dividend yield of 0.9% with a payout ratio of 14% and a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of about -0.1% [13]. - Kinross stock has rallied 50.6% year-to-date, trading at a forward earnings multiple of 12.88, which is below the industry average [14][18]. Comparative Analysis - Both companies are well-positioned to benefit from the current gold price environment, with strong development pipelines and financial health [24]. - Barrick is viewed as a more attractive investment due to its higher dividend yield, lower leverage, and favorable valuation compared to Kinross [24]. - Barrick holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), while Kinross has a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [25].
Why Associated Banc-Corp (ASB) is a Top Dividend Stock for Your Portfolio
ZACKS· 2025-05-16 16:46
Company Overview - Associated Banc-Corp (ASB) is headquartered in Green Bay and operates in the Finance sector [3] - The stock has experienced a price change of 1.76% since the beginning of the year [3] Dividend Information - Associated Banc-Corp currently pays a dividend of $0.23 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 3.78% [3] - This yield is higher than the Banks - Midwest industry's yield of 3.14% and the S&P 500's yield of 1.55% [3] - The annualized dividend of $0.92 has increased by 3.4% from the previous year [4] - Over the last 5 years, the company has raised its dividend 4 times, averaging an annual increase of 5.65% [4] - The current payout ratio is 41%, indicating that 41% of its trailing 12-month EPS is distributed as dividends [4] Earnings Growth Expectations - For the fiscal year, ASB anticipates solid earnings growth, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 at $2.48 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth rate of 4.20% [5] Investment Considerations - ASB is considered a compelling investment opportunity due to its strong dividend profile and current Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [7] - The company is positioned as a strong dividend play, appealing to income investors [7]