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Is Tesla Stock a Smart Bet Ahead of Q3 Earnings? Key Insights
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 13:56
Core Insights - Tesla is expected to report third-quarter 2025 earnings of 53 cents per share and revenues of $26.45 billion, reflecting a year-over-year decline in earnings but a slight increase in revenues [1][2]. Earnings Estimates - The earnings estimate for the upcoming quarter has been revised upward by 1 cent, but still indicates a 26.4% decline year-over-year. Revenue estimates suggest a 5% increase compared to the previous year [2]. - For the current year, Tesla's revenue is estimated at $93 billion, representing a 4.7% decline year-over-year. The EPS estimate for 2025 is $1.63, indicating a 33% drop year-over-year [3]. Delivery and Performance - Tesla achieved record deliveries of 497,099 vehicles in Q3 2025, a 7.4% increase from the same quarter last year, reversing three consecutive quarters of decline. This figure surpassed the model estimate of 435,370 units [5]. - The company also deployed 12.5 GWh of energy storage products, setting a new quarterly record, which is expected to positively impact earnings [7]. Market Position and Valuation - Tesla's stock has increased by 93% over the past six months, outperforming both the industry and competitors like General Motors and Ford [8]. - However, Tesla is considered overvalued with a forward price/sales ratio of 13.9, higher than the industry average and its own five-year average [10]. Strategic Developments - Recent strategic moves by CEO Elon Musk, including a significant stock purchase and a focus on AI and autonomous driving, indicate a commitment to long-term growth despite potential short-term challenges [12][13]. - The energy storage segment is expected to benefit from rising demand, particularly from AI data centers, providing a positive outlook for this division [15]. Future Considerations - While Tesla may exceed near-term earnings expectations, there are concerns about whether the current stock price reflects excessive optimism, especially in light of potential headwinds from the removal of EV tax credits and increasing competition [16].
预告︱机器人及人工智能领域近期相关活动预告
机器人圈· 2025-10-20 09:16
Core Insights - The robotics industry is experiencing significant growth, transforming human production and lifestyle, and injecting strong momentum into economic and social development [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with 16 other ministries, issued the "Robot + Application Action Implementation Plan" at the beginning of 2023, aiming to double the density of manufacturing robots by 2025 compared to 2020 [1] - The "Guiding Opinions on the Innovative Development of Humanoid Robots" were released on November 12, 2023, indicating that humanoid robots are expected to become a disruptive product following computers, smartphones, and new energy vehicles, with mass production targeted for 2025 [1] Industry Events - The IEEE/RSJ International Conference on Intelligent Robots and Systems (IROS 2025) will be held from October 21 to October 23, 2025, at the Hangzhou International Expo Center [2] - The 2025 Chemical Artificial Intelligence Conference is scheduled for October 24 to October 26, 2025, in Yantai, organized by the China Chemical Enterprise Management Association [3] - The 10th China International Artificial Intelligence Conference and Exhibition, along with the Artificial Intelligence Computing Power and Algorithm Summit Forum, will take place from October 28 to October 29, 2025, in Shanghai, hosted by the China Artificial Intelligence Industry Alliance and Bole Exhibition Group [3] - The 2025 Guangdong International Robotics and Intelligent Equipment Development Conference, focusing on the high-quality development of the humanoid robot industry, is set for October 29, 2025, at the Guangdong Modern International Exhibition Center [3] - The 5th International Conference on Robotics, Automation, and Intelligent Control (ICRAIC 2025) will occur from October 31 to November 2, 2025, in Chengdu, organized by Chengdu University of Technology [4] - The 3rd International Conference on Computer Vision and Intelligent Technology will also be held from October 31 to November 2, 2025, in Baoding, organized by Hebei University [4]
Will This Go Down as Tesla's Biggest Mistake?
The Motley Fool· 2025-10-19 14:30
Core Viewpoint - The Cybertruck has been poorly received, leading to concerns about its commercial viability and Tesla's future direction in the automotive industry [2][9][12] Group 1: Sales Performance - Tesla reported record deliveries in Q3 2025, driven by consumer demand ahead of the expiration of the $7,500 federal EV tax credit, resulting in a nearly 30% increase in overall EV sales [3] - However, the Cybertruck sold only 5,385 units in Q3 2025, marking a significant 62.6% decline from the previous year, far below the initial projections of 250,000 units annually [4][5] Group 2: Market Challenges - The initial hype surrounding over 1 million reservations has diminished due to production delays, quality issues, and a higher-than-expected price, with the entry-level model priced at $69,990 [5][6] - Competition has intensified, with alternatives like the Chevrolet Silverado EV and Ford F-150 Lightning available at more attractive prices of approximately $53,000 and $55,000, respectively [7] Group 3: Economic Considerations - The economics of electric trucks differ from traditional gasoline-powered trucks, which typically yield higher margins; electric trucks require larger, more expensive batteries, complicating cost-effectiveness [8] - The Cybertruck's overall failure encompasses various aspects, including sales, performance, design, and pricing, leading to disappointment among investors [9][10] Group 4: Future Outlook - Tesla appears to be shifting focus from traditional vehicle platforms to emerging technologies such as robotaxis and artificial intelligence, indicating a potential transformation into a tech-oriented company rather than a conventional automaker [11][12] - Investors may need to reassess their investment thesis regarding Tesla, considering the company's evolving business model and uncertain future [12]
X @Yuyue
Yuyue· 2025-10-18 13:33
Robotics 赛道和目前赛道中已经跑出来的项目 OpenMind @openmind_agi 是我在这次 2049 SG 的最大收获之一,和朋友们聊了聊,对这个赛道的共识是:1. Robotics 赛道在 crypto 目前还是难以证伪的赛道2. 当宇树科技正式 IPO,这个赛道可能会在 crypto 引起更大的 fomo在 Kaito 上了 leaderboard 之后,这个项目已经成为众人 fomo 的对象之一,而且和 team 成员 @paigeinsf @ClaraChengGo 聊下来,觉得他们在市场层面是有较好的嗅觉的。这两天在官网可以 mint NFT,应该是当前的少数参与途径之一 ...
X @s4mmy
s4mmy· 2025-10-17 15:21
Industry Trends - Robotics entities are gaining traction on social media platforms, suggesting a potential resurgence of AI [1] - The convergence of robotics, AI, and crypto is generating significant interest and activity [1] Community Engagement - OpenMind is launching a leaderboard on KaitoAI to track top creators and contributors [1] - The initiative aims to foster engagement and buzz within the robotics, AI, and crypto communities [1]
Analyst Says Tesla (TSLA) Valuation Makes ‘Zero Sense’ Amid ‘Atrophying’ Fundamentals – ‘What Do You Own Here?’
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-17 13:57
Core Viewpoint - Analysts express skepticism about Tesla's valuation, suggesting it lacks rational basis amid declining fundamentals and increasing competition in the electric vehicle (EV) market [1][2][3] Company Performance - Tesla reported strong Q3 deliveries, attributed to pull-forward demand due to the expiration of EV tax credits, but the introduction of cheaper models did not impress the market [2][3] - The company is losing pricing power as competition intensifies, particularly from European and Chinese brands offering models priced under or near $30,000 [2][3] Market Competition - In 2024, Tesla's global deliveries are projected to decline for the first time, while competitors like BYD have reported an 800% increase in UK sales, outperforming Tesla in many European markets [3] - The introduction of budget models is expected to negatively impact Tesla's auto margins due to heightened competition [2][3] Future Developments - Tesla is progressing with its robotaxi business, which has been in development for over a decade, potentially transforming the automotive industry and creating new market opportunities [3][4] - The company plans to unveil new mass-market models in the upcoming quarter and is scaling production of its humanoid robot, contributing to its long-term growth narrative [4]
X @s4mmy
s4mmy· 2025-10-17 12:26
Industry Trend - Robotics is an emerging field, and the physical world is the next frontier for AI development [1] Influential Figures - Top 10 influencers in the robotics/AI space over the past 3 months are listed, including @DavideCrapis, @sjdedic, @Rewkang, @Cryptotrissy, @eli5_defi, @jinglingcookies, @S4mmyEth, @Slappjakke, @WClementeIII, and @MiyaHedge [1]
X @Tesla Owners Silicon Valley
Tesla Owners Silicon Valley· 2025-10-16 22:25
RT Amy (@_SFTahoe)POLICY FAILDOE doesn’t understand powering Robotics and AI. But it should!NEW ABUNDANCE AGEAI & Robotics is This is a key to America’s future - it is possible to massively grow the American GDP. That is WHY President Trumps named an AI Czar. Cognitive disconnect within the Administration.SUBSIDIESSubsidize all or none. Don’t subsidize oil and not Lithium refineries. There is also a security interest in producing critical minerals in America. The vast majority of battery minerals are refine ...