Social Media Activity - Coinbase's Instagram content features turtles discussing inflation [1]

Market Sentiment & Fed Policy - The stock market's record-setting run is heavily reliant on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in the fall [1] - Despite a hot PPI print, the stock market remained relatively flat, suggesting investors bought the dip [2] - The worst-case scenario for investors is the Fed hiking interest rates; a neutral stance could be seen as positive, indicating the economy can withstand current rates [4] - A 25 or 50 basis point cut by the Fed to normalize real interest rates could be positive for stocks [5] - The conversation has shifted from a 25 or 50 basis point cut to a 25 basis point cut or no cut at all [6] - The economy appears to be holding up under the current interest rates, even though the Fed's policy rates are higher compared to the rest of the world [7] - A 25 basis point cut could be perceived as hawkish if the Fed signals a "wait and see" approach [8] Investor Positioning - Many investors are positioned for a pickup in inflation and were expecting a hot PPI number, which is why the market reaction was muted [8][9]

Market Trends & Concerns - Stocks experienced losses due to inflation report, raising concerns about tariffs' economic impact [1]

Inflation Analysis - President Trump states there is "hardly any inflation at all" [1] - The statement is considered bullish by some [1] Market Sentiment - The tweet expresses a positive outlook on the market [1]

All right, let's officially now bring in David Zervos, chief market strategist at Jeffre, as well as a CNBC contributor, also on the not so short list of 11 candidates who may replace J. Pal. Welcome.That was that was a long introduction, Melissa. It was I mean, there's so many mantles which you carry these days. And a frequent guest here, which is how we know him.We don't really care about the stuff. What did you make of the number today. I don't make a lot of it. I I Steve said it's a very volatile number ...

Hey, it's time. Let's bring co-anchor of CNBC Squawkbox and the New York Times columnist Andrew Ros and Andrew get some new numbers. Hopefully, nobody gets fired for them because they are not as good as was expected.Tell us about them. Uh they are not as good as had been expected. In fact, it appears that inflation is creeping higher.Uh this is the ne this is really the second piece in the uh puzzle that we've now seen inflation creeping higher and it's going to give the Fed pause now uh potentially about l ...

Monetary Policy & Nomination - Steve Forbes calls for Stephen Miran, Federal Reserve Governor nominee, to be questioned on the importance of a stable dollar value [1] - The inquiry should address whether prosperity is believed to cause inflation [1]

Well, it's happening again. Republican lawmakers are back home and their constituents are, you're going to be shocked to hear this, furious with them. Interesting.The situation was not an issue during the Biden administ are eligible under the program. They're not in the hospital. I don't think you you're the right fit for us anymore.I just think it's time to go. People are really unhappy about Trump's mega bill, inflation, tariffs, the Epstein files, you name it. But are Republican lawmakers worried.Turns o ...

Market Expectations & Rate Cut Probabilities - Market participants initially interpreted the inflation data as a signal for the Federal Reserve to cut rates, with some pricing in near certainty and even anticipating up to four rate cuts for the remainder of the year [2][3] - The market's reaction suggests a belief that the Fed can now focus on the labor market and cut rates without excessive concern about inflation, leading to small caps outperforming due to their interest rate sensitivity [6] - There's a perception that the Fed has some leeway to cut rates, especially given the labor market conditions, and that a rate-cutting cycle, if significant, would be very beneficial for the market [8][9] Inflation Data Analysis - The headline inflation number initially excited the market, but a closer look revealed it might be "a little hotter than expected," reinforcing the idea that inflation remains a problem [2] - Core inflation was noted as being the highest since the start of the year, indicating that the inflation data wasn't entirely positive and had some underlying heat [4][5] - The inflation data showed some signs of giving ground, which, combined with potential cracks in the labor market, could provide the Fed with justification to cut rates [5] Bond Market Reaction - The ten-year Treasury yield initially pulled back on the report but then bounced higher, finishing the day almost unchanged, indicating uncertainty or mixed signals in the bond market's interpretation of the data [4] Economic Indicators & Market Valuation - Concerns are raised about applauding the stock market's performance given a GDP growth of 125% (it seems there is a typo here, it should be 125 basis points or 125%) and unemployment growth of 270% (it seems there is a typo here, it should be 270 basis points or 270%), with the Fed funds rate at 45% (it seems there is a typo here, it should be 450 basis points or 450%) [10] - The stock market is trading at all-time highs, with valuations around 225% to 240% (it seems there is a typo here, it should be 225x to 24x) times forward earnings, suggesting potential overvaluation [11] - The market's behavior is considered odd, suggesting that the economy might be starting to flex, and market participants are chasing that momentum [12]

Economic Impact - America will pay the price for Donald Trump's tariffs [1] - Growth was underwhelming and inflation disappointingly high in the first half of the year [1] Policy Analysis - The full toll of Trump's foolish policy will be felt over the long term [1]