Contrarian investment

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Ahead Of Q2 Earnings, Western Union Looks Like A Contrarian Play To Watch
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-07-27 12:00
Group 1 - The year 2025 presents complexities for investors as the market approaches all-time highs, with concerns that certain sectors may be reaching bubble levels, indicating potential risks for new investments [1] - The article emphasizes a contrarian investment philosophy, focusing on identifying underappreciated companies that can deliver value to investors [1] Group 2 - The author has extensive experience in investment analysis, particularly in deep-discount value plays, and has a history of writing for various financial publications [1]
Navitas: Limited Short Squeeze Potential, But Still A Solid Bet
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-07-23 10:58
Group 1 - The investor has a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a portfolio split of approximately 50%-50% [1] - The investment strategy involves buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, especially when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, primarily using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - The investor conducts professional background checks on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - The investment timeframe typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, indicating a medium-term investment horizon [1]
TSMC: The Bull Run Has Only Just Begun
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-07-17 19:29
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens for stocks that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding an additional layer of due diligence [1] Market Focus - The primary focus is on stocks in the US market, although there is openness to owning shares in less stable economies, referred to as "banana republics" [1] - The investor's approach is characterized by a willingness to engage in high-risk, illiquid options, highlighting a unique investment philosophy [1]
Tesla: A Very Likely Q2 Earnings Selloff - Rating Downgrade
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-07-17 17:25
Group 1 - The investor has a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a portfolio split of approximately 50%-50% [1] - The investment strategy involves buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, especially when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, primarily using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - The investor conducts professional background checks on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - The investment timeframe typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, indicating a medium-term investment horizon [1]
ASML: Bull Run May Speed Up After Q2 Earnings
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-07-14 14:17
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens for stocks that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence to the investment process [1] Market Focus - The primary focus is on stocks in the US market, although there is openness to investing in companies from less stable economies, referred to as "banana republics" [1]
Louisiana-Pacific: Fair Valuation For A High-Quality, Under-The-Radar Building Materials Giant
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-07-04 12:24
Group 1 - Louisiana-Pacific (LPX) is primarily a manufacturing business focused on building materials, which may appear unremarkable at first glance [1] - Warren Buffett holds approximately 8% of LPX through Berkshire Hathaway, indicating a level of confidence in the company's potential [1] - The company has received minimal media attention despite its significant backing and potential investment opportunities [1] Group 2 - The author identifies as a German value investor, emphasizing a strategy of investing in companies with a high margin of safety and below intrinsic value [1] - The investment portfolio is concentrated, typically consisting of 8-12 companies, with a preference for small, underfollowed public companies [1] - A contrarian view is presented, suggesting that risk and return can be inversely correlated, leading to larger bets when the risk/reward ratio is favorable [1]
What Next For Liquidia After Launch?
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-06-30 14:40
Group 1 - The article emphasizes value-oriented investment ideas, particularly in mid/small cap stocks, and highlights the importance of identifying orphaned and unfashionable investment opportunities with potential catalysts for asymmetric upside/downside payoffs [1] - There is a noted shift towards being influenced more by momentum and quality in investment decisions compared to previous approaches [1] Group 2 - The author has a beneficial long position in LQDA shares, indicating a personal investment interest in the company [2] - The information presented is based on sources believed to be reliable, but it has not been independently verified, suggesting a need for caution in interpreting the data [3]
Meta: Reality Labs Could Take Off Sooner Than Later
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-06-07 14:31
Investment Strategy - The company employs a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares [1] - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, with a typical investment timeframe of 3-24 months [1] - The company targets stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Screening and Analysis - Fundamental analysis is utilized to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - Technical analysis is employed to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1]
B2Gold: Still A Buy, But Gramalote Could Bring Volatility To The Stock
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-06-04 15:59
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...
ZIM Integrated Shipping: Freight Rates Hold Steady Since April While Stock Slips (Rating Downgrade)
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-05-12 10:23
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...