Economic Slowdown

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Softness in employment will get Fed to lower rates, says Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz
CNBC Television· 2025-07-02 17:43
Speaking of the weak dollar, my next guest has three names that should benefit from that. Or maybe it's the whole market as we were just discussing. Michael Caneritz is here.He's the chief investment strategist at Piper Sandler. It's great to see you. You too.What What is the the sort of top level effect of a dollar being down 10%. I mean, is it supportive for stocks. What happens if it continues. What happens if it doesn't.I I think it's positive. I mean, at least that's what I've we've observed through mo ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-01 02:08
Economic Outlook - Asia's manufacturing activity slowdown deepened in June, signaling a warning for the region's growth prospects [1]
China Beige Book CEO: Saw a falloff 'in just about everything' in China's economy in June
CNBC Television· 2025-06-26 11:43
China's Economic Slowdown - China Beige Book data indicates a broad slowdown in China's economy, with declines in manufacturing, consumption, and bank borrowing [3] - May data initially appeared positive due to tariff reductions and consumer trade-in programs, but subsequent data revealed a fall-off [2][3] Beijing's Policy Stance - Beijing seems less concerned about the economic situation and is intervening less aggressively than before [4] - This reduced concern is attributed to Beijing's confidence in its leverage in trade discussions with the United States [4] - China is easing rates and engaging in fiscal stimulus, but not to the extent that would be expected in an extreme downside scenario [5][6] Trade War Dynamics - China is perceived to be able to withstand more economic pain compared to Western democracies [8] - China is using export controls, particularly on rare earth magnets, to demonstrate leverage against the United States [8] - China feels it has presented a strong front in the trade war, reducing the immediate need for aggressive economic measures [9] Consumption and Manufacturing - Claims of China transforming into a mega consumer powerhouse are viewed skeptically [10][11] - China's weak domestic demand leads to increased exports and potential dumping of products on global markets [13][14] - Overcapacity in various sectors, including cars and EVs, contributes to the pressure to export [17] Overcapacity and Export Strategy - China's economic model, characterized by weak domestic consumption and strong supply-side support, results in overcapacity being channeled to the global market [17] - This overcapacity can be used strategically to exert leverage on adversaries like the United States, particularly in critical minerals [16]
BOE Keeps Rates Unchanged at 4.25%
Bloomberg Television· 2025-06-19 11:30
We spoke just a few moments ago about what we were expecting. 7-2 seems to have been the consensus a little bit may be more dovish in terms of the vote split. That looks like it, Guy.Absolutely. As you say, the hold was widely expected, but all the focus as your last guest was also saying, is on whether the break down was going to be seven members of the monetary policy committee voting to to hold and to for a quarter point cut. But in fact, we've got three for a quarter point cut.And it looks like the addi ...
Jim Cramer talks signals he looks for when making sense of the market
CNBC Television· 2025-06-17 23:50
Wall Street's always looking for signals. Signals from all over the place, but especially from the Federal Reserve, which is why I keep coming back to this subject. I just explained what happens when the Fed signals that it's willing to strangle the life out of the economy in order to curb inflation.Investors figure that we're headed into a slowdown. The stock market plummets and it tends to stay down. Now, let's talk about the other side of the coin.Because while the Fed can be the ultimate destroyer of va ...
Evercore’s Roger Altman: The economy is 'slowly shifting into a lower gear'
CNBC Television· 2025-06-12 14:52
erases its early losses here. Now back to flat. Meantime with the hearing with the Treasury Secretary is now underway.Joining us this morning Roger Altman here at post nine. Evercore senior chairman and founder and former deputy Treasury Secretary Roger thanks for coming in. Good to see you.I'm not sure where you want to start. If you believe. >> We pick up on something that you just said, which is Goldman has up raised its growth forecast for the year from one I think you said to one and a quarter.Yes. But ...
Bloomberg Global Credit Forum
Bloomberg Television· 2025-06-11 15:48
Event Focus - Bloomberg News will host its annual Global Credit Forum in Los Angeles [1] - Bloomberg Television's Lisa Abramowicz and Dani Burger will speak at the forum [1] Key Concerns - The forum will address questions around trade wars [1] - Persistent inflation is a major topic of discussion [1] - Growing concern of a slowdown in the world's largest economy will be explored [1] Market Outlook - The forum aims to explore where the market goes from here [1]
Why this strategist says not everything is fine with the US economy
Yahoo Finance· 2025-06-09 07:33
Stocks are mixed today. The S&P 500 holding above the 6,000 level. The benchmark index has bounced over 20% from its April lows.Our next guest calling for caution amid the rally, citing re recent weakness in economic data. Joining us now, David Kelly. He is JP Morgan Asset Management's chief global strategist and head of the global market insights strategy team.David, it's wonderful to speak with you. Thank you for making the time this morning. I know in your latest you talk about how you see an economy tha ...
Goldman Stock Dips 15% in 3 Months: Should You Hold or Exit?
ZACKS· 2025-05-06 16:15
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) shares have tumbled 15% in the past three months compared with the industry’s decline of 10.3%. The stock has been rattled by escalating trade war concerns, with tariffs raising fears of high inflation and a possible global economic slowdown.Following the broader market trend, GS’s peer JPMorgan (JPM) and Morgan Stanley’s (MS) shares fell 8% and 14.6%, respectively, over the same time frame.Price Performance Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Given the recent pullback ...
COIL: 2024 ANNUAL RESULTS IMPACTED BY A CHALLENGING MARKET ENVIRONMENT
Globenewswire· 2025-05-02 15:49
PRESS RELEASEBrussels, 2 May 2025 (17.45)World leader in aluminium anodising 2024 ANNUAL RESULTS IMPACTED BY A CHALLENGING MARKET ENVIRONMENT Revenues up +10.5% to €24.1m, driven by the implementation of the collaboration and licensing agreement in China.Net loss of (3.2) M€, impacted by increased operating expenses and non-recurring items (goodwill impairment).Net debt under control, representing 25% of equity at 31 December 2024. COIL, world leader in aluminium anodising, is reporting its annual results f ...