Poland will likely keep interest rates unchanged after policymakers turned cautious, citing loose fiscal policy and global price risks https://t.co/9JheNe3y6U ...

Fiscal Policy & Debt - The industry expresses concern about the rise of Modern Monetary Theory, which suggests debt doesn't need to be repaid if a country can print money, particularly with the US as the reserve currency [1] - The industry believes that mounting levels of debt and deficit spending are unsustainable [1] - The industry suggests the US government needs to be able to sustain itself, especially as the cost of interest for the Treasury is increasing [2] Bond Market & Risk - The industry anticipates significant issues among bond buyers due to accumulating debt and rising interest costs [2] - The industry observes that the term premium has increased, reflecting a sense of more risk associated with the US due to increased spending [2] - The industry advocates for fiscal conservatism to address these concerns [2]

When you look at trade negotiations right now, could they actually change the outcome of the European economy. Well, I think that there's going to be a very relevant factor. And if you see, for instance, if you watch our our predictions, they are different alternatives, different different scenarios according to the different outcomes that we might have.I hope that, you know, the negotiations will be finalized. So at least this, you know, will deliver a little bit of predictability because now, you know, th ...

Key takeaways from our recent client conversations around the world. June 30, 2025 04:01 AM GMT Global Economic Briefing | North America M Idea The Weekly Worldview: The Hardest Questions: From Beijing to Berlin M A good friend of mine likes to say that the main reason that he forecasts is to find out why he was wrong. Our view of a meaningful deceleration in the US and the global economy from tariffs and other policies has yet to play out. We find ourselves waiting. So, while we wait, we take stock of the ...

Joining us now is Evercore chairman emeritus and black rockck co-founder Ralph Schlaststein right here on set. It's great to have you. Welcome.It's great to be here. Let's start right there. Uh because what what an incredible second quarter we had.Uh tariff tantrum. Is it over. Is is the fear about peak tariffs behind us.Well, I I think you can never say it's completely behind us because I don't think we have a absolutely certain path as to where the president and his team are going to take the tariff discu ...

President Trump expecting to see his long-awaited reconciliation bill on his desk by this Friday. Joining us right now is Joe Leavia. He's counselor to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant.Good morning to you. Morning, Andrew. We are getting closer.We have a what do they call it. A voterama taking place uh today. What do you think has to happen to I mean we've had a couple of different people even on the show this morning who said there's still some other reconciliation issues that really have to take place bef ...

It does seem as if there are some risk positive stories at the margin. Then you can look at the 899 news from the United States as an example of that. And even some of the weakness in the data at the United States has been fed through into the lower rates narrative.So I suppose from that perspective, the the push higher in stocks makes sense. Is that too much complacency, though, in your view. I'm struggling with this market at the moment.Every input would seem bullish at the margin. As you say, yields are ...

June 23, 2025 12:53 AM GMT India Economics – Macro Indicators Chartbook | Asia Pacific Policy Impetus to Bolster Growth Growth indicators exhibit a modest recovery led by domestic demand. Macro stability indicators have improved, increasing flexibility for policy makers. Uncertainty from external conditions continues to weigh on growth, even as India appears better placed on a relative basis. 1) Growth – uneven recovery: High-frequency data in May suggest a mixed trend across indicators, with ones such as G ...

June 23, 2025 06:07 AM GMT Economics, Banks, Macro and Sovereign Credit Strategy | EEMEA CEE Trip Notes | From Politics to Policy | What's Changed | | | | --- | --- | --- | | PKO BP (PKO.WA) | From | To | | Price Target | PLN 80.00 | PLN 91.00 | | Top Pick Added | OTPB.BU | PKO.WA | | OTP Bank (OTPB.BU) | | | | Price Target | HUF 28,700.00 | HUF 32,400.00 | | Top Pick Removed | OTPB.BU | PKO.WA | | Pekao SA (PEO.WA) | | | | Price Target | PLN 176.00 | PLN 209.00 | | | We visited Budapest, Warsaw and Prague ...

China Weekly: May Mixed Growth, Softer Fiscal Condition; June Weaker Home Sales High frequency: weaker home sales in June, softer port activities 30-city property sales declined further to -9% YoY in the first 21 days of June from - 3% YoY in May. That in tier 1 cities slid to -4% YoY, tier 2 cities narrowed decline to - 12% YoY and tier 3 cities declined by -6% YoY. Port cargo throughput and container throughput growth both softened to -1% YoY and 2% YoY in the first 15 days (vs 4% YoY and 7% YoY in May). ...