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CoreWeave: An Irrational Selloff
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-26 18:01
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and return [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens for stocks that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence to the investment process [1] Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts, employing multicolor lines for clarity [1] - Trend lines are drawn in multicolor patterns to assist in visualizing price movements and potential future trends [1]
MediaAlpha, Inc. (MAX) Just Overtook the 20-Day Moving Average
ZACKS· 2025-11-26 15:36
Core Viewpoint - MediaAlpha, Inc. (MAX) is showing potential for a bullish trend as it has crossed above the 20-day moving average and reached a key support level [1] Technical Indicators - The 20-day simple moving average is a popular tool among traders, providing insights into a stock's price over a 20-day period, which is beneficial for short-term trading [2] - A stock price above the 20-day moving average indicates a positive trend, while a price below suggests a downward trend [3] Performance Metrics - MAX has experienced a rally of 10.7% over the past four weeks, and it currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating potential for further upward movement [5] - Positive earnings estimate revisions support the bullish outlook, with no estimates decreasing in the past two months and two estimates increasing, leading to a rise in the consensus estimate [5] Investment Consideration - Given the technical indicators and positive earnings revisions, MAX is recommended for investors to consider adding to their watchlist [6]
Blue Owl Capital: Private Credit Fear Is Mispriced
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-26 09:32
Core Insights - The investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a balanced portfolio of approximately 50% in each [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is utilized to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is employed to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Investment Strategy - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] - A professional background check is conducted on each insider who purchased shares following a sell-off, ensuring due diligence [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but may also invest in companies from less stable economies [1]
ORCL Earnings More Important Than NVDA? A.I. Spend Takes Over Trade
Youtube· 2025-11-25 16:00
Core Viewpoint - The tech sector, particularly AI-related stocks, is experiencing significant selling pressure, with concerns about overspending and fundamental issues emerging as key themes in the market [2][4][5]. Group 1: AI Sector Performance - Nvidia is facing heavy selling pressure, breaking through a key support level at 170, indicating a shift in AI sentiment from positive to negative over the past few months [2][3]. - Oracle's upcoming earnings report on December 8 is anticipated to be crucial for the AI sector, as it may address concerns regarding its heavy debt issuance and overall market sentiment [4][5]. - The overall sentiment around AI investments has deteriorated, with companies like Oracle and Alphabet showing mixed performance, raising questions about the sustainability of the AI growth narrative [3][5]. Group 2: Macroeconomic Indicators - The market is currently pricing in an over 80% probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, a significant increase from about 30% just a month ago [7][8]. - Mixed macroeconomic data, including PPI and consumer confidence, is complicating the economic outlook, with inflation remaining elevated despite signs of a softening labor market [10][14]. - The Federal Reserve is in a challenging position, needing to balance elevated inflation with a potentially weakening labor market, which could influence future rate decisions [10][14]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - The S&P 500 and NASDAQ have recently lost support at the 50-day simple moving average, with a critical test occurring at the 100-day simple moving average [16][17]. - A potential bounce off the 100-day moving average indicates a critical juncture for the markets, with bulls needing to clear the 50-day moving average to confirm an uptrend [17][18]. - The outcome of this technical analysis will be clearer by the end of the week, especially with the upcoming shortened trading week [19].
Texas Instruments: The Turnaround Is Fading (NASDAQ:TXN)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-24 20:34
Group 1 - Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) was downgraded to a sell rating due to bearish technical indicators and unattractive valuation [1] - The analyst suggested that investors should have sold their positions in TXN [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of core values such as Excellence, Integrity, Transparency, and Respect for long-term success in investing [1]
BNB Rebounds Above $860 After Testing Key Support
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-24 19:01
Core Insights - The native token of the BNB Chain, BNB, experienced a 1.88% increase to $863 after previously dropping to a low of $833, indicating a recovery following a significant decline earlier in the month [1] - BNB peaked above $866 in the last 24 hours, overcoming multiple resistance zones that had formed after previous failed attempts, suggesting a potential for further upward movement [2] - The recovery of BNB could indicate short-term stability, although the low trading volume may limit the sustainability of this upward trend [3] Market Performance - BNB has underperformed compared to the broader crypto market, with the CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index rising by 4% in the same 24-hour period [4]
The Short-Sellers May Be Right About This Red-Hot Pharma Stock
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-24 16:05
Company Overview - Palvella Therapeutics (PVLA) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company valued at $1.11 billion, focusing on novel therapies for rare genetic skin diseases [2]. - The company currently has no revenue or FDA pipeline, making it highly speculative and suitable for traders rather than long-term investors [5]. Stock Performance - PVLA has demonstrated exceptional price momentum, with shares up 508% over the past year and gaining 295.85% since a "Buy" signal was issued on July 9 [3][5]. - The stock recently reached a new 2-year high of $103 during trading on November 24 [4]. - PVLA has made 11 new highs and gained 39.9% in the last month, indicating strong recent performance [6]. Technical Indicators - The stock has a Weighted Alpha of +559.87 and a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 73.22, suggesting strong upward momentum [6]. - Barchart has a 100% "Buy" opinion on PVLA, and the Trend Seeker "Buy" signal remains intact [6]. - The current trading price is $102.76, with a 50-day moving average of $72.97, and a technical support level around $90.92 [6].
Nvidia: I’m Not Sweating A Drop After This Q3 Meltdown (NASDAQ:NVDA)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-24 02:58
Core Insights - The investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a balanced portfolio of approximately 50% in each [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to determine optimal entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Investment Strategy - The investor's timeframe for holding positions ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] - A professional background check is conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off to gauge credibility and potential for recovery [1] - The approach includes screening through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but also considering international investments [1]
Nvidia: I'm Not Sweating A Drop After This Q3 Meltdown
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-24 02:58
Core Insights - The investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a balanced portfolio of approximately 50% in each [1] - The investment strategy is centered around identifying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Investment Strategy - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] - A professional background check is conducted on insiders who purchase shares after a sell-off, indicating a focus on insider activity as a signal for potential investment [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but may also invest in companies from less stable economies [1]
The Fed Is Unlikely To Lower Interest Rates In The December FOMC Meeting
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-21 20:00
Core Insights - The investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a balanced portfolio of approximately 50% in each [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is utilized to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is employed to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Investment Strategy - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] - A professional background check is conducted on each insider who purchased shares after a recent sell-off to ensure credibility [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but may also invest in companies from less stable economies [1]