花旗将中国2025GDP增速预期从4.7%上调至5%。 ...

Market Performance - The S&P 500 index slightly decreased by 0.15%, closing at 5967.84 points, down from 5976.97 points the previous week [1] - Year-to-date, the index has increased by 1.47%, but is down 2.87% from the closing high of 6144.15 points on February 19, 2025 [1] - The index has risen 19.77% from the recent low of 4982.77 points on April 8 [1] Sector Performance - Among the 11 sectors of the S&P 500, 3 sectors saw gains last week, down from 4 the previous week [1] - Year-to-date sector performance shows a 15.21% difference, with the industrial sector leading at 7.78% increase, while the consumer discretionary sector is the worst performer, down 7.43% [1] - For 2024, the sector performance gap is 40.71%, with communication services up 38.89% and materials down 1.83% [1] - The energy sector performed best last week with a 1.10% increase, year-to-date up 3.28%, and up 5.67% from the end of 2023 [1] - The information technology sector ranked second with a 0.88% increase last week, year-to-date up 1.91%, and up 38.28% from the end of 2023 [1] - The financial sector was third with a 0.81% increase last week, year-to-date up 3.90%, and up 33.44% from the end of 2023 [1] - The healthcare sector was the worst performer last week, down 2.66%, year-to-date down 4.02%, and down 3.16% from the end of 2023 [1] - Communication services fell 1.73% last week, year-to-date up 3.80%, and up 44.16% from the end of 2023 [1] Trading Activity - Daily trading volume increased by 15% last week, up 2% from the previous week [2] - Trading volume was 29% higher than the one-year average and 37% higher than the five-year historical average [2] - The VIX index closed at 20.48, down from 20.65 the previous week, with a trading range of 18.67-21.79 [2] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield decreased to 4.38% from 4.41% the previous week [2] - Crude oil prices rose to $75 per barrel from $73.46 the previous week [2] - Gold prices fell to $3381.40 from $3452.10 the previous week [2] Earnings Reports - As of the first quarter of 2025, 497 companies have reported earnings, with 383 exceeding expectations and 310 surpassing sales expectations [2] - Earnings are expected to decline by 6.0% compared to Q4 2024, but increase by 5.3% compared to Q1 2024 [2] - Sales are projected to decrease by 4.0% from the record Q4 2024, but increase by 3.5% compared to Q1 2024 [2] - Operating profit margins are expected to drop from 12.04% in Q4 2024 and 11.58% in Q1 2024 to 11.78% [2] Economic Reports - A series of economic reports are scheduled for release this week, including PMI composite initial value, existing home sales, and various price indices [3] - Reports will also cover consumer confidence, mortgage applications, new home sales, and weekly jobless claims [3] - Additional data on durable goods orders, GDP, corporate profits, international trade, and retail inventory will be released [3] - The week will conclude with reports on personal income and spending, as well as consumer sentiment [3]

June 20, 2025 05:00 AM GMT Waiting on the world to change The Fed remained on hold at the June meeting. The FOMC expects to see the effects of tariffs on inflation in the summer, as do we. Key Takeaways US Economics Weekly | North America 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 Jan-24 Mar-24 May-24 Jul-24 Sep-24 Nov-24 Jan-25 Mar-25 May-25 Jul-25 Sep-25 Nov-25 Jan-26 Mar-26 May-26 Jul-26 Sep-26 Nov-26 Core PCE (%) y/y (%) 3-month SAAR (%) MS Forecast Source: BEA, Morgan Stanley Research forecasts M ...

US Economic Weekly Economics - North America Waiting game Research Analysts North America Economics David Seif - NSI david.seif@nomura.com +1 212 667 9180 Aichi Amemiya - NSI aichi.amemiya@nomura.com +1 212 667 9347 Jeremy Schwartz - NSI jeremy.schwartz@nomura.com +1 212 667 9637 June FOMC meeting – hawkish on net The June FOMC meeting was hawkish on net. The 2025 median rate projection was left unchanqed at two cuts, but the committee was highly divided with 10 participants expectinq 2 or 3 rate cuts this ...

There was a lot of talk on the on the flip side on the GDP side. What if actually AI can increase productivity and regrow GDP faster than expectations. Even taking doctors as an example, this new company coming in and developing kind of a diagnosis engine.And already a third of US physicians are on the platform using it, you know, 10 times a day to kind of help diagnose. You multiply that by the legal profession, coding, I think we're already seeing. What if we just see an explosion of productivity gains ac ...

We spoke just a few moments ago about what we were expecting. 7-2 seems to have been the consensus a little bit may be more dovish in terms of the vote split. That looks like it, Guy.Absolutely. As you say, the hold was widely expected, but all the focus as your last guest was also saying, is on whether the break down was going to be seven members of the monetary policy committee voting to to hold and to for a quarter point cut. But in fact, we've got three for a quarter point cut.And it looks like the addi ...

智通财经6月19日电，新西兰第一季度GDP同比下降0.7%，预期下降0.8%，前值由-1.10%修正为-1.3%； 环比增长0.8%，预期增长0.7%，前值由0.70%修正为0.5%。 ...

新西兰一季度GDP同比 -0.7%，预期 -0.8%，前值 -1.1%。 ...

新西兰一季度GDP季环比 0.8%，预期 0.7%，前值 0.7%。 ...

has left the room and I do want to bring him in. Um, a couple things are clear here to me, Steve. Number one, um, it seems the Fed chair believes that the tariffs have put both sides of the mandate into question and they're going to have to wait and see on how to deal with all of that.And that Pal himself doesn't seem to be a huge fan of these SCPs either. Um, and he revisited the refrain from the last meeting, throwing back at the reporter who asked him the question, "What would you write? We'll do the bes ...