Live from Washington, D. C. This is balance of power with Joe Matthew and Kaylee Lyons.Counting down to the Fed just an hour away. Welcome to the Wednesday edition. As policymakers prepare an announcement today on interest rates here in Washington that will likely not please the president of the United States.A fresh reading on GDP to take with us into this meeting. I'm Joe Matthew alongside Kailey Leinz in washington. Thanks for joining us.We're about a half hour away, kelly, from our special coverage. And ...

The GDP grew at an annual rate of 3% in the second quarter after falling in the first, a swing economists attributed to President Donald Trump's wide-ranging trade war. https://t.co/wQVVpbm5dj ...

You know, I think if there were a beauty contest for GDP releases that Miss July would probably be very close to the top of the list of the early betting because it got everything for everybody. There's really strong growth, really strong income growth. We've got a huge reduction in government spending, 5% drop in government spending, now 70,000 fewer federal employees.Uh, and we've got 127 billion in tariffs. And so the story, the anti-Trump story has been that we're going to have a recession or a depressi ...

RT unusual_whales (@unusual_whales)US Q2 GDP: +3.0%, expected: 2.4% https://t.co/Z5r4T4cHOj ...

Economic Indicators - Pre-market futures show slight increases with Dow up +20 points, S&P 500 up +8 points, and Nasdaq up +50 points, following economic news [1] - ADP reported +104K new private-sector jobs in July, a significant rebound from the revised -23K in June and exceeding the consensus estimate of +64K [3][6] - Q2 GDP growth was reported at +3.0%, surpassing the expected +2.3% and marking a recovery from the -0.5% in Q1 [7][8] Company Earnings - Kraft Heinz (KHC) exceeded bottom-line earnings estimates by +7.8%, reporting 69 cents per share [2] - V.F. Corp. (VFC) reported a smaller-than-expected loss, improving by +31.5% [2] - Etsy (ETSY) missed Zacks consensus estimates by -53.7% [2] Sector Performance - The job growth breakdown shows Goods-producing jobs at +30% and Services at +70%, with Leisure & Hospitality leading at +46K new jobs [4] - Small companies added +12K jobs, while medium and large businesses contributed +46K jobs [5] - The Core PCE Price Index rose to +2.5%, indicating stronger-than-expected economic growth without runaway inflation [8][9] Market Expectations - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is expected to maintain interest rates at +4.25-4.50% during the upcoming meeting [9] - Anticipation surrounds whether voting members will support or oppose Fed Chair Jerome Powell's stance on interest rates [10] - Major companies like Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META) are set to report earnings after the market closes [11]

Economic Overview - The economy presents a strong headline snapshot, but closer inspection reveals concerning underlying data [1][2] - GDP reading shows 3%, largely a reversal from the first quarter [1] - The economy is basically at full employment, satisfying one of the Fed's dual mandates [1] Consumer Spending & Investment - Consumer spending is described as "okay" rather than strong [1] - Investment number was down 15% [1] - Consumer-driven companies are not having robust quarters, indicating consumers are feeling the pinch [9] Labor Market - Jolt data indicates a loss of 280,000 jobs in the system [1] - There were 260,000 less hires last month [1] - 150,000 less people quit their jobs, suggesting a less optimistic view of the economy [1] Inflation & Pricing - PCE and CPI numbers were warm, slightly higher than expected, but within an acceptable range [1] - Import numbers offset each other, from -4.7% to +5% [1] - Costs will ultimately be passed down to the consumer, as companies will not decrease their profit margins [4][5] Company Performance Indicators - UPS is a good indicator of e-commerce activity and last-mile delivery performance [8][11] - Starbucks numbers reflect consumer discretionary spending [8] - Whirlpool numbers indicate consumer willingness to upgrade appliances [9]

GDP Growth & Economic Strength - US economy grew stronger than expected in Q2, driven by trade balance and consumer strength [1] - Strong GDP growth and income growth were observed [2] - The GDP release showed overall economic strength [4] - Real income grew by 3% [7] Tariffs & Trade - $127 billion in tariffs were collected [3] - Imported goods prices have dropped, suggesting foreign producers are bearing tariff costs [6] - Revenue from tariffs is important for deficit reduction [19] - Approximately 40% of imports have a 10-15% tariff [21] - The EU and Japan have agreed to spend $1 trillion in America with capital formation [21] Government Spending & Employment - Government spending saw a 5% drop [3] - There are 70,000 fewer federal employees [3] Housing & Construction - Construction spending was a point of weakness in the numbers [10] - Construction projects were held up due to anticipation of the "big beautiful bill" [11] Monetary Policy - Core PCE is at 21% [8][14] - The White House respects the Federal Reserve's independence and analysis [14]

About this content About Jamie Ashcroft Jamie Ashcroft, the News Editor for Proactive UK, has developed an impressive career in financial journalism, focusing on the small-cap sector for over fourteen years. Before joining the Proactive team, he was a stockbroker during the global financial crisis, a role that complemented his educational background - a first-class degree in Business and Economics and qualifications in software design and development. As one of the early external hires at Proactive in 20 ...

预计三季通胀率为1.8%，核心通胀率为3.1%。 加拿大央行：预计在当前的关税下，二季度GDP萎缩1.5%，三季度GDP增长1%。 人口增长乏力及投资疲软将制约加拿大下半年经济表现。 2025年下半年及2026年消费增长或持续温和。 在新贸易环境下，预计加拿大下半年出口有望"企稳"。 ...

美国国家经济委员会主任哈塞特解读称，第二季度进口额下降为进口价格下降所致。外汇交易员 (@myfxtrader):美国第二季度进口下降推动GDP表现好于预期（公布值3%，预期2.4%），特朗普随即喊话美联储必须降息。 https://t.co/SuKBgBBlQY ...