Market Sentiment - The CNN Money Fear and Greed index showed a decline in overall market sentiment, remaining in the "Extreme Fear" zone with a current reading of 22.1, down from 22.7 [1][6]. Stock Market Performance - U.S. stocks settled lower, with the S&P 500 falling approximately 0.2% to 5,662.89, the Dow Jones decreasing by around 11 points to 41,953.32, and the Nasdaq Composite declining 0.33% to 17,691.63 [1][4]. Federal Reserve Insights - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell downplayed concerns regarding tariffs potentially reigniting inflation, labeling their impact as "transitory." However, the Fed's latest projections indicated slower economic growth, rising unemployment, and hotter inflation [2]. Company Earnings - Darden Restaurants Inc. saw its shares gain around 6% due to stronger-than-expected earnings, while Accenture plc's shares dipped over 7% after issuing FY25 diluted EPS guidance below estimates [2]. Economic Data - The U.S. current account deficit decreased by 2.0% to $303.9 billion in the fourth quarter, compared to a revised deficit of $310.3 billion in the third quarter. Initial jobless claims rose by 2,000 to 223,000, slightly below market estimates of 224,000. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index fell to 12.5 in March from 18.1 in the previous month, against market estimates of 8.5 [3]. Sector Performance - Most sectors on the S&P 500 closed negatively, with materials, consumer staples, and information technology stocks recording losses. Conversely, energy and utilities stocks closed higher [4]. Upcoming Earnings - Investors are anticipating earnings results from NIO Inc., Carnival Corp., and MINISO Group Holding Ltd. [5].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4 2024, the company generated GAAP net income applicable to common stockholders of $9.1 million or $0.29 per diluted share, while earnings available for distribution (EAD) were $3.3 million or $0.10 per share, impacted by approximately two cents per share of special committee-related expenses [12][25][26] - Book value per common share decreased to $3.82 from $4.02 as of September 30, 2024, with NAV down approximately $5.5 million or 2.3% relative to the previous quarter [13][26] - Financial leverage remained consistent at 5.3 times, with $46 million of unrestricted cash on the balance sheet [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The MSR portfolio had a UPB of $17.3 billion and a market value of approximately $234 million, representing about 46% of equity capital [19] - The RMBS portfolio accounted for approximately 38% of equity capital, with a weighted average three-month CPR of approximately 5.7% compared to 5.4% in the previous quarter [22][23] - The RMBS net interest spread was 2.9% lower than the prior quarter due to improved repo costs being offset by a reduction in swap and dollar roll income [23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Long-term yields rose to seven-month highs, with the ten-year yield ending at 4.57%, nearly eighty basis points higher quarter over quarter [7] - Mortgage spreads widened and volatility increased due to concerns about the US election and future debt levels, despite two rate cuts by the Fed [16] - Prepayment speeds for the MSR portfolio averaged approximately 4.7% for Q4, down modestly from the previous quarter, while RMBS prepayment speeds rose modestly as expected [20][22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company completed the internalization of management, which is expected to reduce operating expenses in 2025 by $1.1 million to $1.6 million [9][11] - The investment strategy will continue to focus on agency RMBS and select MSRs that present strong risk-adjusted return profiles while maintaining strong liquidity and prudent leverage [14][15] - The company remains cautious of the macroeconomic environment and geopolitical factors, expecting to maintain its current investment strategy [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed concerns over persistent inflation and uncertainty about economic growth, indicating that additional rate cuts in 2025 will be fewer than previously expected [8] - The company anticipates continued volatility in the near term, with rates expected to remain higher until inflation shows signs of moderating or economic growth falters [18] - Management highlighted the importance of aligning management and shareholder interests through internalization, improving transparency and decision-making processes [10] Other Important Information - Operating expenses for the quarter were $4.5 million, including special committee-related expenses [28] - The board declared a dividend of $0.15 per common share for Q4 2024, paid in cash on January 31, 2025 [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Special committee expenses and internalization benefits - The special committee expenses were found in the SG&A line item, and benefits from internalization will be reflected in SG&A and compensation and benefits going forward [31][33] Question: Repo costs and portfolio growth - Elevated repo costs were attributed to year-end expenses, but benefits have been seen in the first quarter, with potential for growth through capital raising [35][36][42] Question: Capital allocation between investment bins - The increase in servicing equity composition was due to an increase in MSR value, with a focus on RMBS for better returns in the current environment [48][51] Question: Expectations for Fed rate cuts - Expectations for fewer rate cuts this year may impact investment strategies, with a focus on the MSR portfolio's returns if rates drop [56][57] Question: Refinance activity and spec pools - Current refinanceability stands at about 5-10%, with a need for mortgage rates to drop to around 5.7%-5.8% for significant refinancing activity [71][73]