Earnings ESP
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Will Take-Two (TTWO) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2026-01-06 18:10
Core Insights - Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) is well-positioned to continue its earnings-beat streak, having surpassed earnings estimates by an average of 93.18% in the last two quarters [1][2]. Earnings Performance - In the most recent quarter, Take-Two reported earnings of $1.46 per share, exceeding the expected $0.91 per share by 60.44%. In the previous quarter, the company reported $0.61 per share against an estimate of $0.27 per share, resulting in a surprise of 125.93% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for Take-Two have been increasing, with a positive Earnings ESP of +2.41%, indicating bullish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [5][8]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat, with historical data showing that stocks with this combination beat estimates nearly 70% of the time [6][8]. Earnings ESP Explanation - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions, which may be more accurate than earlier predictions [7].
Why Bristol Myers (BMY) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2026-01-06 18:10
Core Viewpoint - Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) is positioned well to potentially beat earnings estimates in its upcoming quarterly report, supported by a strong history of exceeding expectations [1]. Group 1: Earnings Performance - The company has a solid track record of surpassing earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 23.29% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the last reported quarter, Bristol Myers achieved earnings of $1.63 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.48 per share by 10.14% [3]. - For the previous quarter, the company reported earnings of $1.46 per share against an expectation of $1.07 per share, resulting in a surprise of 36.45% [3]. Group 2: Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent favorable changes in earnings estimates for Bristol Myers indicate a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction), suggesting a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [6]. - The current Earnings ESP for Bristol Myers is +5.44%, reflecting increased analyst optimism regarding its near-term earnings potential [9]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have historically produced positive surprises nearly 70% of the time [7].
Why Charles Schwab (SCHW) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2026-01-06 18:10
Core Viewpoint - Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) has a strong track record of exceeding earnings estimates and is well-positioned for continued success in upcoming quarterly reports [1]. Earnings Performance - In the last reported quarter, Charles Schwab achieved earnings of $1.31 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.24 per share, resulting in a surprise of 5.65% [2]. - For the previous quarter, the company was expected to report earnings of $1.09 per share but delivered $1.14 per share, yielding a surprise of 4.59% [2]. Earnings Estimates - There has been a favorable shift in earnings estimates for Charles Schwab, with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction), indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [5]. - The current Earnings ESP for Charles Schwab is +3.98%, reflecting recent bullish sentiment from analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [8]. Predictive Metrics - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate being more reflective of recent analyst revisions [7].
Why ATI (ATI) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2026-01-06 18:10
Core Viewpoint - ATI is positioned to potentially continue its earnings-beat streak, particularly in the upcoming earnings report, supported by a strong history of exceeding earnings estimates [1]. Earnings Performance - For the most recent quarter, ATI reported earnings of $0.85 per share, surpassing the expected $0.75 per share, resulting in a surprise of 13.33% [2]. - In the previous quarter, ATI's earnings were $0.74 per share against an expectation of $0.72 per share, leading to a surprise of 2.78% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for ATI, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [5]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have historically produced a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time [6]. - ATI currently has an Earnings ESP of +0.35%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about the company's earnings prospects, combined with a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [8]. Upcoming Earnings Report - The next earnings report for ATI is expected to be released on February 3, 2026 [8].
Will Microchip Tech (MCHP) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2026-01-06 18:10
Core Viewpoint - Microchip Technology (MCHP) is positioned well to potentially beat earnings estimates in its upcoming quarterly report, supported by a strong history of exceeding expectations in previous quarters [1]. Earnings Performance - Microchip Technology has a solid track record of surpassing earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 9.28% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the most recent quarter, the company reported earnings of $0.35 per share against an expectation of $0.33, resulting in a surprise of 6.06% [2]. - For the previous quarter, the consensus estimate was $0.24 per share, while the actual earnings were $0.27 per share, leading to a surprise of 12.50% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable shift in earnings estimates for Microchip Technology, indicated by a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction), which is a strong signal for a potential earnings beat [5]. - The current Earnings ESP for Microchip Technology stands at +4.99%, reflecting increased analyst optimism regarding its near-term earnings potential [8]. Zacks Rank and Predictive Power - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat, with historical data showing that such combinations lead to positive surprises nearly 70% of the time [6][8]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate being more reflective of recent analyst revisions [7].
Earnings Preview: Delta Air Lines (DAL) Q4 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2026-01-06 16:01
Core Viewpoint - Delta Air Lines (DAL) is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended December 2025, with the consensus outlook being crucial for assessing the company's earnings picture [1] Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to show quarterly earnings of $1.55 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 16.2% [3] - Revenues are projected to be $15.45 billion, which is a decline of 0.7% compared to the same quarter last year [3] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.94% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by covering analysts [4] - Despite the upward revision, the Most Accurate Estimate for Delta is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.29%, suggesting a bearish outlook on earnings prospects [12] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the likelihood of actual earnings deviating from consensus estimates, with positive readings being more reliable [9][10] - Delta's current Zacks Rank is 3, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat given the negative Earnings ESP [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Delta exceeded the expected earnings of $1.52 per share by delivering $1.71, resulting in a surprise of +12.50% [13] - Over the past four quarters, Delta has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [14] Conclusion - While Delta does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors influencing stock performance ahead of the earnings release [17]
Delta Air Lines to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in the Offing?
ZACKS· 2026-01-06 15:20
Core Insights - Delta Air Lines (DAL) is expected to report a fourth-quarter 2025 earnings decline of 16.22% year-over-year to $1.55 per share, with revenues projected at $15.45 billion, a 0.7% decrease from the previous year [1][7] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings is $5.82 per share, reflecting a 5.52% year-over-year decrease, with revenues estimated at $62.08 billion, indicating a 0.7% increase from 2024 [3] Performance Factors - Increased passenger volumes, particularly from domestic markets during the Thanksgiving holiday, are expected to positively impact DAL's revenue for the December quarter [4] - However, a prolonged government shutdown is anticipated to reduce pre-tax profitability by approximately $200 million, equating to about 25 cents per share, due to operational disruptions and flight cancellations [5][7] - Rising labor costs are projected to increase non-fuel unit costs (CASM: adjusted) by 1.5% compared to fourth-quarter 2024 levels [5][7] Earnings Surprise History - DAL has a strong earnings surprise history, having surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the last four quarters, with an average beat of 8.9% [3] Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for DAL, as it has an Earnings ESP of -1.41% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [6]
Can K12 (LRN) Keep the Earnings Surprise Streak Alive?
ZACKS· 2025-12-31 18:10
Core Viewpoint - K12 (LRN) is positioned to potentially continue its earnings-beat streak in the upcoming report, having surpassed earnings estimates consistently in recent quarters [1]. Earnings Performance - In the last reported quarter, K12 achieved earnings of $1.52 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.23 per share, resulting in a surprise of 23.58% [2]. - In the previous quarter, K12 was expected to report earnings of $1.83 per share but delivered $2.29 per share, leading to a surprise of 25.14% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for K12 have been increasing, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat, especially given its favorable Zacks Rank [5][8]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP for K12 is currently +3.72%, suggesting that analysts have recently become more optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [8]. Statistical Insights - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have historically produced a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, indicating a high probability of beating consensus estimates [6]. - The combination of K12's positive Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) suggests that another earnings beat may be imminent [8].
Analysts Estimate Jefferies (JEF) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-12-31 16:01
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Jefferies (JEF) will report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues in its upcoming earnings report for the quarter ended November 2025 [1] Earnings Expectations - Jefferies is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.83 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 21% [3] - Revenues are projected to be $1.93 billion, down 1.1% from the same quarter last year [3] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.96% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a slight positive adjustment by analysts [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for Jefferies matches the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0% [11] Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong indicator of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) [9] - Jefferies currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2, making it challenging to predict a consensus EPS beat [11] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Jefferies was expected to earn $0.79 per share but exceeded expectations with earnings of $1.05, resulting in a surprise of +32.91% [12] - Over the past four quarters, Jefferies has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [13] Market Reaction Factors - An earnings beat or miss may not solely dictate stock movement, as other factors can influence investor sentiment [14] - It is advisable to consider a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank before quarterly releases to enhance investment success [15]
Why Carnival (CCL) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2025-12-18 18:11
Core Viewpoint - Carnival (CCL) is positioned to potentially continue its earnings-beat streak in the upcoming report, supported by a strong history of exceeding earnings estimates, particularly with an average surprise of 27.08% over the last two quarters [1]. Earnings Performance - In the last reported quarter, Carnival achieved earnings of $1.43 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.32 per share, resulting in a surprise of 8.33% [2]. - For the previous quarter, Carnival was expected to report earnings of $0.24 per share but delivered $0.35 per share, leading to a significant surprise of 45.83% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for Carnival, with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction), indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [5]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have historically produced a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, suggesting a high probability of exceeding consensus estimates [6]. Earnings ESP Analysis - Carnival currently has an Earnings ESP of +1.52%, indicating that analysts have recently become more optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [8]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 suggests that another earnings beat may be imminent, with the next earnings report expected on December 19, 2025 [8].