Economic Growth
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Lower rates will probably be the best thing for small caps, says Michael Landsberg
CNBC Television· 2025-09-19 11:07
Market Trends & Economic Outlook - The market may see a similar situation to a year ago with potential for rising inflation and two-year Treasury yields around 35%, possibly moving higher [1] - Economic growth alongside rising inflation isn't necessarily negative [1] - Small caps are potentially underowned, with futures short on Russell, suggesting lower rates could benefit them [1] Investment Strategies & Portfolio Allocation - The firm suggests not being long bonds and considering a lower bond allocation, with alternatives like gold for balance [1] - Diversification is crucial, with potential opportunities in international markets (e g, China) and small caps [1] - Consider diversifying from the "Magnificent Seven" (Mag 7) due to their concentrated exposure [1] Individual Stock Picks & Sector Focus - Axon, a maker of body cams and tasers, is highlighted as a potentially good investment with 30% type growth [1] - AI is a significant theme for the next 3-5 years, but diversification beyond chip manufacturers is recommended, including data centers, cooling systems, and energy companies [1][2] Valuation & Risk Management - Overconcentration in a few AI chip names carries significant risk [2] - The traditional valuation game may not always work, as seen with Nvidia and Broadcom, where earnings eventually justified high valuations [1] - Stocks hitting highs often continue to make new highs, while stocks hitting lows can potentially go to zero [1]
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-09-19 06:40
Greek and Spanish output—both of which contracted sharply in the early 2010s—last year grew by 2.3% and 3.2%, respectively. By contrast, Britain, France and Germany stagnated https://t.co/YH9LCCFeFu ...
X @Ansem
Ansem 🧸💸· 2025-09-18 16:21
Market Trends - Retail sales and manufacturing show positive growth, suggesting economic strength [1] - GDP has been revised upwards, indicating a stronger economic outlook [1] - Jobless claims are lower, suggesting the labor market is not weakening as much as feared, and recession predictions may be inaccurate [1] - AI spending is a primary driver of market performance over the past year [1] Fiscal & Monetary Policy - Fiscal policy remains expansionary with continued government spending [1] - Monetary policy is becoming less restrictive, with potential rate cuts [1] - The Federal Reserve's uncertainty about future actions suggests a tendency to follow existing trends [1]
Mohamed El-Erian on why the Fed's messaging is 'a mess'
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-18 15:34
The latest dot plot highlighting the growing division among FOMC members with one member seeing the Fed hiking rates this year. Another who we can probably guess seeing cuts of one and a quarter% over the next two meetings. Joining me now, Muhammad Alerian, Queens College Cambridge president. It's so good to have you here with us in the studio. Muhammad and so I noticed you retweet a comment from Jim Biano, another longtime Fed watcher and investor. and he basically said this meeting was a mess of this late ...
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-09-18 15:30
The case for easier money depends almost entirely on the labour market. The trouble is judging how much poor jobs numbers—and an accompanying slowdown in economic growth—reflect softer demand for workers rather than their shrinking supply https://t.co/uaahZ0kJMj ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-18 06:50
Sales Forecast - Next warns of slowing sales in the second half of the year [1] - The retailer forecasts sluggish growth for the UK economy [1]
Atico Signs the Investment Protection Agreement with Government of Ecuador for its La Plata Project
Globenewswire· 2025-09-17 20:30
Core Viewpoint - Atico Mining Corporation has signed an Investment Protection Agreement (IPA) with the Ecuadorian State for the La Plata mining project, involving a total investment of USD 157.9 million, marking a significant milestone for the company and the project [1][2]. Investment Agreement Details - The IPA provides legal and tax stability for the duration of the project, ensuring that essential regulations remain unchanged [2][5]. - A corporate income tax reduction of 5% is granted during the life of the contract [5]. - The agreement includes provisions for international arbitration in case of disputes, with arbitration to be conducted in New York under Ecuadorian law [2][5]. Project Development and Employment - The La Plata project is nearing the final stage of obtaining necessary environmental licenses and permits, with construction expected to begin once these are secured [3]. - The project is anticipated to create over 600 direct jobs and between 1,200 to 1,800 indirect jobs during the construction phase, and more than 300 direct jobs and between 600 to 900 indirect jobs once in commercial production [3]. Company Overview - Atico Mining Corporation focuses on exploring, developing, and mining copper and gold projects in Latin America, generating significant cash flow from the El Roble mine and developing the La Plata VMS project [4].
Fed Chair Powell: The market is also pricing in a rate path
CNBC Television· 2025-09-17 19:48
Howard Schneider with Reuters. So, um, as you mentioned a minute ago, some margins of the job market would suggest that the slides already happening. Black unemployment rate in August was above 7%.Uh, declining work week, difficulty among co college graduates finding work, high rising youth unemployment. Why do you think a quarter percentage point now is going to arrest that. Well, I I hadn't say that I thought a quarter point would make a huge difference to the economy, but you got to look at the whole pat ...
Looking ahead to today's Fed decision
CNBC Television· 2025-09-17 17:06
If you look at uh the CME Fed watch, 96% chance, a 25 basis point cut. It seems to be the consensus we're going to get something. Is 50 basis points possible.I don't think so. I think you get 25 basis points. And I think the the more uh interesting dynamic surrounding this afternoon's Fed meeting is how many descents do we get.We potentially could get three descents. That's the first time since 1988. the dissents will be regarding what you're speaking toward, which is we should get a 50 basis point cut.So, ...
President Trump in the Oval with the Besties
All-In Podcast· 2025-09-17 15:12
This room needs no introduction. We're in the Oval Office and we're here to speak with President Trump about all the changes and improvements he's made to the White House. If you look at before and after photos, which I'm sure we'll put on the screen, the oval looked kind of drab before President Trump gave it a little bit of a makeover here.And we'll talk to him about all the changes he's made, some of these paintings he's added, the artwork, and then we'll go out and you're going to see the rose garden pa ...