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O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2025 Investor Letter
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-16 01:00
Market Overview - The third quarter of 2025 was characterized by exuberant markets and rising speculation, with major U.S. equity indices reaching new highs despite stretched valuations [2][3] - The enthusiasm surrounding artificial intelligence (AI) and cryptocurrencies significantly influenced risk assets, leading to concerns about potential bubble-like conditions [2][3][4] - AI-related companies saw rapid valuation increases as investors anticipated AI's transformative potential across various industries [3][4] AI and Cryptocurrency Trends - AI-linked companies propelled the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to all-time highs, reflecting a strong investor appetite for AI-related investments [3] - Bitcoin surpassed the $100,000 mark and approached $120,000 by late Q3, contributing to a broader crypto market valuation of approximately $3.9 trillion [5] - The rapid inflows into crypto markets exemplify speculative behavior, raising concerns about volatility and the potential for sudden reversals [5][6] Investment Strategy - The company emphasizes a disciplined investment approach, focusing on genuine innovation while being cautious of extreme market pricing [2][6] - Historical precedents, such as the late-1990s tech boom, highlight the risks associated with "priced for perfection" scenarios, particularly in AI-related stocks [4][6] - The company aims to separate durable economic fundamentals from speculative narratives, maintaining a balanced stance amid market hype [6] Corning's Position - Corning has benefited from increased demand for fiber optics driven by AI, with its stock rising approximately 75% year-to-date [7] - The company is compared to its past during the dot-com boom, where it experienced extraordinary demand and soaring valuations, raising caution about current market conditions [8][9] - Corning's current valuation is near 36x earnings, which, while not at 2000 extremes, still raises concerns about sustainability given historical returns on equity [13] Portfolio Adjustments - The company exited positions in Donnelley Financial, Lazard, and Capstone Copper, while initiating a new holding in Topgolf Callaway Brands [19] - The decision to exit Donnelley Financial was based on concerns over market share loss to competitors, while Lazard's stock approached fair value [20][22] - Topgolf Callaway Brands was initiated due to its straightforward business model and potential for value realization through a possible sale [24][29]
X @Santiment
Santiment· 2025-10-15 17:47
🐳 Interested in always knowing which cryptocurrencies are at risk of a sell-off? Here is a list of the largest percentage of market caps being moved to centralized exchanges by whales, minimum $1M transfers. Right now, $YGG, $EIGEN, $ATH, $PAXG, $PENDLE, & $AAVE are moving. https://t.co/Qo6hrgvAOc ...
Gold (XAUUSD), Silver, Platinum Forecasts – Gold Tests $4200 As Rally Continues
FX Empire· 2025-10-15 17:38
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of conducting thorough due diligence before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading activities [1] Group 1 - The content includes general news and personal analysis intended for educational and research purposes [1] - It highlights that the information provided does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1] - The article warns that the information may not be accurate or provided in real-time, and prices may be sourced from market makers rather than exchanges [1] Group 2 - The website discusses complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1] - It encourages individuals to perform their own research and understand the risks involved before investing in any financial instruments [1] - The article states that FX Empire does not endorse any third-party services and is not liable for any losses incurred from using the information provided [1]
Forget Tariffs - The Real Market Killer Is Already Here
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-15 15:15
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of building robust and diversified investment portfolios to preserve and increase wealth over time [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - The Pragmatic Investor is designed to guide investors of all levels, covering global macro, international equities, commodities, tech, and cryptocurrencies [1]. - The platform offers features such as a portfolio, weekly market updates, actionable trades, technical analysis, and a chat room for investor engagement [1]. Group 2: Analyst Background - James Foord, an economist with a decade of experience in analyzing global markets, leads The Pragmatic Investor [1].
NASDAQ Index, S&P 500 and Dow Jones Forecasts – US Indices Look to Recover
FX Empire· 2025-10-15 13:20
Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting with competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading activities [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party content intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information should not be interpreted as recommendations or advice for any financial actions [1]. - The content is not tailored to individual financial situations or needs, highlighting the necessity for users to apply their own discretion [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - Users are encouraged to perform their own research and understand the risks involved before investing in any financial instruments [1].
Money Flows Finds Outliers Like Arista Networks Early
FX Empire· 2025-10-15 11:43
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of conducting thorough due diligence before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading activities [1] Group 1 - The content includes general news and personal analysis intended for educational and research purposes [1] - It highlights that the information provided may not be accurate or in real-time, and prices may be sourced from market makers rather than exchanges [1] - The article warns that trading decisions should be made at the individual's full responsibility, and reliance on the information provided is discouraged [1] Group 2 - The website discusses complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1] - It encourages individuals to perform their own research and understand the risks involved before investing in any financial instruments [1] - The article mentions that FX Empire does not endorse any third-party services and is not liable for any losses incurred from using the information provided [1]
See How Money Flows Make Micron an Outlier
FX Empire· 2025-10-15 11:40
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of conducting thorough due diligence before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading activities [1] Group 1 - The content includes general news and personal analysis intended for educational and research purposes [1] - It highlights that the information provided does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1] - The article warns that the information may not be accurate or provided in real-time, and prices may be sourced from market makers rather than exchanges [1] Group 2 - The website discusses complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1] - It encourages users to perform their own research and understand the risks involved before investing in any financial instruments [1] - The article states that FX Empire does not endorse any third-party services and is not liable for any losses incurred from using the information provided [1]
Gold and Silver Rally as Fed Caution, Trade Tensions, and Dollar Weakness Fuel Demand
FX Empire· 2025-10-15 03:30
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of conducting thorough due diligence before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading activities [1] Group 1 - The content includes general news and personal analysis intended for educational and research purposes [1] - It highlights that the information provided does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1] - The article warns that the information may not be accurate or provided in real-time, and prices may be sourced from market makers rather than exchanges [1] Group 2 - The website discusses complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1] - It encourages users to perform their own research and understand the risks involved before investing in any financial instruments [1] - The article states that FX Empire does not endorse any third-party services and is not liable for any losses incurred from using the information provided [1]
Gold (XAUUSD), Silver, Platinum Forecasts – Gold Tests New Highs As Traders Focus On Powell's Dovish Comments
FX Empire· 2025-10-14 18:10
Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party content intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information should not be interpreted as recommendations or advice for investment actions [1]. - The content is not tailored to individual financial situations or needs, highlighting the necessity for users to apply their own discretion [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - Users are encouraged to perform their own research and understand the risks involved before investing in any financial instruments [1].
Gold (XAUUSD) Price Forecast: Rally Eyes $4200 as Fed Cut Bets and Trade Fears Intensify
FX Empire· 2025-10-14 15:36
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of conducting thorough due diligence before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading [1] Group 1 - The content includes general news and personal analysis intended for educational and research purposes [1] - It highlights that the information provided may not be accurate or in real-time, and prices may be sourced from market makers rather than exchanges [1] - The article warns that trading decisions should be made at the individual's full responsibility, and reliance on the information provided is discouraged [1] Group 2 - The website discusses complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1] - It encourages individuals to perform their own research and understand the risks involved before investing in any financial instruments [1] - The article states that FX Empire does not endorse any third-party services and is not liable for any losses incurred from using the information on the website [1]