MACRO: The Fed decides today on its first rate move of 2026, @Polymarket is pricing a 100% chance that rates stay unchanged. https://t.co/pWBW4wugxm ...

Group 1 - President Trump criticized the Federal Reserve and Chair Jerome Powell for maintaining high interest rates, suggesting that rates will decline significantly under the next Chair [1][2] - Trump accused Powell of being indecisive and deliberately keeping borrowing costs elevated, asserting that his administration had previously managed to lower rates [2] - The Federal Open Market Committee meeting is anticipated to keep interest rates unchanged, with a 97.2% probability of this outcome according to CME Group's FedWatch tool [3] Group 2 - Trump has indicated that he has made his choice for the next Fed Chair, with Rick Rieder from BlackRock Inc. being the frontrunner at a 51% chance of appointment [4] - Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh is in second place with a 27% chance, while Kevin Hassett from the National Economic Council has a 7% chance [5] - The iShares US Treasury Bond ETF, which tracks U.S. Treasuries, experienced a decline of 0.11%, closing at $23.04, indicating an unfavorable price trend in the short, medium, and long terms [5]

RT Probable (@0xProbable)LAST CALL: Will Fed interest rates change after January 2026 meeting?https://t.co/4eeZlnz3J8 ...

There was a massive meltdown in Japan's government bond markets last Tuesday, and investors are bracing for more volatility, and stress in Tokyo could turn into stress for Wall Street and beyond. Yields on 30-year, 40-year Japanese debt spiked on Tuesday. Higher bond yields mean higher borrowing costs.Now, remember, Japan was home to ultra low interest rates for decades, providing an anchor to borrowing costs around the world. The nation has some of the biggest piles of debt in developed markets after years ...

The U.S. 30-year Treasury Bond futures edged 1.18% higher in 2025, while the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) posted a marginal 0.19% decline. I asked where U.S. government bonds were heading in 2026 in a November 27, 2025, Barchart article, where I concluded with the following: I favor lower interest rates in 2026, but in late 2025, the path of least resistance remains a coin flip that could land on its side, suggesting another year of sideways trading.  More News from Barchart The long bond fu ...

The Bank of Canada is likely to hold interest rates steady on Wednesday as officials wait for clearer signals on how much damage the economy may yet absorb from shocks in US trade policy https://t.co/MavFmEG9MC ...

The potential next Fed Chair thinks we should cut interest rates 100 basis points.Give this man the job ASAP! https://t.co/kN4lmdzpd4 ...

Market Overview - Wall Street is experiencing volatility with mixed profit reports from major companies, leading to a slight rise in the S&P 500 by 0.5% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 288 points or 0.6% [1] - The Nasdaq composite increased by 1% [1] Company Performance - UnitedHealth Group's stock dropped by 19.1% despite reporting a profit that exceeded analysts' expectations, primarily due to a disappointing revenue forecast for the upcoming year [2] - Other healthcare companies, including Humana, Elevance Health, and CVS Health, also faced significant declines of 20.2%, 13%, and 12.9% respectively, influenced by a projected rate increase for Medicare Advantage that did not meet investor expectations [3] - Corning's stock rose by 15.5% after announcing a $6 billion deal with Meta Platforms to supply optical fiber and cable for data centers [4] - General Motors and HCA Healthcare saw stock increases of 9% and 11.1% respectively, both reporting profits that surpassed Wall Street's expectations and initiating stock buyback programs [5] - UPS's stock rose by 4.4% following a stronger profit report and a positive revenue forecast for 2026, while American Airlines' stock fell by 4.2% due to a profit that fell short of expectations [6] Market Sentiment and Economic Indicators - There is increasing pressure on companies to deliver strong profit growth following record stock price increases, as stock prices typically align with corporate profits over the long term [7] - Anticipation surrounds upcoming earnings reports from major tech companies, including Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Tesla, and Apple [7] - Big Tech stocks contributed positively to the S&P 500, with Apple and Microsoft gaining 2.2% and 2% respectively [8] - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its main interest rate steady, with inflation remaining above the 2% target [9] - Consumer confidence in the U.S. has weakened, dropping to its lowest level since 2014, which could impact market sentiment [10]

Federal Reserve officials this week are expected to stop cutting interest rates for the first time since September, holding steady after three consecutive reductions. The harder question is what it would take to start again. https://t.co/ePtPr5EyhU ...

Despite the expected arrival of a new Trump-appointed Federal Reserve chair in coming months, respondents to the CNBC survey are only forecasting modest changes to the funds rate over the next two years. The results, which mirror pricing in the fed funds futures market, show that neither Wall Street nor economic forecasters believe that the next Fed chair will drive down overnight rates toward the low levels demanded by the president. ...