Core Insights - BAD BEAT Investing, led by Quad 7 Capital, has been providing investment opportunities for nearly 12 years, with a notable call in February 2020 to sell everything and go short, maintaining an average position of 95% long and 5% short since May 2020 [1] - The team consists of 7 analysts with diverse expertise in business, policy, economics, mathematics, game theory, and sciences, focusing on both long and short trades [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes short- and medium-term investments, income generation, special situations, and momentum trades, aiming to educate investors on becoming proficient traders [1] Benefits of BAD BEAT Investing - Investors can learn to understand market dynamics, execute well-researched trade ideas weekly, and utilize 4 chat rooms for discussions [2] - Daily complimentary summaries of key analyst upgrades and downgrades are provided, along with education on basic options trading and access to extensive trading tools [2]

Group 1 - The trade talks between China and the U.S. resulted in lower tariffs, boosting market sentiment and leading to a significant increase in stock prices at the start of the week [1] - Newmont Corporation (NEM) experienced a decline of 4.9%, trading at $51.33, marking its worst daily percentage drop since early April, despite a 20% year-over-year gain [2] - Options traders showed bullish sentiment with a 50-day call/put volume ratio of 4.27, ranking higher than 78% of readings from the past year [2] Group 2 - Short-term traders have also leaned bullish, indicated by NEM's put/call open interest ratio of 0.61, which is in the 34th percentile of annual readings [3] - Newmont stock has outperformed options traders' volatility expectations over the last 12 months, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) of 82 out of 100, suggesting a favorable environment for options trading [3]

Group 1 - The security is supported by its 200-day trendline and peak put open interest at the 165-strike, indicating strong technical support levels [1] - The stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is 89 out of 100, suggesting it has outperformed options traders' volatility expectations over the past year [1] - The recommended call option has a leverage ratio of 7.7, which will double with a 13% increase in the underlying security [1] Group 2 - Interactive Brokers Group Inc (NASDAQ:IBKR) has recently surpassed its 50-day moving average and the $177-$180 pivot range, indicating bullish momentum [2] - The stock is trading above its year-to-date breakeven level and has achieved approximately a 50% year-over-year gain as of the last close [2] Group 3 - Subscribers to Schaeffer's Weekend Trader options recommendation service received detailed commentary and trade recommendations for IBKR, highlighting its popularity [3] - The stock is currently trading above multiple layers of support, reinforcing its positive outlook [3] Group 4 - Schaeffer's Trade of the Week service offers a single, well-researched trade recommendation each week, aimed at providing clarity and focus for traders [4] - This service is designed for traders seeking a reliable strategy without the distraction of multiple alerts [4]

Group 1 - FerdiS focuses on investing in dividend growth stocks and utilizes options to enhance dividend income [1] - The portfolio, DivGro, primarily consists of dividend growth stocks and was established in January 2013 [1] - FerdiS has over 20 years of investment and trading experience, contributing to articles on various investment topics [1] Group 2 - Collaboration with the founders of Portfolio Insight, which is an online platform for portfolio management and investment analysis [1] - Maintenance and publication of Dividend Radar, a weekly free spreadsheet that lists dividend growth stocks [1]

Group 1 - eBay Inc is experiencing unusual options activity with 18,000 calls and 15,000 puts traded, which is five times the average intraday volume [1] - The surge in options activity follows the announcement of CFO Steve Priest's resignation in May, with Peggy Alford from PayPal set to replace him, alongside better-than-expected revenue for Q1 and an optimistic Q2 forecast [2] - eBay's stock has a 10-day put/call volume ratio of 7.86, indicating a significant increase in put buying, ranking higher than 99% of readings from the past year [3] Group 2 - Despite positive news and bullish options flow, eBay's stock is trading lower, down 1% at $67.51 after briefly exceeding $70, pulling back from a year-to-date gain of over 10% [4] - The 126-day moving average near $65 is identified as a key support level, having contained multiple pullbacks throughout April [4]

Core Insights - Wendy's Co (NASDAQ:WEN) is set to announce its first-quarter earnings on May 2, with significant options trading activity indicating heightened interest and potential volatility ahead of the report [1][2] - The current sentiment among options traders is leaning bearish, as evidenced by a high call/put volume ratio of 7.99, which ranks in the 98th percentile of annual readings [2] - Historically, Wendy's stock has shown mixed performance post-earnings, with an average next-day swing of 2.3% over the last two years, but current options pricing suggests a larger expected move of 7.1% [3] Stock Performance - Wendy's stock is currently trading at $12.47, down 1%, and is close to its five-year low of $12.05 reached on April 9 [4] - The stock has experienced a 23.5% year-to-date decline and has been under pressure from a descending 20-day moving average since late March [4] - The stock's rally attempts have been capped at the $16 level in late February, indicating resistance in the current market environment [4] Volatility Expectations - Wendy's stock has historically outperformed options traders' volatility expectations, as indicated by a Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) rating of 94 out of 100 [7]

Group 1 - Super Micro Computer Inc (NASDAQ:SMCI) stock has decreased by 16.4%, trading at $30.11, following a reduction in fiscal third-quarter profit and revenue guidance significantly below analysts' expectations, with customers postponing orders leading to a delay of up to $1.4 billion in sales [1] - J.P. Morgan Securities has lowered its price target for SMCI from $39 to $36, with potential for further downward revisions as the current 12-month consensus target price of $48.62 represents a 62.3% premium to current levels [2] - The stock is testing support at the $30 level and is on track for its worst day since November, with the $40 region acting as a ceiling since late February, contributing to a 65.2% year-over-year deficit [3] Group 2 - Today's options activity shows 135,000 calls and 107,000 puts traded, which is triple the intraday average volume, with the most active being the weekly 5/2 30-strike put where new positions are being opened [4] - Calls have been more popular than usual, indicated by a 10-day call/put volume ratio of 2.61 at major exchanges, ranking in the 96th percentile of its annual range [5]

Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN) is among the "Magnificent Seven" names hitting the earnings confessional this week, with first-quarter results due out after the close on Thursday, May 1. Wall Street will be eager to learn how tariffs are impacting consumer spending on the e-commerce platform. Ahead of the event, Oppenheimer cut AMZN's price objective to $220 from $260.AMZN was last seen down 1.7% to trade at $185.83, looking to snap its four-day win streak after gaining 9.5% last week. Shares are down 15.5% so ...

Core Insights - T-Mobile US Inc's stock has declined by 9.2% to $238.17 despite reporting better-than-expected first-quarter earnings and revenue, primarily due to disappointing subscriber growth [1] - The company added 495,000 monthly bill-paying customers, which was better than competitors AT&T and Verizon, but fell short of analysts' expectations of 506,400 [1] - Year-to-date, T-Mobile's shares are down 8.2%, moving further away from the March 3 record high of $276.49 [2] Options Activity - T-Mobile has seen significant options activity with 8,179 calls and 17,000 puts exchanged, more than double the average daily options volume [3] - The most active options contracts include the weekly 5/2 227.50-strike put and the 235-strike put, with new positions being opened in both [3] Analyst Ratings - RBC Capital is the only firm to adjust its price target post-earnings, raising it to $265 from $260 [4] - Among 30 analysts covering T-Mobile, 19 have a "buy" or better rating, with a 12-month consensus price target of $269.68, representing a 14.2% premium to current levels [4]

Core Insights - Tesla Inc's stock has decreased by 7.1%, trading at $224.28, making it one of the worst performers in the Nasdaq Composite [1] - Barclays has reduced its price target for Tesla from $325 to $275, citing unclear earnings visibility ahead of the upcoming first-quarter report [1] - Production delays for the U.S.-made, cheaper Model Y have been reported, adding to investor concerns [1] Stock Performance - Tesla shares have a year-to-date deficit of 44.4% and are on track for a third consecutive daily loss [2] - The stock has faced resistance at the $280 level since early March, with a longer-term resistance indicated by the declining 40-day moving average [2] Options Activity - Tesla was among the most popular stocks for options trading in the last 10 days, with over 13.4 million calls and 13.2 million puts traded [6] - The most active options contract was the April 240 put [6] - Tesla's total options volume over the past 10 days was 26,786,445, ranking it second among all equities [7] Earnings Expectations - Historically, Tesla stock tends to underperform post-earnings, finishing lower in six of the last eight sessions [8] - However, the stock has had back-to-back positive reactions to earnings in the last two years, averaging an 11.3% move regardless of direction [8] - Current options pricing indicates a 14.7% expected swing following the upcoming earnings report [8] Volatility Assessment - Tesla's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is 80 out of 100, indicating that the stock has outperformed options traders' volatility expectations over the past year [8]