This may sound so strange to ask it like this, but did we just have a hawkish cut inside of a dovish meeting. Did we just get that. >> I don't feel like that was a hawkish cut.I thought that uh it was interesting that he used the word well positioned. You opened your remark with that. Wellpositioned is the phrase of this meeting.And he went on to basically repeat well position when he was asked, "Are you really on hold now?" And one of the most interesting things was he emphasized this idea that I've that's ...

It is Fed day and Wall Street is pricing in almost a 90% chance of another rate cut. But markets remain in full hold your breath mode this afternoon because what happens at 2 p. m.could reset the entire path for the economy as we head into 2026. Welcome to the Big Money Show. I'm Jackie D'Angelus.I'm here with my co-host Taylor Riggs, Dan McDow, Brian Breberg, and with us for the hour, Michael Lee, strategy founder. Michael Lee named after himself. All right.The Federal Reserve is deeply divided. Some membe ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates is expected to influence the 10-year Treasury yield and subsequently affect mortgage rates [1] Group 1 - The Fed's interest rate decision is a critical factor for the movement of the 10-year Treasury yield [1] - Changes in the 10-year Treasury yield will have a direct impact on mortgage rates [1]

Um, we're bringing bring in a a guest here that I think has been listening to everything. Dana Peterson is the conference board's uh chief economist. Where do you come down on I don't know.Pick pick your poison uh Dana on on those two gentlemen. They agree on some things, but not on everything. >> Well, I think it's a little bit of everything in terms of the outlook for the economy and concerns about Fed independence and interest rates.Um but you know just talking about today I think the Fed will just go ah ...

Hi indeed, Carl. This is October read for Jolts. Uh 7,670,000.That's not a bad number. 7670 actually would be the strongest number going back to well going back to May when we were 70 7.7% million and change. So that's pretty decent.And considering that the expectation was for a number around 7.1% million. So it's definitely better than expected. We're also getting leading economic indicators which have been leading us in a negative lately.This is September read coming in exactly at is matching expectations ...

Key TakeawaysAustralia's central bank (RBA) maintained a hawkish stance, with Governor Bullock highlighting increased upside risks to inflation and the board's readiness to take necessary action, despite holding current rates.Japanese 2-year government bond yields surged to 1.065%, reaching their highest level since July 2007, as officials closely monitor forex market trends.Fintech firm Revolut completed a $75 billion funding round in November and is offering former employees the opportunity to sell shares ...

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Good morning, Sarah. Yeah, some good breaking news from the New York Fed with inflation expectations unchanged and labor market indicators improving. Let's go through them.The one-year, the three-year, and the 5-year uh inflation expectations from the New York Fed survey all unchanged. 3 2 3 and three. Now, these are all a bit elevated, but it's good news that they're not going up.Inflation expectations rise for food, gas, medical care, a big increase there, and rent as well. Now, there's fodder for both ha ...

Stocks may move to the upside in early trading on Monday, adding to the modest gains posted during last Friday's session. The major index futures are currently pointing to a slightly higher open for the , with the S&P 500 futures up by 0.1 percent.Optimism about the outlook for interest rates may contribute to initial strength on Wall Street ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting this week.With the Fed widely expected to lower interest rates by another quarter point, traders are likely to p ...

Japanese Bond Market Analysis - Japanese 30-year bond market is experiencing significant activity, with the 10 to 30-year spread nearly twice the normal spread over the last 25 years, reaching almost 160 compared to the usual 85 [2] - Japan is undergoing a normalization of its monetary policy after a period of yield curve controls and deflation [3][10] - The rise in Japanese bond yields could lead to a slowdown in the Japanese economy [7] Carry Trade Implications - Estimates suggest a $500 billion carry trade exists, and rising Japanese yields could cause capital to flow from the US back to Japan [5] - The unwinding of the carry trade is expected to continue as the US lowers interest rates and Japan raises them [10] Bond Samurai Influence - "Bond Samurai" are influencing the Japanese government to slow down quantitative tightening and adjust bond issuance towards the long end [6] - If the Japanese government doesn't heed the "Bond Samurai's" advice, rates could rise further, leading to a significant economic slowdown that could impact the US [7] US Market Impact - US real rates are approximately 100 basis points too high on the long end [11] - High US real rates could lead to a continued economic slowdown in the US unless they are lowered quickly [12]