AI and Computing Power Demand - The demand for computing power is insatiable, indicating a long runway for investment in physical infrastructure like semiconductors and cloud [1][2][3] - The expansion between Oracle and Open AI is 45 gigawatts worth of capacity, highlighting the significant energy requirements of AI development [3] - The U S is likely to lead the AI race due to its self-sufficiency and relatively cheap energy production compared to Europe and the U K [5] Energy Sector and Infrastructure - The energy sector and energy infrastructure requirements are intrinsically linked to the need for computing power, leading hyperscalers to invest in energy sources like nuclear [4] - The quest for cheaper, more efficient energy is crucial for supporting data center expansion and AI development [5] Market and Economic Factors - The jobs data is considered "Goldilocks" because of better-than-expected job numbers and a solid labor market, alongside slower wage growth [6][7] - The Federal Reserve is in no urgency to cut rates, which the market seems to prefer, valuing a strong labor market over immediate rate cuts [7] Technology Sector Performance - Technology sector exhibits strong earnings growth and benefits from productivity gains, making it an attractive area for investment [9] - Lower bond yields and interest rates, potentially resulting from future rate cuts, would particularly benefit growth areas like the technology sector [10]

Market Performance & Economic Indicators - The market rallied due to a better-than-expected jobs report [2] - The S&P and NASDAQ reached record highs [2] - The report suggests the economy is still performing well [1] Labor Market Analysis - Private sector job growth was 74,000, the slowest this year [3] - Less than half of the industries showed job growth [3] - The cyclical part of the economy's labor market is slowing [3] - Job prospects for college graduates worsened [6] Monetary Policy Implications - A July rate cut is unlikely [4] - September rate cut is questionable [4] Fiscal Policy & Social Safety Net - A fiscal package is expected to pass, potentially removing social safety net benefits from lower-income households [7] - Medicaid working requirements may be implemented after the midterm elections [8] - SNAP food assistance could be reduced this year [9] Economic Outlook - A significantly slower economy is anticipated in the second half of the year [9] - Consumer spending is crucial for company revenues and stock market performance [5]

Bitcoin Seesaws as Hot Jobs Report Extinguishes Rate Cut Hopes► https://t.co/9Dgh91gheP https://t.co/9Dgh91gheP ...

- Ignore the tariffs for a second. Inflation is behaving pretty much exactly as we have expected and hope that it would. We haven't seen effects much yet from tariffs and we didn't expect to by now.We've always said that the timing, amount, and persistence of the inflation would be highly uncertain, and it's certainly improved that. So, we're watching, we expect to see, over the summer, some readings, higher readings, but we're prepared to learn that it can be higher or lower or later or sooner than we'd ex ...

"I wouldn't take any meeting off the table"Jerome Powell won't be drawn on whether the Fed is likely to cut rates when it meets in July, as he joins other central bankers at Sintra https://t.co/FbZSTDqvWU https://t.co/OXZDTqTu16 ...

27 Jun 2025 17:07:58 ET │ 26 pages V i e w p o i n t | US Economics Weekly Summer of dove CITI'S TAKE Our base case for rate cuts to resume in September appears to have rapidly become the Fed official consensus. Two-year Treasury yields declined to reflect the likely upcoming cuts. We project the unemployment rate to rise from 4.2% to 4.4% next week, following continuing jobless claims higher. A sharper weakening in the job market (4.5% unemployment) could lead officials to bring forward the next cut to Jul ...

Uh Ed, we now have a market that uh you know is has kind of completed whatever uh we're going to call what happened in the spring, that severe correction. In fact, one of the fastest rebounds from a 15% plus pullback in the S&P 500 we've seen. What does that tell us.And I guess what is the overall market behavior suggest to you. Yeah, Mike, it certainly has been risk on since the the April lows. We went through a retesting period for a couple of weeks, but then once we got into late April, it's been very mu ...

Huge move this week in rate cut odds 📈3 cuts now up to 45% by end of year (up from 27%)Now 90% chance of anywhere from 2-4 cutsNo change at just 0.6% chance https://t.co/9E6dokXoqJ ...

Let's bring in Max Kentner, HSBC's chief multi-asset strategist to talk about this close. Max, you know, I sit here the S&P 500 at 6142. It's a couple of points from the closing high from February 19th.Uh does it make sense that we're back here. Yeah. Um I think it does.It absolutely does because when we look at the earnings picture, that actually uh does really still look resoundingly good. And when we look particularly at uh forward earnings, when we look at Q2 earnings expectation, it is actually bizarre ...

S&P as we've noted, is less than 1% from an all time high. Joining us now Carol Schleiff, BMO, BMO Private Wealth Chief Market Strategist the. Carol, it's good to see you the way the way that the journal I like summarized what Powell told lawmakers yesterday.It's kind of indicative of I think what we're talking about, he said, yeah, recent economic data would have likely justified some cuts, good cuts, I think because of inflation, not necessarily for because of bad reasons for weakness. However, higher tar ...