All right, let's talk markets. Ahead of a big week, investors paying close attention to fighting between Israel and Iran as well as the Fed. The central bank's going to be issuing its latest interest rate decision on Wednesday.And right now, we want to bring in Lori Calvacina. She is head of US equity strategy at RBC Capital Markets. And Lori, we thought we had a little bit of idea of how the markets were headed.We've been looking at inflation coming down. We thought maybe that was going to help the Fed get ...

In 2014-15, we had what uh economists call a silent recession in the US. We didn't see growth contract for the whole country. But in this area and other manufacturing areas, there was a big downturn.Um what was it like here. Uh it was bad. People have adapted.I think the uh frenzy that went on after uh were coming into 14 were uh especially the oil companies, the big independents that were drilling uh just to drill as much as they could, just to get as much oil as they could. Uh they learned a lesson in tha ...

K. Thank you. That's NBC's Kier Simmons.You bet. Joining us now, Goldman Sachs of Vice Chairman Rob Kaplan, who is former Dallas Sed president. And you know what we're going to talk about.Obviously, we're CPI, PPI, things like that. Uh Rob, but uh at this point uh we have um uh obviously been sort of upended uh by what happened in the last 24 hours or so. Does it change anything for for as far as the Fed's calculus goes.Um I think the market reaction there's a market reaction obviously in oil. You see gold ...

Market Volatility & Investment Strategy - The market has shown resilience with a V-shaped recovery, and investors should embrace volatility as it favors long-term value buyers [1] - Despite major market averages being in the black for the year, many individual stocks, especially in the Russell 2000, are still down significantly, presenting value opportunities [4] - Stock picking is expected to outperform buying indexes, offering better sleep-at-night valuations and generous dividend yields [11] Undervalued Sectors & Stocks - The energy sector, particularly Sevitas Resources, is attractive due to being hit hard, offering a big dividend yield and low PE ratio while remaining profitable [5][6] - Pharmaceutical companies like Merc are viewed as high quality, trading at a PE around 11 with a 4% dividend yield, lower than its historical valuation [6] - Whirlpool, the appliance maker, offers a yield over 7% with a PE in the 9-10 range, anticipating support from lower interest rates later in the year [8] - Target, the discount retailer, has a low valuation relative to its history and a dividend yield pushing 5% [8][9] - UPS, the package shipping company, aligns with the theme of low valuations and generous dividend yields [9] Economic Outlook & Fed Policy - Good news rate cuts are anticipated throughout the year, although immediate cuts are unlikely due to tariff uncertainties and high inflation expectations [12][13] - Historically, stocks have performed well regardless of Fed tightening or easing, rising or falling interest rates, or high or low inflation [14] - Value stocks have historically lost only a couple percent on average during recessions, with spectacular returns of 30-40% coming out of recessions [15][16] Portfolio Valuation - The portfolio's forward earnings trade at 14 times, compared to the S&P 500's 23 times forward earnings [10] - The portfolio's overall dividend yield is 250 basis points (25%) versus 130 basis points (13%) for the S&P 500 [10]

Major companies like Walmart, Mattel, and Ford have all suggested they're going to need to raise consumer prices as the tariffs hit them. Some companies have already had to raise prices, like Stanley Black and Dicker. So, here's what you said.Nobody's making this stuff up. Here's what you said. Walmart will be absorbing some of the tariffs.Some may get passed on to consumers. Do American consumers pay the tariffs. Again, uh, Senator, you are cherry-picking because Walmart makes decisions based on their cust ...

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon issued a new warning about the U.S. economy, saying that conditions could deteriorate soon and undermine a potential soft landing. "I think there's a chance real numbers will deteriorate soon," Dimon said Tuesday at a Morgan Stanley conference.Dimon pushed back on suggestions that economic surveys showing diminished business and consumer confidence are an indicator of what's to come. He explained that "neither consumers nor businesses ever pick the inflection points," and adde ...

[Music] With the big monthly CPI print on Wednesdays, investors are going to be laser focused on any clues as to tariff related inflation. But stepping back, what is the biggest driver of moves in stocks and bonds. Jobs, CPI, or the Fed itself.Today, we're going to check the scoreboard. I'm Jared Blicker, host of Stocks in Translation. We're going to show two charts with each of the three big market movers going back to the start of the October 22 bull market.And we start with the S&P 500, America's benchma ...

If there's a recession brewing in the macro, Carvana (NYSE: CVNA ) wouldn't know it. The used-car dealer, best known for its towering "vending machines" that deliver cars to buyers, has taken advantage of macro crosswinds over the past several years to becomeWith combined experience of covering technology companies on Wall Street and working in Silicon Valley, and serving as an outside adviser to several seed-round startups, Gary Alexander has exposure to many of the themes shaping the industry today. He ha ...

Core Insights - Best Buy's stock has experienced significant volatility, with a year-to-date decline of 23%, underperforming the S&P 500 [1] - The company reported a 2% decrease in net sales and a 5% decline in earnings per diluted share in Q1 2026, attributed to weaknesses in specific product categories [1][8] - Historical data indicates that during downturns, Best Buy's stock has lost substantial value, including a 45% drop in 2020 and a 55% decline during the inflation crisis of 2022 [2][6] Financial Performance - Best Buy's current stock price is approximately $66, with a forward P/E ratio of 11x, slightly below its four-year average of 12x [7] - Analysts have set a 12-month price target of $81, suggesting a potential upside of over 20% from the current price [7] - The company has revised its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance downward to a range of $41.1 billion to $41.9 billion, reflecting cautious consumer behavior amid persistent inflation [8] Market Conditions - Best Buy's reliance on imported electronics makes it vulnerable to tariff fluctuations, with 30-35% of merchandise sourced from China and 40% from other countries subject to tariffs [3][4] - The company has implemented selective price increases to mitigate the impact of increased tariff-related costs [3] - Consensus forecasts indicate flat revenue growth for fiscal 2026, with a modest 2% increase projected for fiscal 2027, highlighting ongoing macroeconomic challenges [8]

USA: FOMC Minutes Note Committee Is "Well Positioned to Wait for More Clarity" BOTTOM LINE: The minutes to the FOMC's May meeting noted that FOMC participants believed the Committee was "well positioned to wait for more clarity" on the economic outlook, given "solid" economic growth and a "moderately restrictive" monetary policy stance. "Almost all" participants saw a risk that "inflation could prove to be more persistent than expected." At the same time, the Fed staff judged that a recession was "almost as ...