From @WSJopinion: We now have a clear winner in the Justice Department’s antitrust suit against Google: artificial intelligence. As so often happens with antitrust, new technology has made DOJ’s suit obsolete. https://t.co/eg5BCtLF5q ...

I spoke with @jvisserlabs this week about the Federal Reserve, what is going to happen with artificial intelligence, future outlook for the stock market, and why interest rate cuts will be so bullish for bitcoin.Enjoy!YouTube: https://t.co/tLUkhMHCIdSpotify: https://t.co/YiY0K0gy8qApple: https://t.co/STz9L1DZIwTIMESTAMPS:0:00 - Intro1:02 - Where to find signal in the Federal Reserve9:12 - AI impact on interest rates & jobs16:35 - What does the young generation do?21:57 - Any risks of rate cuts while rising ...

Nvidia, the chipmaking giant at the center of the artificial intelligence revolution, has AI stock bets of its own. Here's where its putting its money. https://t.co/rDv0ZHDQm2 ...

Exclusive: The startup XOPS is using artificial intelligence and knowledge graphs to build a new platform for automating corporate IT departments, promising to get rid of “human middleware" https://t.co/F1cOq82fbl ...

Q2 2025 Performance - Net sales decreased by 1.2% organically, aligning with expectations, with large project timing headwinds in Metals & Mining and temporary rare earth magnet availability issues, offset by strength in Residential & Commercial HVAC and Aerospace[10] - Daily orders were down 2.5% year-over-year, but flat when factoring in a $35 million data center order in AMC received early in July[10] - Adjusted gross margin was 38.2%, impacted by temporary rare earth magnet availability[10] - Adjusted EBITDA margin was 22.0%, including $17 million in synergies[10] - Adjusted EPS increased by 8.3% to $2.48[10] - Adjusted free cash flow was $493 million, with $469.8 million used to pay down gross debt and $368.5 million contributed by a new receivables securitization program[10] Segment Performance - Automation & Motion Control (AMC) net sales decreased by 2.6%, with organic sales down 3.4%, driven by Medical, Data Center project timing, and rare earth magnet availability, partially offset by Aerospace[21] - Industrial Powertrain Solutions (IPS) net sales decreased by 3.8%, with organic sales down 4.4%, primarily due to Metals & Mining[25] - Power and Efficiency Solutions (PES) net sales increased by 5.9%, with organic sales up 6.5%, driven by R-HVAC and C-HVAC[29] Debt and Leverage - The company closed on a $400 million accounts receivable securitization facility maturing in 2026, with initial proceeds of $368.5 million used to repay bank debt[31] - The securitization facility is expected to provide ~$4 million in net annualized interest savings and improve debt to equity and leverage ratios[31] - Net debt at the end of Q2 2025 was $4.5347 billion[46] - Leverage ratio (Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA including synergies) decreased to 3.34[30] 2025 Guidance - Sales guidance is rising to ~$5.95 billion due to FX and tariff pricing impacts[32] - Organic growth is expected to be approximately flat to low single digits[32] - Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance is down ~50bps to ~22.5% due to larger FX headwinds, tariffs, and lower AMC margins (rare earth magnet costs, latest mix impacts)[34] - Adjusted EPS guidance is reaffirmed at ~$10.00, with a narrowed range of $9.70-$10.30[32]

Market Dynamics - Donald Trump considered breaking up Nvidia to increase competition in the artificial intelligence chips market [1] - Breaking up Nvidia is not easy [1]

Market Performance & Trends - The S&P 500, NASDAQ Composite, and NASDAQ 100 reached fresh records, while the Dow barely closed in the red and small caps fell by approximately 025% [2][3] - The 10-year Treasury note yield decreased by 6 basis points to 437%, and the 30-year yield also decreased by 6 basis points, remaining below 5% [4] - The US dollar index decreased by approximately 067%, a significant amount for a major currency [4] - Communication services showed the strongest performance, increasing by 137%, while energy declined by more than 1% [4] - Investors are becoming more comfortable with the resilience of the US economy, supported by strong retail sales and low jobless claims [7][8] - The market reaction to tariff headlines has diminished, with the S&P 500 and tariff-related stocks showing minimal movement in response to recent tariff news [32] Company Specific News - Trump Media Technology Group revealed approximately $2 billion in Bitcoin holdings, representing about two-thirds of their balance sheet [12][13] - Taiwan Semiconductor's largest client is Nvidia, and Taiwan Semiconductor lifted their full-year guidance by 30% [20][21] - NATO countries have committed to spend up to 5% of their GDP on defense spending over the next decade, and the European Union plans to spend $840 billion over the next four years on defense [22] - Nisource, a multi-utility company and one of the largest distributors of natural gas, has a dividend yield of nearly 3% and is considered a backdoor play into the AI revolution [26][27] - Coca-Cola is expected to report less growth in Q2 due to a slowdown in price increases, and General Motors is expected to report earnings in line with analyst estimates [63][64] Economic Outlook & Federal Reserve - The US economy is showing signs of regaining its strength, with consumer confidence and spending rebounding, and major financial institutions no longer anticipating a recession [43] - The Federal Reserve's summary of economic projections in June indicated a potential slowdown to 14% by the end of the year, with unemployment rising to 45% and core PCE inflation rising to 31% [47] - The market is currently pricing in approximately two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve for the remainder of the year, potentially in September and October [60]

Right after I won the election, I talked to President Trump and I suggested that uh it'd be great for him to come to Pittsburgh where we could talk about the crossroads of the AI revolution, the energy revolution. Uh Pittsburgh and Pennsylvania is really at the center of both revolutions. We have the second largest energy production in the country.We have bountiful uh natural gas, fourth largest reserves in the world, incredible skilled workforce that you just referred to, incredible technology universities ...

Market Trends & Dynamics - Markets are trying to recover after President Trump's comments on potentially firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell, causing market unease [3] - The market is closely watching the drama between Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell, with concerns that firing Powell would create a "mess" in both equity and bond markets [27][28] - Fed independence is seen as critical, with major banking names emphasizing its importance [29] - AI demand remains strong, with no signs of a slowdown, benefiting companies like Nvidia and Taiwan Semiconductor [15][16][17] Company Performance & Earnings - Lucid Group's stock surged over 25% after securing a $300 million investment from Uber for a robo-taxi program [7] - Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) now projects full-year sales growth of 30% year-over-year, up from a previous estimate in the mid-20% range, indicating strong tech demand [13][14] - PepsiCo reported better-than-feared earnings with a 9-cent earnings beat and a $400 million quarterly sales beat, maintaining its 2025 sales and profits outlooks [12] Monetary Policy & Federal Reserve - The market is pricing in 50/50 odds for a Fed rate cut in September, down from over 70% a few months ago, showing a rapidly changing outlook [34] - The Federal Reserve's independence is considered a "crown jewel" of the federal system, crucial for preserving currency strength and managing inflation and unemployment [51] - The Fed's target inflation rate is 2%, with the most recent numbers showing a 27% increase in the last month [48] Potential Risks & Concerns - Rising Treasury yields, particularly the 10-year yield approaching 46%, could weigh on equities [6] - Tariffs could impact the economy, with the full effects potentially hitting in the fall or even 2026 [33] - A potential third term for President Trump is viewed as less impactful on markets than interference with Fed independence [66][70]

Market Trend & Investment Opportunities - The market is close to all-time highs, and despite potential short-term weakness due to Treasury General account requequification, it's time to lean in, presenting buying opportunities [1][2] - The greatest capex boom is yet to come, driven by AI spending, with trillions of dollars still to be deployed in digital infrastructure [2][3] - Weakness in financials, industrials, utilities, and information technology sectors represents buying opportunities [4] - The S&P 500 has rallied almost 30% off the lows, and the NASDAQ has rallied 40% off the lows, indicating a strong profit cycle with potentially another double in the S&P [6][7] AI & Technology - Generative AI hitting the cost line helps margins expand, creating greater profitability and ROI in both public and private markets [8] - Data center buildout, requiring billions and ultimately trillions in spending, creates a catalyst for a full profit cycle [8] Financial Sector - The financial sector, including asset managers, advisors, and lenders, is a buy, supported by infrastructure rebuild and the increasing need for retirement investments [9][10][11] Valuation & Asset Management - An asset-light era is occurring, where companies with less fixed cost relative to labor, strong cash, and balance sheets should maintain higher multiples than historically seen [12] - Multiples sticky at current levels make sense [13]