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The Asia Trade 06/26/2025
Bloomberg Television· 2025-06-26 07:31
Market Trends & Geopolitical Risks - Asia is expected to open cautiously due to fatigue in Wall Street's rally and ongoing geopolitical risks [1] - The market is closely watching Asia tech, especially NVIDIA's suppliers, after NVIDIA's all-time highs [2] - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority intervened by buying $1.2 billion of local currency to defend the currency peg [3][13] - President Trump is considering naming the next Fed Chair early, potentially undermining Chair Powell [3][4] - The U S will hold a meeting with Iran next week, but the extent of damage to Iranian nuclear facilities remains uncertain [5][24][25] - Trade truce deadlines are approaching, creating uncertainty about the impact of unresolved tariff issues on inflation [35] Monetary Policy & Currency Dynamics - Markets anticipate that Trump naming a Fed Chair successor earlier could undermine Fed autonomy and lead to a dovish chair, impacting the U S dollar [18][35] - The broader dollar trajectory is for dollar weakness [14] - The Hong Kong dollar is at risk of falling out of its peg against the U S dollar, necessitating intervention [15] - The PBOC is helping to drive down benchmark borrowing costs in Hong Kong, creating an arbitrage opportunity that is pushing down the Hong Kong dollar against the U S dollar [16][17] Company Specific News - CATL is prioritizing overseas expansion due to irrational competition and price wars in China's EV market [1][35] - Zero acquired Melio, a payments platform, for $2.5 billion to bolster its U S offering and capture more market share [37][38] - Xiaomi is launching its first electric SUV, the YU7, and investors are closely watching the pricing and initial consumer reactions [56][57][58]
Crypto is about to 10X ↑
Altcoin Daily· 2025-06-24 22:14
Market Sentiment & Investment Opportunities - The crypto market is perceived to be in a "last chance zone" for current price levels, suggesting a potential upcoming bull run [1][2] - Rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are anticipated, which are expected to positively impact altcoins [3][4] - The market is shifting from retail-driven to Wall Street institutions and nation-state driven [1] - A specific altcoin, DMC (Delorean token), is highlighted as a promising project within the SUI ecosystem, having launched successfully [6] Regulatory Landscape & Institutional Adoption - The Federal Reserve is facing increasing questions about Bitcoin and crypto, with the Fed chair's responses being viewed as positive for the crypto market [7] - The Fed has removed "reputational risk" as a component in bank exams, seen as a positive step to depoliticize bank oversight, potentially encouraging bank involvement in digital assets [8][12] - Visa is expressing bullish sentiment on crypto and stablecoins, actively building infrastructure to embrace them [16][17] - The Genius Act has passed the Senate and is expected to pass the House, providing regulatory clarity for stablecoins [17] - The crypto market structure bill (Clarity Act) is considered a significant development that could allow exchanges to register with the CFTC, potentially reducing SEC oversight [18][20] Technological Evolution & Future Trends - Crypto is viewed as the next stage in the evolution of financial services, with shared infrastructure replacing traditional business logic [25][26] - The Robin Hood CEO believes that Bitcoin and crypto will replace traditional finance [23]
X @Investopedia
Investopedia· 2025-06-24 19:00
Fed Chair Powell Holds Firm On 'Wait-And-See' Approach To Rate Cuts https://t.co/ohqmJIYmVd ...
Fed's Goolsbee: If tariff air clears, we should proceed with cuts
CNBC Television· 2025-06-23 18:17
We also have some breaking news right now from the Federal Reserve. Let's get to that with Steve Leeman. Hey Brian, thank you.Uh Chicago Fed President Austin Goulby uh in an interview with the Milwaukee Business Journal saying that if the tariff air clears, we should proceed, we as in the Federal Reserve should proceed with cuts. Uh and and he's talking rather dovishly about the concern about tariff inflation. He's still concerned about it.still concerned about stagflation but says we haven't seen it yet. S ...
Sam Stovall: Fed is correct in staying on hold with rate cuts
CNBC Television· 2025-06-20 14:56
on closing bell overtime with Daly the San Francisco Fed president. We look forward to that. Let's stick with the fed though and the broader market as stocks maintain their climb.Although off the opening highs trying to lock in some gains for the week. Sam Stovall joins us. Cfra research chief investment strategist.Happy Friday Sam good to see you. >> Hey Carl good to talk to you again. >> You got a strong view on on which mandate the fed needs to emphasize.>> Well, a strong view I would tend to say is what ...
Fed Governor Waller: Fed could cut rates as early as July
CNBC Television· 2025-06-20 14:38
that that the inflation from tariffs is self-correcting because the demand destruction is so fierce. Speaking of the fed voting member, Waller today made some headlines during this interview with our Steve Liesman this morning. And Steve joins us with the latest in the highlights.Hey, Steve. >> Hey. Good morning.Yeah. Fed Governor Chris Waller, in an exclusive CNBC interview, threw a wrench in this market consensus that we have at the fed. Hey, it's going to take the summer off.But Waller said the central b ...
Crowdell: The outlook for utilities has never looked better
CNBC Television· 2025-06-20 11:35
Industry Trends & Growth Drivers - Electric, gas, and water utilities are experiencing significant capital expenditure (CapEx) growth, projected to increase over 50% from $150 billion annually to nearly $250 billion by 2026 [2] - Data centers are fueling load growth for utilities, contributing to a national average growth of 2-3%, with some areas experiencing high single-digit or slightly higher growth [8] Impact of Weather & Regulation - Heat waves are generally beneficial for utilities, allowing them to demonstrate the value of infrastructure upgrades and grid reliability [2][3] - The impact of heat waves on profits varies by state due to decoupling mechanisms, where some utilities like Exelon (EXC) in Illinois do not directly benefit financially from increased demand during hot weather [3] - Utilities may experience slightly higher operation and maintenance (O&M) expenses during extreme weather due to increased maintenance needs [5][6] Investment & Valuation - The utilities sector is currently trading at an 18% discount compared to the S&P 500, despite having comparable earnings growth of around 7% and offering a better dividend yield [10] - Potential rate cuts could further enhance the attractiveness of the utilities sector [11] - Despite having growth drivers, the utilities sector is still viewed as a defensive sector, similar to a bond proxy [13][14]
The Fed's hand will be held 'for quite a while' before contemplating rate cuts: Roger Ferguson
CNBC Television· 2025-06-20 11:33
Treasuries right now, though well-behaved with the ten year at 4.41% on Wednesday, the fed, as you know, left rates unchanged as widely expected to continue to pencil in two rate cuts by the end of the year, while also hinting at concerns about stagflation. For more, let's bring in Roger Ferguson, former fed vice chair, as well as a CNBC contributor. And when we're when we're on hold and we have you on, Roger, we've always got a lot to talk about, but sometimes it seems like we're talking about the same thi ...
The market is a forecasting machine, business is all about anticipation, says Jim Cramer
CNBC Television· 2025-06-17 23:51
Federal Reserve & Market Impact - The market is a forecasting machine, anticipating future economic conditions and reacting immediately to new data that changes the perception of the future [3][4][5] - Federal Reserve policy, particularly interest rate decisions, significantly impacts the stock market, with the market reacting rapidly to perceived changes [2][14] - When the Federal Reserve is perceived as supportive (rate cuts on the table), the stock market tends to perform well, and vice versa [12][13] - The stock market's performance is heavily influenced by anticipation of the Federal Reserve's actions, not necessarily the present economic conditions [4][9][11] Investment Strategy & Risk - Macro forces, such as Federal Reserve policy and trade policy, can override individual company fundamentals [2] - High-growth stocks are particularly vulnerable to Federal Reserve rate hikes [8] - Market declines can occur rapidly when investors anticipate economic slowdowns, leading to sudden bear markets [6][16]
May Inflation Data Could Boost the Case for Rate Cuts | Presented by CME Group
Bloomberg Television· 2025-06-13 20:52
[Music] The May consumer price index data showed a modest increase in inflation with CPI rising 0.1% month overmonth below the expected 0.2% with year-over-year headline inflation measured 2.4%. This reading has shifted some of the sentiment regarding interest rates after last week's stronger than expected labor data. The CME Fed Watch tool has increased the probability of a September rate cut from 6040 to 7030 after the release of the CPI data.The May CPI data suggests a cooling but stable inflation enviro ...