Core Viewpoint - The defense and military industry sector is experiencing significant upward momentum, driven by increased trading activity and positive fundamental developments, particularly in the context of the National Defense Military ETF (512810) [1][4][6]. Trading Activity - On August 29, the market showed strong performance, with the National Defense Military ETF (512810) rising by 1.2%, reaching a new three-and-a-half-year high, with a trading volume of 1.62 billion yuan [1]. - The ETF has seen a continuous inflow of capital, with over 1.1 billion yuan raised in the previous four days alone [1]. - The ETF's trading volume for the week reached 9.27 billion yuan, marking a new high since its inception nine years ago [4]. Stock Performance - Several constituent stocks of the National Defense Military ETF experienced significant price movements, with Longcheng Military and AVIC Chengfei both hitting their daily limit up, while China Satellite and other stocks also saw notable gains [3]. - The ETF's performance is reflected in the fact that 60 out of 72 disclosed military stocks reported profits in the first half of the year, with over 83% achieving positive net income growth [6][7]. Fundamental Developments - The recent rally in the defense sector is attributed to a recovery in the fundamental performance of companies, with many reporting improved earnings in their mid-year reports [6]. - The outlook for military orders is positive, with expectations for continued growth through the third and fourth quarters of 2025, supported by the "14th Five-Year Plan" for equipment development [6]. - Notably, some companies reported substantial increases in net profit, with Aerospace Science and Technology's net profit surging over 21 times [6][7]. Market Sentiment - The National Defense Military ETF (512810) has become a popular investment tool, covering various sectors including commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, and military AI, making it an efficient way to invest in core defense assets [8].

Group 1 - The defense and military industry sector is experiencing heightened activity as the countdown to the military parade approaches, with the defense military ETF (512810) rising over 1% in early trading on August 25, 2023, and achieving a trading volume exceeding 70 million yuan within the first 40 minutes [1][3] - The defense military ETF has shown strong performance, recording a three-week consecutive increase with a total weekly trading volume of 731 million yuan, marking a historical high [3] - Historical data indicates that significant military parades typically lead to excess returns in the defense and military sector, with the military industry index showing maximum gains of 47% and 16% before the 2015 and 2019 parades, respectively [3] Group 2 - The ETF (512810) encompasses a range of themes including commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, large aircraft, deep-sea technology, military AI, and controllable nuclear fusion, making it an efficient tool for investing in core assets of the defense and military sector [3] - Notable stocks within the ETF include AVIC Chengfei, which saw its stock price rise over 9%, reaching a historical high, while other companies like Zhongjian Technology and Huafeng Technology also experienced gains exceeding 7% [1][3]

1、短期大涨后部分资金后续或有借事件利好获利了结倾向，可能将造成近期波动加大； 2、市场风险偏好不减、基本面改善（预期）较大、地缘政治刺激频频、资本运作力度提升，共同支撑 着国防军工板块重心继续上移； 3、热点板块如有回调依然应保持关注，同时滞涨标的机会也将逐步出现。 8月19日早盘，国防军工板块大面积回调，代码有"八一" 的国防军工ETF（512810）一度下探2%，场 内放量溢价，不到半日成交已超1亿元，显示买盘资金尤为强劲。 人气成份股走势分化。菲利华、航天科技重挫居前。年内4倍牛股长城军工再现逆转，盘初一度下挫 8%，而后快速拉起冲高，振幅超13%！中国船舶吸并中国重工后今日复牌，高开逾6%，现涨2%。 | | | 分时 多日 1分 5分 15分 30分 60分 · | | | | F9 盘前盘后 壁加 九转 图线 工具 3 (2) > | | | 国防军工ETF 1 | 512810 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 512810[国防军工ETF] 11:03 价 0.722 ...

Group 1 - The defense and military sector experienced a significant surge on August 18, with the "Bayi" defense ETF (512810) rising by 2%, reaching a three-and-a-half-year high, with trading volume exceeding 110 million yuan [1] - Several key stocks in the sector saw substantial rebounds, including Changcheng Military Industry, which surged over 8% with a volatility exceeding 14%, and China Haifang and Tianhai Defense, both rising over 7% [1] - A press conference is scheduled for August 20, 2025, to discuss preparations for a military parade, which is expected to catalyze interest in the defense sector [1] Group 2 - Multiple institutions have recently emphasized the importance of monitoring the military parade as a catalyst for market movements, noting that previous parades from 2015 to 2019 led to impulse-like increases in the defense sector [3] - Citic Securities reports that the market's profit-making effect is accumulating, and the trend of incremental liquidity is expected to continue, recommending a focus on the defense sector along with innovative pharmaceuticals, resources, communications, and gaming [3] - Citic Jin Investment suggests that attention should be paid to new sectors while rotating between them, highlighting defense and military, AI, innovative pharmaceuticals, humanoid robots, beauty care, electronics, non-bank financials, and metals as key areas [3] Group 3 - The "Bayi" defense ETF (512810) is designed to cover both traditional military forces and emerging sectors, including commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, large aircraft, deep-sea technology, military AI, and controllable nuclear fusion, serving as an efficient tool for investing in core defense assets [3]

Group 1 - The defense and military industry sector remains highly active ahead of the upcoming military parade, with the "August 1" defense and military ETF (512810) opening higher on August 18 [1] - Key stocks in the sector include China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation and Tianhai Defense, both of which saw gains exceeding 5%, while popular stock Great Wall Industry fell by 4% and Aerospace Science and Technology dropped by 2% [1] - The defense and military ETF (512810) recorded a weekly trading volume of 594 million yuan, marking the second-highest level this year, indicating strong market sentiment [1] Group 2 - Multiple institutions have recently emphasized the importance of monitoring the military parade as a catalyst for market movements, noting that previous parades from 2015 to 2019 led to significant price increases in the defense and military sector [3] - According to a report from CITIC Securities, the market's profit-making effect continues to accumulate, and the trend of increasing liquidity is expected to persist, suggesting a focus on the defense and military sector along with other strong industries [3] - The "August 1" defense and military ETF (512810) is highlighted as an efficient investment tool that covers various hot topics such as commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, large aircraft, deep-sea technology, military AI, and controllable nuclear fusion [3]

| 分时 多日 = | F9 帝前魯后 晉加 九詩 國线 丁具 (2) > | 国际空间中心 | 0 7 5 +0.004 +0.56% | 512810[国防军工ETF] 10:46 价 0.715 涨跌 0.004(0.56 ... | LAND TO THE LEAST OF CHANGE OF THE CONTRACT AND THE CONTRACT CONTR | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 0.716 | 0.70% | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 用融/ ● + | SSE CNY 10:46:00 交易中 | 0.714 | 华宝中证军工ETF | 净值走势 | 申旋清单 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 委北 | 3.78% 型 | 10357 | 最小申赎单位份额 ...

Group 1 - The defense and military industry sector showed mixed performance, with Longcheng Military experiencing a drop of over 8% and Aerospace Science and Technology hitting the daily limit down, while commercial aerospace and low-altitude economy stocks rebounded, with Feiliwa rising over 12% to reach a historical high [1] - The National Defense and Military ETF (512810) managed to turn positive during trading, indicating strong buying interest, with over 44 million yuan of funds added on dips [1][3] - As the A-share market enters a period of intensive semi-annual report disclosures, the alignment between expectations and actual performance in the defense and military sector will be crucial for sustained growth [3] Group 2 - Three constituent stocks of the National Defense and Military ETF (512810) have released their mid-year reports for 2025, with Yingliu Co. and Xiangdian Co. achieving double-digit revenue growth year-on-year, while Haige Communication barely made a profit, with net profit down over 98% [3][4] - Recent institutional reports have highlighted the importance of the upcoming military parade as a potential catalyst for the sector, noting that previous parades from 2015 to 2019 saw a pulse-like increase in the defense and military stocks [4] - The National Defense and Military ETF (512810) covers various popular themes including commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, large aircraft, deep-sea technology, military AI, and controllable nuclear fusion, serving as an efficient tool for investing in core assets of the defense and military sector [5]

Core Viewpoint - The defense and military sector is experiencing volatility, with significant fluctuations in stock prices, particularly in the context of the recent market movements and upcoming financial disclosures [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index broke through 3700 points before experiencing a pullback, with the technology growth sector showing rapid differentiation and the defense and military sector declining [1]. - The defense military ETF (512810) opened at a three-and-a-half-year high but later fell by 1.66%, despite strong buying interest and a trading volume of 1.39 billion yuan, indicating high market activity [1][3]. - Longcheng Military and other popular stocks saw significant declines after reaching historical highs, with Longcheng Military dropping 7.12% on a trading volume of 85.85 billion yuan, despite a recent surge of over 100% in the past month [3]. Group 2: Stock Analysis - The defense military ETF (512810) has been actively attracting capital, with continuous premium trading and high-frequency trading activity, suggesting ongoing investor interest in the sector [3][4]. - China Great Wall stock showed resilience, hitting a new high for the year with a 3.6% increase and a trading volume of 121 billion yuan, making it the third-largest stock in the A-share market [3]. - The market is expected to face a tug-of-war between bulls and bears following recent breakthroughs, with profit-taking potentially increasing volatility in the defense and military sector [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The upcoming military parade is anticipated to boost sentiment and expectations in the defense and military sector, potentially catalyzing further market activity [3]. - The upcoming half-year reports are crucial, as the alignment between expectations and actual results could significantly impact the sector's continued upward trajectory [3].

8月14日午后，大盘新高后回落，国防军工板块加速走低，代码有"八一"的高人气国防军工ETF （512810）场内价格一度下探2%！场内放量溢价，成交快速突破1亿元。 回归板块逻辑，银河证券研报认为，内需+军贸+阅兵情绪共振，国防军工迎发展机遇。具体而言： 短期看，随着Q1订单放量，高库存背景下，Q2部分中上游企业业绩端或将改善，并逐步向中下游传 导。其次，"9·3"阅兵为行情重要催化剂。 中期看，"十五五"装备计划预期积极，订单端牵引有望于Q4落地。此外，2027年建军百年近在咫尺， 三年高景气有望延续。 长期看，印巴冲突擦亮中国军工名片，军贸迎来"Deepseek"时刻，内需+军贸共振，装备需求空间打 开；其次，北约各国大幅提升军费支出，全球军备竞赛升级，我国军费仍有较大提升空间。 【投军工，选"八一"】代码有"八一"的国防军工ETF（512810）兼顾传统主战力量与新域新质力量，覆 盖"商业航天 + 低空经济 + 大飞机 + 深海科技 + 军用AI + 可控核聚变"等诸多热门题材，同时是融资融 券标的+互联互通标的，是一键投资国防军工核心资产的高效工具。 数据来源于沪深交易所、公开资料等。 热门成份股集体 ...

Market Performance - The A-share market experienced a significant surge on August 13, with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving an 8-day winning streak and surpassing the previous high from the "9·24" market, reaching a peak of 3688.63 points, the highest in nearly four years [1] - The total trading volume of the two markets exceeded 2 trillion yuan, indicating strong market activity [1] Sector Highlights - The technology and defense sectors have shown rapid growth, with the defense and military industry being particularly active. The high-profile defense ETF (512810) reached a new high of 0.724 yuan, marking a 3.5-year peak with a trading volume of 1.36 billion yuan [1] - Five stocks within the sector hit the daily limit, including Feilihua, which surged by 20%, and Changcheng Military, which has seen its stock price double in the past month [3] Fund Flow and Stock Performance - The defense ETF (512810) saw significant inflows, with major stocks like China Great Wall receiving 1.124 billion yuan from institutional investors, indicating strong market confidence [3] - Other stocks such as Feilihua, Aerospace Science and Technology, and Changcheng Military also experienced substantial net inflows, highlighting the sector's attractiveness [3] Industry Outlook - The commercial aerospace sector is identified as a key growth area, with recent satellite launches indicating a burgeoning industry. As of August 9, a total of 73 low-orbit satellites have been launched [4] - Historical analysis suggests that defense and military stocks typically experience a surge in sentiment and performance around significant events such as military parades, with August being a critical period ahead of such events [4][5] Investment Logic - Short-term prospects are positive due to increased orders and improving performance in mid to upstream companies, with the "9·3" military parade acting as a catalyst for market activity [5] - Mid-term expectations are bolstered by the "14th Five-Year Plan" and anticipated orders, while long-term growth is supported by rising military expenditures globally and increased domestic demand for military equipment [5] ETF Characteristics - The defense ETF (512810) provides exposure to a range of sectors including commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, and military AI, making it an efficient tool for investing in core defense assets [5]