Core Insights - EverQuote, Inc. (EVER) is anticipated to show improvements in both revenue and earnings for the fourth quarter of 2025, with revenue estimates at $177.04 million, reflecting a 20% year-over-year growth, and earnings estimated at 35 cents per share, indicating a 6% increase year-over-year [1]. Revenue Expectations - The revenue for EverQuote is projected to be between $174 million and $180 million, suggesting a 20% year-over-year growth at the midpoint [4]. - The automotive vertical is expected to contribute significantly, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $164 million, driven by increased carrier spending for referrals from major customers [5]. - The Home and Renters vertical is also expected to benefit from higher carrier spending, with a consensus estimate of $12.95 million [5]. Marketing and Expenses - Variable marketing dollars are expected to be between $46 million and $48 million, indicating a 7% year-over-year growth at the midpoint, with a consensus estimate of $47.33 million [6]. - The variable marketing margin is projected to decrease due to competitive pricing pressures, with a consensus estimate of 26.7% [6]. - Total costs and operating expenses are likely to rise due to increased sales and marketing, research and development, and general and administrative expenses [7]. Share Buybacks - Continued share buybacks are expected to positively impact the bottom line in the upcoming quarter [7].

Core Insights - Boston Beer Company, Inc. (SAM) is anticipated to report year-over-year declines in both revenues and earnings for the fourth quarter of 2025, with revenues expected at $384.5 million, a 4.4% decrease from the previous year, and a loss per share of $2.33, widening from a loss of $1.68 in the same quarter last year [1][2]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is $384.5 million, reflecting a 4.4% decline from the prior-year quarter [2]. - The loss per share is estimated at $2.33, indicating a widening compared to the loss of $1.68 reported in the year-ago quarter [2]. Recent Performance - In the last reported quarter, the company achieved an earnings surprise of 12.4%, with an average trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 42.9% [3]. Factors Influencing Q4 Results - Seasonal and business-related challenges are expected to pressure Boston Beer’s fourth-quarter earnings, as this period is typically the weakest for the company, characterized by the lowest revenues and profit margins of the year [4]. - The company is increasingly reliant on summer-focused brands like Truly, Twisted Tea, and Sun Cruiser, which tend to sell less during colder months [4]. - Brand-specific challenges include the decline of the hard seltzer category, with Truly facing pressure from consumer shifts towards spirits-based ready-to-drink (RTD) beverages and higher-ABV options [5]. - Twisted Tea has experienced weakness in larger pack formats due to inflation and affordability concerns affecting value-conscious consumers [5]. - Broader industry headwinds include reduced discretionary spending, health-related concerns regarding alcohol consumption, and competition from hemp-derived beverages [6]. Strategic Initiatives - Boston Beer is focusing on strategic pricing, product innovation, and brand development to strengthen its market position and performance [7]. - The company is expanding its presence in the Beyond Beer category, which is growing faster than the traditional beer market [7]. - Strong price realization and ongoing procurement savings are helping to mitigate inflationary pressures [7]. Valuation Perspective - Boston Beer stock is trading at a premium compared to historical and industry benchmarks, with a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 20.12X, above the Beverages - Alcohol industry's average of 16.89X [9]. Stock Performance - Boston Beer shares have increased by 20% over the past three months, while the industry has grown by 23.3% [12].

Core Viewpoint - Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is anticipated to show an increase in revenues but a decline in earnings for the fourth quarter of 2025, with revenues expected to reach $102.9 billion, reflecting an 8.4% year-over-year growth, while earnings per share are projected at $5.19, indicating a 22.9% decrease from the previous year [1][2][7]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BRK.B's fourth-quarter revenues is $102.9 billion, marking an 8.4% increase from the prior year [1]. - The consensus estimate for earnings is $5.19 per share, unchanged over the past 30 days, suggesting a year-over-year decline of 22.9% [2]. Earnings Surprise History - Berkshire Hathaway has a mixed earnings surprise history, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 19.18% [3]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for BRK.B, as it lacks the necessary combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a favorable Zacks Rank [4][5]. Factors Influencing Q4 Results - The insurance operations are expected to benefit from improved pricing, strong policy retention, and higher average auto premiums, while underwriting profitability may have been supported by a mild catastrophe environment [6][7]. - GEICO is likely to report gains from increased policies, higher premiums, and improved operating efficiencies [8]. - The railroad subsidiary, BNSF, may face challenges from an unfavorable business mix but could see support from higher unit volumes and reduced operating expenses [9]. - The utilities and energy segment is expected to perform strongly due to increased contributions from natural gas pipelines [9]. - The Service and Retail divisions are likely to benefit from a strengthening economic backdrop, contributing to revenue growth and margin expansion [10]. Valuation and Performance - BRK.B's stock has outperformed the industry but underperformed compared to the sector and the S&P 500 in Q4 2025 [11]. - The stock is trading at a price-to-book value of 1.55X, which is lower than the industry's 1.48X, indicating attractive valuation compared to other insurers [12]. Business Model and Financial Stability - The insurance operations are a core component of Berkshire's business model, accounting for approximately one-quarter of total revenues and serving as a key growth engine [12]. - The insurance float has increased from around $114 billion in 2017 to $176 billion by Q3 2025, providing a low-cost capital source for investments [17]. - Berkshire's strong financial position supports steady share repurchases, contributing to long-term shareholder value [18]. Investment Considerations - Berkshire Hathaway's diversified business model offers stability and potential growth, particularly in its insurance segment, which is expected to benefit from solid results at GEICO and higher interest income [19]. - However, factors such as premium valuation, unfavorable return on capital, and expected earnings decline suggest caution for investors considering BRK.B stock at this time [20].

Core Viewpoint - BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT) is expected to report its fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 23, 2026, with a prior earnings surprise of 20.91% in the last quarter [1] Group 1: Factors Affecting Q4 Results - Increased uranium processing, downblending operations, and higher manufacturing volume of nuclear components for U.S. government programs are anticipated to enhance the top-line performance of BWXT's Government Operations segment [2] - The Commercial Operations segment is expected to see revenue growth driven by higher revenues from components manufacturing and contributions from the Kinectrics acquisition [3] Group 2: Q4 Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BWXT's fourth-quarter sales is $829.3 million, reflecting an 11.1% increase from the previous year [4] - The consensus estimate for earnings is 91 cents per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 1.1% [4] Group 3: Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for BWX Technologies, as it has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [5]

Core Insights - Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) is scheduled to report its fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 24, 2026, after market close [1] - In the last reported quarter, PARR achieved earnings of $5.95 per share, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.98 [1] - PARR has had mixed performance in the past four quarters, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate once and beating it three times, resulting in an average surprise of 77.5% [1] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter earnings is $1.21 per share, reflecting a substantial increase of 253.2% compared to the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue estimates for the fourth quarter are projected at $1.71 billion, indicating a decline of 6.55% from the previous year [2] Earnings Prediction - The model predicts an earnings beat for PARR, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +1.25% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - The combination of these factors enhances the likelihood of an earnings beat for the upcoming report [3] Commodity Price Analysis - Average WTI spot prices for the fourth quarter of 2025 were $60.89, $60.06, and $57.97 per barrel for October, November, and December, respectively [4] - In comparison, the average prices for the same months in 2024 were higher at $71.99, $69.95, and $70.12 per barrel, suggesting a favorable environment for PARR's refining business due to lower crude prices [5] Industry Context - Other major energy companies, including Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), and BP, have reported their fourth-quarter results, with all three beating their respective Zacks Consensus Estimates [6][7] - XOM reported earnings of $1.71 per share, CVX reported $1.52, and BP reported adjusted earnings of 60 cents per share, all exceeding expectations [6][7]

Core Insights - Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) is set to report its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on February 23, with earnings expectations showing a mixed performance in the past quarters, averaging a surprise of 1.1% [1] Group 1: Earnings and Revenue Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is $5.36 per share, reflecting a 9.6% growth from the prior-year quarter, with revenue expectations at $1.52 billion, indicating a 4.9% increase year-over-year [2] - The model predicts total U.S. store revenues to grow 3.3% to $485 million, while supply-chain revenues are expected to rise 6.4% to $931.8 million, and international franchise royalties and fees are projected to increase 5.8% to $104.1 million [5] Group 2: Factors Influencing Performance - Anticipated revenue growth is attributed to strong performance at existing stores, value-focused promotions, menu innovation, and expansion of locations, alongside gains from aggregators and improved digital platforms [3] - The Domino's Rewards program is crucial for customer engagement and repeat purchases in the U.S., with international operations, particularly in India and China, also contributing positively [4] Group 3: Challenges and Margin Outlook - Inflationary pressures in commodity and labor costs, along with a challenging macro environment, are expected to negatively impact performance, with gross margin projected at 38.7%, down from 39.2% in the previous year [6][9] Group 4: Earnings Prediction Model - The Zacks model indicates a likelihood of an earnings beat for Domino's, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +2.88% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [8][10]

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARQT) will report a year-over-year increase in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended December 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate for Arcutis is $0.03 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +133.3% [3]. - Expected revenues are $115.71 million, which is a 62.2% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating stability in analyst expectations [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Arcutis is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -160.00%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, Arcutis was expected to post a loss of $0.1 per share but instead reported earnings of $0.06, resulting in a surprise of +160.00% [13]. - Over the last four quarters, Arcutis has beaten consensus EPS estimates four times [14]. Investment Considerations - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, the combination of a negative Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 4 indicates that Arcutis may not be a compelling candidate for an earnings surprise [12][17]. - Investors are advised to consider other factors beyond earnings results when making investment decisions regarding Arcutis [15][17].

StandardAero, Inc. (SARO) is expected to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended December 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.The earnings report, which is expected to be released on February 25, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better t ...

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund (BXSL) is expected to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended December 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be r ...

Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when Churchill Downs (CHDN) reports results for the quarter ended December 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The earnings report, which is expected to be released on February 25, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than ex ...