Fed’s Favorite Inflation Meter Rose More Than Expected In Junehttps://t.co/TkhV6rGggA https://t.co/CmxHEyFwcl ...

Economic Indicators - Personal income rebounded, increasing by 0.3%, surpassing expectations, a notable improvement from the previous month's decline of 0.4% [1][2] - Personal spending rose by 0.3%, slightly below expectations, but reversing a previous decline [2] - Real spending, adjusted for inflation, increased by 0.1%, aligning with expectations [2] Inflation Analysis (PCE) - Month-over-month PCE increased by 0.3%, slightly warmer than previous months, but not the highest reading of the year [3] - Year-over-year PCE increased by 2.8%, the highest reading of the year, equaling March 2024 levels [4] - Core month-over-month PCE increased by 0.3%, the warmest since February [4] - Year-over-year core PCE increased by 2.8%, also warmer than expected and the warmest since February [5] Employment Data - The Employment Cost Index (ECI) for the second quarter increased by 0.9%, slightly above expectations [5] - Initial jobless claims were reported at 218,000, lower than expected [6] - Continuing claims remained above 1.9 million, specifically 1,946,000 [6] Market Reaction - Despite slightly hotter PCE numbers, the market did not climb aggressively [7] - The 10-year Treasury yield increased by approximately one basis point to 4.34%, but remained down almost three basis points for the session [7]

The Fed’s preferred measure of underlying inflation accelerated in June to one of the fastest paces this year while consumer spending barely rose https://t.co/EtMSIo9P2K ...

German inflation slowed below the ECB’s 2% target for the first time in 10 months https://t.co/WQRT3TuRT2 ...

All right. So, what is what are we seeing in the options market ahead of the August 1 deadline. Are we still start are we still seeing people trying to play it even though we've seen a number of deals get done.>> Yeah, there's definitely opportunities right now in terms of trying to pro buy some downside protection, but largely investors are not particularly bidding up puts ahead of this tariff deadline. It really reflects the fact that investors are not particularly concerned here. as you say uh there's a ...

>> And Isaac was great. Julie Julie had some issues. >> All right.The fed holding interest rates steady. But the decision comes with some dissent. Our senior economics reporter Steve Liesman joins us right now from Washington Steve good morning.>> Yeah it wasn't Love Island at the fed yesterday. Fed Chair Jay Powell and the federal committee having two dissents there. But they made clear the December rate cut is not a done deal.And I asked Powell whether the fed now has more clarity on the outlook because t ...

Fed Chair Jerome Powell shrugged off pressure from the White House and rejected arguments for a rate cut from two dissenting officials, maintaining that the central bank needed to stay on guard against inflation risk https://t.co/QjzQnhFyW3 ...

dissenters. That's kind of interesting I guess. But there are Trump appointees, former Saint Louis Fed President James Bullard, he's dean of the Purdue University Business School.James, I guess we'll talk about the dissent. I don't know if it's really that. I guess it's interesting since it's been since 1993.But what do you make of the GDP report in light of the prior quarter being actual. You know, it's obviously being whipsawed by by tariffs and imports. But was there can you just say, hey, that's great, ...

US bond traders will be scouring inflation data for signs of persistent price pressures https://t.co/93NUn4E0yT ...

The US economy rebounded in the second fiscal quarter of the year, growing at a better thanex expected rate despite President Trump's tariffs. The country's GDP grew at a 3% pace from April to June, reversing a.5 decline from the previous quarter. Consumer spending also rose.But the growth comes despite a sharp decline in imports, which dropped by 30.3%. The Wall Street Journal editorial board called it the weirdest GDP report ever, while President Trump touted the growth as a success. all expectations.They ...