Federal Reserve & Monetary Policy - The Federal Reserve is divided on the current state of the economy, leading to uncertainty about future policy decisions [1][2][6] - Market participants anticipate the Federal Reserve to cut rates, with expectations of a terminal rate slightly below 3% [3][20] - Some argue that current monetary policy is not restrictive and further rate cuts could contribute to inflation, especially hurting the lower-income portion of the K-shaped economy [11][12] - BlackRock expects CPI tariffs to be closer to 25% by the end of 2026, potentially allowing monetary policy to be less restrictive [15] Economic Indicators & Consumer Sentiment - U S consumer sentiment hit a three-year low, matching levels from June 2022, due to high prices and the government shutdown [1][5] - Challenger job cut data shows a significant spike in job losses in October, particularly in the tech and warehousing sectors, with the biggest number in the last seven months [4][9] - Alternative data sources, such as ADP for jobs and jobless claims, are being used to model the economy in the absence of official government data [18] Bond Market & Credit - Global bond sales have hit a record, with nearly $6 trillion in corporate and sovereign debt sold in 2025, driven by strong demand [1][30] - Alphabet raised $25 billion between Europe and the U S , with $175 billion in the U S market, contributing to a busy November for Wall Street [30] - Corporate bond spreads are considered complacent, and some suggest that corporate credit is not the best place to be in fixed income, recommending agency mortgage-backed securities, munis, or treasuries instead [26][27][28] - High-yield bond defaults are at a normal level of 1% to 2%, but there is a need for discipline in lending standards as supply outstrips demand [32][33]

Core Insights - The article discusses the increasing demand for bond ETFs, particularly those offered by BondBloxx, as investors seek stable income and diversification amid economic uncertainty and rising yields [6][10][18]. Company Overview - BondBloxx, based in California, manages over $6 billion across 27 ETFs, focusing on various fixed-income sectors including private credit, high-yield, and investment-grade corporate bonds [2][5]. - The firm aims to provide access to fixed-income markets that were previously limited to institutional investors, exemplified by the launch of the BondBloxx Private Credit CLO ETF, which has attracted approximately $172 million in assets since its introduction [3][13]. Market Trends - There is a notable shift in investor behavior, with a return to fixed income after years of low yields, driven by the need for portfolio stability and income generation [6][12]. - The fixed-income ETF market is expected to exceed $6 trillion by 2030, indicating significant growth potential for companies like BondBloxx [17]. Performance Highlights - BondBloxx's JP Morgan USD Emerging Markets 1-10 Year Bond ETF (XEMD) has seen a 10.6% increase, while the BB Rated USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (XBB) rose by 7.4% [10][11]. - The CCC Rated USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (XCCC) returned 6.8%, benefiting from a resilient U.S. economy and strong fundamentals [11]. Investment Strategies - Investors are increasingly utilizing BondBloxx's ETFs for income capture, diversification, and tax-aware strategies, moving beyond traditional municipal bonds to include taxable bonds [7][15]. - The firm emphasizes the importance of precision in fixed-income investments, allowing for more intentional portfolio construction [16]. Future Outlook - The outlook for the U.S. economy remains resilient, with fixed-income investments continuing to provide valuable income sources amid market volatility [18]. - The most compelling opportunities are identified in BBB- rated investment-grade corporates and BB- rated high-yield corporates, which offer strong fundamentals and attractive coupon income [19].

Economic Overview - The Trump economy is characterized by tax cuts, tariffs, and a shifting Federal Reserve interest-rate policy, with inflation at 2.9% in August 2025 and interest rates held at 4% to 4.25% [1] Investment Opportunities - **Gold**: Global demand for gold increased by 3% year over year in Q2 2025, reaching 1,249 tonnes, as it serves as a safe-haven asset that maintains purchasing power and hedges against inflation and currency fluctuations [3] - **Rural Opportunity Zone Funds**: Established under Trump's 2017 tax law, these funds offer tax incentives for investments in struggling communities, allowing capital gains to be deferred until 2026, with significant tax benefits for long-term holdings [4][5] - **Fixed Income**: U.S. Treasuries are viewed as risk-free investments backed by the federal government, making them appealing during market volatility [6]

Core Insights - Bonds are evolving beyond a safe haven, presenting opportunities for active investment strategies due to changing market conditions [1][2] - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut to 3.75%-4% has created a more favorable environment for fixed income investments [1] - The 10-year Treasury Note yield has increased above 4%, having dropped nearly 2% in the past month and about 11% year-to-date [2] Fixed Income Opportunities - Emerging market debt is highlighted as a top-performing asset class within fixed income this year [2][3] - There is growing interest in private credit ETFs, which provide institutional-style yields with daily liquidity [3][4] - The company has launched a private credit ETF product and has another in registration, indicating a strategic focus on this segment [4]

Core Insights - The U.S. Federal Reserve has cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points for the second time this year, providing fixed income investors with opportunities to adjust their portfolios [1] - The Fed has communicated its interest rate decisions clearly, leading markets to anticipate the rate cut, while acknowledging moderate economic expansion and elevated inflation [2][3] Economic Indicators - Economic activity is expanding at a moderate pace, with job gains slowing and a slight increase in the unemployment rate, which remains low [3] - Inflation has risen since earlier this year and remains somewhat elevated, prompting speculation about further rate cuts before 2026 [3] Investment Strategies - Investors are encouraged to consider repositioning fixed income portfolios in light of the current rate environment, with Vanguard offering various bond ETF options [4][5] - Vanguard's intermediate bond ETFs, such as BIV, VGIT, and VCIT, feature low expense ratios, making them attractive for investors [6][9] Active Management Options - Vanguard offers nine actively managed fixed income funds that can adapt to changing interest rates, allowing investors to avoid the stress of rate fluctuations [7] - For maximizing income in a declining rate environment, options like the Vanguard Core-Plus Bond ETF (VPLS) and the Vanguard High-Yield Active ETF (VGHY) are recommended [8]

Key Metrics - Pendle 平台月收入达到 425 万美元 [1] - 总锁仓价值 (TVL) 达到 42.5 亿美元，分布在 150 个资金池中 [1] Market Trends & Products - Treasury 管理者通过 PT (Principal Token) 代币锁定稳定币，获得 15% 的固定收益，为期 6 个月 [1] - 21Shares 在瑞士交易所推出 Pendle ETP (交易所交易产品)，满足机构对收益确定性的需求 [1] - 交易者购买有折扣的 PT 代币，以在到期时获得全部本金和锁定的收益 [1] Industry Positioning - Pendle 正在构建加密领域所需的固定收益市场 [1]

Core Insights - Vanguard has introduced two new dynamic asset allocation fixed income model portfolios aimed at various investor profiles, enhancing their existing offerings in fixed income investment strategies [1][2] Group 1: New Model Portfolios - The new portfolios are designed to meet diverse client needs, focusing on income generation and tax management while adhering to Vanguard's low-cost investment philosophy [2] - The two new models are the "Risk Diversification Tax-Aware Model" and the "Income Focused Model," each tailored for specific investment goals [5] Group 2: Risk Diversification Tax-Aware Model - This model is suitable for investors seeking risk diversification with an emphasis on after-tax returns, particularly beneficial during equity market downturns [5] - It focuses on high-quality credit and municipal bonds, adjusting allocations semi-annually based on the Vanguard Capital Markets Model (VCMM) forecasts [5] Group 3: Income Focused Model - The Income Focused Model targets investors looking for higher income levels as interest rates decline, incorporating increased exposure to credit, emerging markets, and below investment-grade bonds [5] - This model aims to maximize yield opportunities beyond the broad U.S. fixed income market and adjusts allocations quarterly according to VCMM forecasts [5] Group 4: Vanguard's Expertise - The model portfolios leverage the expertise of Vanguard's Fixed Income Group, which is adept at navigating the complexities of bond markets, including various sub-sectors and international bonds [3]

Hello and welcome to cbc. com. I'm Frank Colin, anchor worldwide exchange.We are looking at ETF net inflows for the year that are now over $1 trillion. And I'm joined by Todd Rosenluth of Vetify to talk about all the action in ETFs. Todd, thank you so much for joining us.>> It's a pleasure to be with you. >> All right, based on the pace that we're at, we're at 1.06% trillion according to your data. We're well on pace to pass last year's record of 1.12% trillion.What does that say about ETFs and investor app ...

Core Insights - Dipping mortgage rates are linked to improving sentiment among bond investors, particularly in mortgage bonds, creating opportunities for the Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities Index Fund ETF Shares (VMBS) [1] - Declining interest rates are making real estate more affordable, potentially revitalizing the housing industry as the spread between 30-year mortgage rates and the 10-year Treasury rate narrows [2] - The VMBS fund offers a low-cost entry into mortgage bonds with a 0.03% expense ratio and a 4.04% 30-day SEC yield, making it an attractive option for fixed income investors as rates fall [3] Fund Characteristics - VMBS has over 1,400 holdings, providing deep diversification and focusing on higher-quality credit through MBS assets guaranteed by quasi-governmental institutions and government-sponsored enterprises [4] - The fund's average effective maturity is close to seven years, positioning it as an intermediate bond fund that helps mitigate rate risk while offering higher yields [4] Housing Market Resilience - The housing market has shown resilience despite rising mortgage rates, which peaked above 7% in 2022, indicating that fears of a significant market crash were unfounded [5][6] - As mortgage rates decline, confidence in the housing market is expected to increase, positively impacting assets like mortgage-backed securities [6]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company's book value per share increased by 4.3% from $18.45 in the prior quarter to $19.25, achieving an economic return of 8.1% for Q3 and 11.5% year to date [19][20] - Earnings available for distribution per share remained consistent at $0.73, exceeding the dividend for the quarter [20] - The average yield improved to 5.46% compared to 5.41% in the prior quarter, while the average repo rate improved by three basis points to 4.5% [20][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The agency portfolio's market value increased to over $87 billion, up 10% quarter over quarter, with total growth of $7.8 billion [10] - The residential credit portfolio increased to $6.9 billion in economic market value, with new origination non-QM AAA spreads tightening by 15 basis points [12] - The mortgage servicing rights (MSR) portfolio increased by $215 million to $3.5 billion, with stable cash flows and unchanged serious delinquencies at 50 basis points [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. economy showed resilience with GDP growth likely on pace with Q2, supported by consumer spending and AI-driven business investment [6] - Labor market conditions weakened, with hiring slowing to 30,000 jobs per month, while inflation remained elevated near 3% [6][7] - The agency MBS market saw improved supply and demand dynamics, with fixed income fund inflows more than 50% higher than the average over the past few quarters [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company maintains a diversified housing finance strategy, which has generated a 13% annualized economic return over the past three years [17] - The focus remains on maintaining a high credit quality portfolio and leveraging proprietary assets through the correspondent channel [14] - The company is positioned to benefit from expected Fed cuts and a healthy fixed income demand, with plans to increase allocations to residential credit and MSR [16][17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed a positive outlook, highlighting the benefits of declining macro volatility and anticipated Fed cuts [16] - The company remains flexible in the current investing climate with historically low leverage and significant liquidity [18] - Concerns about the housing market were noted, with expectations of modest cumulative depreciation due to elevated mortgage rates [14] Other Important Information - The company raised $1.1 billion of accretive equity in Q3, including $800 million through its ATM program [9] - The MSR valuation multiple decreased modestly due to lower mortgage rates, but the portfolio remains well insulated [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Agency returns and investment preferences - Management indicated that agency investments remain attractive despite tighter spreads, with expectations for increased demand from banks and overseas participants [26][27] Question: MSR bulk supply and pricing - The bulk supply has increased from large participants, with stable pricing throughout the year, encouraging future bulk supply [29][30] Question: Agency returns breakdown - The spread to swaps versus treasuries is around 35 to 40 basis points, with low realized volatility aiding hedging costs [35][36] Question: MSR purchase strategy - The company prefers lower note rate MSRs to mitigate negative convexity risk, with a focus on maintaining a diversified portfolio [46][48] Question: Outlook for mortgage spreads and securitization - Management expects stable mortgage spreads to support continued market activity, with NonQM market penetration increasing [51][54] Question: Duration risk and portfolio management - The company is currently maintaining a close to zero duration gap due to market uncertainty, with plans to manage risks carefully [62][66] Question: GSEs' potential impact on the market - Speculation exists regarding GSEs becoming more active buyers, but the market has strong demand from REITs and fixed income funds [70][71]