Investment Rating - The investment rating for the wind power equipment industry is "Positive" (first-time rating) [2] Core Viewpoints - The offshore wind industry is expected to enter a period of intensive construction, with sufficient project reserves ready to commence [7] - The trend towards high voltage and direct current in submarine cables is evident, benefiting leading cable manufacturers [7] - European offshore wind is anticipated to develop on a large scale, with domestic manufacturers likely to accelerate their overseas expansion due to capacity shortages [7] - Domestic offshore wind projects are expected to have a high degree of certainty in performance release once operational [7] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The offshore wind sector has experienced a downturn for three consecutive years, with new installations dropping significantly from a peak of 16.9 GW in 2021 to 5.1 GW, 6.3 GW, and 4.0 GW in 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively [7] Project Developments - In Guangdong, several projects are moving into full construction, with 7 GW across 15 projects approved in 2024 [7] - Jiangsu has initiated three projects totaling 2.65 GW, with further projects expected to commence in 2025 [7] - Shanghai is progressing with preliminary work on a 4.3 GW offshore wind demonstration project [7] Market Trends - The adoption of higher voltage submarine cables is becoming crucial for cost reduction, with leading companies like Dongfang Cable, Zhongtian Technology, and Hengtong Optic-Electric securing significant contracts [7] - European offshore wind capacity is projected to exceed 10 GW by 2028 and 20 GW by 2030, creating opportunities for domestic manufacturers to meet overseas demand [7] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on Dongfang Cable, with additional attention on Zhongtian Technology, Daikin Heavy Industries, Haili Wind Power, Hengtong Optic-Electric, and Changlan Technology [7]

文 ｜ 华鹏伟 林劼 国内外海上风电景气度有望持续提升，从而带动产业链出货量增加。国内来看，2 0 2 5年国内新增海上风电的规模有望超过 1 2GW，同比增长有望翻倍，且随着深远海海上风电项目的启动，中长期稳定增长有望获得保障；海外来看，虽然欧洲新建海 风规模为2 . 6GW，同比下降3 0%，但2 0 2 4年欧洲风电核准数量为1 9 . 9GW，同比增长4 6 . 3%，为后续项目发展提供了充足的储 备，2 0 2 5 - 2 0 3 0年，欧洲海风有望迎来新的增长周期。国内外海上风电的发展将带动产业链出货量的增加，且很多企业也把海 上和海外的"两海"战略作为重点，我们建议关注风机、海缆、桩基、铸锻件等环节。 新增风电装机低于预期，多种因素可能影响海上风电装机，贸易壁垒可能对风电整机和零部件出口产生影响，原材料价格波 动。 ▍ 投资策略。 风电行业景气提升，国内外海上风电都有望迎来较快增长，且国内风电零部件已经实现了海外市场的拓展。在国内外海上风电 需求的带动下，对此产业链有所布局的公司也将因此受益。我们建议关注整机以及海缆、桩基、铸锻件等环节。 ▍ 开工项目多，国内海上风电有望迎来较快增长。 成本下降 ...

证券研究报告·公司深度研究·风电设备 大金重工（002487） 管桩出海厚积薄发，未来成长性确定 2025 年 04 月 20 日 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 4325 | 3780 | 5727 | 7522 | 8933 | | 同比（%） | (15.30) | (12.61) | 51.52 | 31.34 | 18.76 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 425.16 | 473.88 | 852.62 | 1,211.19 | 1,542.78 | | 同比（%） | (5.58) | 11.46 | 79.92 | 42.06 | 27.38 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.67 | 0.74 | 1.34 | 1.90 | 2.42 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 40.49 | 36.32 | 20.19 | 14.21 | 11.16 | [Table_T ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Insights - The company achieved strong profitability in 2024, with a sales gross margin reaching 29.83%, the highest level in nearly a decade, and a net profit margin of 12.54%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.59 percentage points and 2.71 percentage points respectively [1] - The European offshore wind auction capacity reached a historical high in 2024, with a total of 36.8GW, of which offshore wind accounted for over half, indicating a robust market for future orders [2] - The company is actively expanding its market presence beyond Europe into Japan, Southeast Asia, and Australia, with sufficient overseas orders supporting future growth [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 3.78 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.61%, while overseas revenue accounted for nearly 50% of the wind power equipment segment [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 474 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.46% [1] - The company expects revenues of 5.92 billion, 7.80 billion, and 9.28 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 857 million, 1.19 billion, and 1.50 billion yuan [9][11] Market Opportunities - The company has successfully delivered various offshore wind projects in Europe, including significant contracts with major clients such as RWE and GE, enhancing its reputation and market share [2] - The company is also focusing on the floating foundation market, with several projects expected to be launched in the coming years, indicating a growing demand for innovative offshore solutions [7] Strategic Positioning - The company's strategy of integrating offshore monopiles, towers, and self-built marine vessels is expected to solidify its competitive edge in the offshore engineering sector [9] - The transition to a DAP delivery model is anticipated to enhance profitability and operational efficiency, supported by a robust logistics framework [8]

24年盈利能力强劲，销售毛利率创近年新高2024 年公司实现营业收入37.80 亿元，同比-12.61%，其中 海外收入17.33 亿元，占风电装备板块收入比重近50%；受益于出口海工产品高附加值带来的高盈利， 2024 年实现归母净利润4.74亿元，同比+11.46%。24Q4，公司实现归母净利润1.92 亿元，同比 +1018%。24 年及单四季度业绩表现亮眼。 2019 年进入欧洲海风市场，客户覆盖头部主流，历史交付成绩优秀。根据年报，公司 2024 年出口欧洲 的海外海上项目发运量和交货范围明显增加，实现向英国、法国、丹麦、德国等地的多个海上风电场项 目交付括单桩、海塔、过渡段等多类型海工产品，累计出口发运量近 11 万吨，实现同比提升，涵盖项 目包括英国Moray West 海塔、法国NOY 单桩、丹麦Thor 单桩、英国Sofia海塔、英国DBB 海塔等， 业 主包括欧洲头部的RWE、OceanWinds、GE 等。 以欧洲历史业绩为依托，公司积极开拓除欧洲外的日韩、东南亚、澳洲等全球份额。根据年报，2024 年蓬莱基地接待众多海外客户调研、审核，目前，公司成功通过绝大多数欧洲头部业主的合格供应商 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][30]. Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in annual performance, with a revenue of 3.78 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 12.61%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 474 million yuan, an increase of 11.46% year-on-year. The gross profit margin for 2024 was 29.83%, up by 6.39 percentage points, and the net profit margin was 12.54%, up by 2.71 percentage points [1][7]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw remarkable performance, with revenue reaching 1.473 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 48.55% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 55.07%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 192 million yuan, a staggering year-on-year increase of 1017.55% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 77.44% [1][18]. - The company has successfully delivered nearly 110,000 tons of offshore wind products in 2024, achieving its first DAP delivery. The overseas revenue reached 1.733 billion yuan, accounting for nearly 50% of the wind power equipment segment's revenue [2][23]. - The European offshore wind market is expected to see a recovery, with approximately 20GW of projects auctioned in 2024, the highest annual auction volume in recent years. The company has successfully passed the qualification supplier certification of most leading European owners, positioning it to benefit from this recovery [3][26]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 858 million yuan, 1.287 billion yuan, and 1.597 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 19, 12, and 10 times [3][26]. - The financial forecast indicates a revenue increase to 4.904 billion yuan in 2025, a growth of 29.7% compared to 2024, and a net profit increase of 81% [4][28]. - The company's gross profit margin is projected to improve to 32% in 2025, with a net asset return (ROE) of 11.2% [4][28].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative performance increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [9]. Core Views - The company is experiencing a robust order flow and has a strong performance in overseas markets, particularly in high-value offshore engineering products, which is expected to drive revenue growth [5][6]. - The company has strategically reduced low-margin domestic business, focusing on higher-margin exports, resulting in improved gross margins [5]. - The outlook for the offshore wind market is positive, with expectations of increased demand and the company's strong market position likely to lead to significant revenue growth [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 3,780 million, a decrease of 12.6% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 474 million, an increase of 11.5% year-on-year [5]. - The gross margin for 2024 was reported at 29.8%, up by 5.9 percentage points compared to the previous year [5]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a significant revenue increase of 48.5% year-on-year, driven by high-value product deliveries [5]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 5,941 million in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 57% [6]. - Net profit is expected to reach 752 million in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 59% [6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 1.18 in 2025, increasing to 2.19 by 2027 [6]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a leading player in the offshore wind sector, with a strong order backlog and a focus on high-margin products [6]. - The company has successfully passed certification with major European clients, enhancing its competitive position in the market [5]. - The anticipated increase in offshore wind projects in Europe is expected to provide significant growth opportunities for the company [5].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [4]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leader in the offshore wind tower and pile market, with significant growth potential driven by increasing European demand and a favorable pricing environment [2][3][4]. - The company has successfully established itself in the European market, being the first domestic enterprise to export offshore wind towers and large piles, with substantial orders in hand [1][4][17]. - The company's overseas revenue has significantly increased, contributing over 50% to total revenue in the first half of 2024, reflecting a strategic shift towards international markets [22][27]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company specializes in manufacturing wind power products, including towers, piles, and floating foundations, and has become a key player in the global offshore wind equipment manufacturing industry [14][17]. - The company has a clear shareholding structure and experienced management, with the chairman holding approximately 40.14% of the shares [23]. Market Demand and Growth - The European offshore wind market is expected to see a significant increase in demand, with projections of installed capacity reaching 111 GW by 2030 and 317 GW by 2050 [46][48]. - The company is benefiting from a tight supply of offshore piles in Europe, which is expected to drive both volume and price increases in the industry [2][46]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue for 2023 is projected to be 4.325 billion yuan, with a net profit of 425 million yuan, showing a decline from 2022 due to market conditions, but expected to rebound significantly in the following years [5][4]. - The forecasted net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 460 million yuan, 773 million yuan, and 1.154 billion yuan, respectively, indicating strong growth potential [4][5]. Competitive Advantages - The company has established a competitive edge in Europe, where the unit profitability of towers and piles is significantly higher than in the domestic market, enhancing overall profitability [3][4]. - The company is developing its own specialized transportation fleet to improve logistics and reduce costs, further strengthening its competitive position in Europe [17][22]. Industry Context - The offshore wind industry is experiencing a favorable cycle, with increasing government support and investment in renewable energy, particularly in Europe [46][49]. - The report highlights the importance of the company's production base in China, which is strategically positioned to meet the growing demand in international markets [17][22].

查看完整报告 特别申明： 点击注册小程序 2024年公司持续推进海上风电项目海缆交付，海缆系统实现营业收入27.78亿元，同比增长0.41%，毛利率 为39.57%，同比减少9.57个pct，主要系个别项目毛利率水平较低以及23年毛利率基数较高所致；海洋工程 业务实现营业收入8.89亿元，同比增长25.29%，毛利率同比减少2.60个pct至21.93%；在国内海风建设较慢 的背景下，公司重点扩大陆缆市场份额，陆缆系统实现营业收入54.16亿元，同比增长41.52%，毛利率同 比减少0.37个pct至7.59%。 持续推进产能建设，布局海风重点区域 2024年公司持续推进（东部）未来工厂设备技术改造和产能提升，完成二期项目基础设施建设；加快南部 产业基地建设，完成（南部）未来工厂基地建设关键节点；有序推进北部产业基地建设。随着公司东部、 南部、北部产能布局持续推进，将进一步巩固行业竞争优势。 国内外市场持续突破，在手订单规模快速增长 自2024年起，公司持续获得多个海缆订单，充分展现其在海缆领域较强的竞争力，订单包括：Inch Cape Offshore公司海底电缆约18亿元、中能建广东院三峡阳江青洲五、七± ...

⚫ | | | -6.00% -4.00% -2.00% 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 超额收益 电力及新能源设备 沪深300 2 _ _250223 3 _ _250209 4 _2025 6500 _250119 电网: GPU 功耗提升叠加国内加大 AI 资本开支,AI 服务器电源高景气赛道 量利齐升,空间广阔,建议关注麦格米特、欧陆通、中恒电气、科华数据。国 内电网需求旺盛,特高压及主网、配网数智化延续增长态势,推荐国电南瑞、 许继电气、中国西电、平高电气、特变电工、四方股份、东方电子、国网信通。 人形机器人: 0-1 产业化加速,电机、传感器等核心零部件厂商打造第二增长 曲线,建议关注汇川技术、鸣志电器、宏发股份、信捷电气、江苏雷利、兆威 机电、富临精工、申昊科技。 ● 风险提示:行业政策不及预期的风险;新技术进展不及预期的风险;原材料 价格暴涨、企业经营困难的风险;海外政局动荡、贸易环境恶化的风险。 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明。 2 ⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫ 行业周报 · 电力设备与新能源行业 中国银河证券|CGS 储能:储能维持高景气,环节 ...