Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...

Core Insights - IBM has shown signs of recovery after a significant pullback, but it is underperforming the tech sector while slightly outperforming the S&P 500 [2][4] - Comparisons with other IT service companies like Cognizant and Infosys may be misleading; Oracle, Microsoft, and Amazon are more relevant benchmarks for IBM's current state [3] - The stock has experienced significant intraday highs but has struggled to maintain a close above key resistance levels, indicating potential consolidation points [4][5] Technical Analysis - The highest close for IBM was at 295, with intraday highs reaching 301.04, but it could not sustain above these levels [4] - A consolidation area near 272 has emerged, suggesting a potential support level for bulls [4] - The stock is currently within a downward sloping channel, and a close above 281-282 would be a positive indicator for upward momentum [6][7] Options Strategy - A complex options strategy is proposed to capitalize on near-term higher implied volatility while providing some upside exposure [8][9] - The strategy involves a bearish put calendar and a short call vertical, aiming for a credit of about 0.7, with a break-even point at $300.70 [12][13] - This setup allows for profitability if the stock declines, particularly if it falls to around 250, while still offering some protection if the stock remains below the 300 strike [13][14]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of conducting thorough due diligence before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading activities [1] Group 1 - The content includes general news and publications, personal analysis, and opinions intended for educational and research purposes [1] - It highlights that the information provided does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1] - The website does not take into account individual financial situations or needs when presenting information [1] Group 2 - The article mentions that the information may not be provided in real-time and may not be accurate [1] - It states that prices may be provided by market makers rather than exchanges [1] - The company disclaims any responsibility for trading losses incurred as a result of using the information on the website [1]

Core Viewpoint - The analysis of Kraft Heinz (KHC) stock presents a bullish perspective despite prevailing skepticism and negative ratings from analysts and traders [2][3]. Group 1: Market Sentiment - KHC stock is rated as an 88% Strong Sell according to the Barchart Technical Opinion indicator, with a consensus Hold from analysts, where only 2 out of 22 analysts express an optimistic view [2]. - Options trading activity for KHC shows a total volume of 25,183 contracts, which is 17.34% below the trailing-month average, indicating a lack of enthusiasm among options traders [2]. Group 2: Valuation Metrics - KHC stock is currently trading at a trailing-year earnings multiple of 22.43, which is lower than the multiple of 27.67 recorded in December 2024, suggesting a potential undervaluation [3]. - The stock has declined 16% year-to-date, leading some to speculate that it may be due for a rebound, although this assumption requires further validation [3]. Group 3: Analytical Approach - The analysis emphasizes the importance of questioning the validity of claims made in market analysis, highlighting that unsatisfactory answers may indicate a lack of rigorous analysis [3][4]. - The distinction between traditional market analysis and irrational market behavior is noted as challenging, with the validity of approaches being observer-dependent and subject to shifting goalposts [4].

Core Insights - Ralph Lauren (RL) is valued at $20.2 billion and is a prominent designer, marketer, and distributor of premium lifestyle products globally [1] - The company has a diverse portfolio of well-known brands including Polo Ralph Lauren, Ralph Lauren Purple Label, and others [2] - The stock has shown strong technical momentum, recently hitting an all-time high of $338.20 on October 21 [4] Technical Performance - Ralph Lauren has a 100% "Buy" opinion from Barchart and has gained 66% over the past year [6][7] - The stock has a Weighted Alpha of +74.59 and has made 10 new highs, gaining 8.24% in the last month [7] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 67.48, indicating strong momentum [7] Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow by 7.07% this year and an additional 4.78% next year [8] - Earnings are estimated to increase by 19.80% this year and 8.88% next year [8] - The stock has a trailing Price/Earnings ratio of 24.46x [7] Dividend Information - Ralph Lauren offers a dividend yield of 1.08% [8]

Core Insights - Jim Wyckoff has over 25 years of experience in stock, financial, and commodity markets, including roles as a financial journalist and market analyst [1][2] - He has covered all futures markets traded in the U.S. and has worked with various financial news and advisory services [1][2] Group 1 - Jim Wyckoff is the proprietor of "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets," which offers analytical, educational, and trading advisory services [2] - He has held positions as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as a senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com [2] - Wyckoff is also a consultant for the "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service and was the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com [2] Group 2 - He provides daily market roundups and technical analysis on Kitco.com [3]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of conducting thorough due diligence before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading activities [1] Group 1 - The content includes general news and personal analysis intended for educational and research purposes [1] - It highlights that the information provided is not a recommendation or advice for any financial actions [1] - The article warns that the information may not be accurate or provided in real-time, and prices may be sourced from market makers rather than exchanges [1] Group 2 - The website discusses complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1] - It encourages individuals to perform their own research and understand the risks involved before investing in any financial instruments [1] - The article states that FX Empire does not endorse any third-party services and is not liable for any losses incurred from using the information provided [1]

BTC USD price had a much-needed stable weekend, even a little bullish. Is it too early to celebrate? Investors and traders alike should have predetermined decision rules when it comes to buying or selling. And their actions shape the price history. As the charts show conflicting signals on low against high timeframe, what are we to make of this? Follow along to find out! Crypto Quant’s Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator has gone underneath the 365-day MA line without much hesitation. Now, it is good to keep ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the common issue of investors buying stocks at their peak prices, leading to immediate losses when the stock price drops significantly [1] - It highlights the importance of timing in stock purchases, suggesting that by the time a stock is widely recognized as a good investment, it may already be overbought [1] Group 2 - David H. Lerner is identified as an analyst with ten years of experience in software consulting and technology, focusing on market trends and providing actionable trade ideas [3] - Lerner employs a combination of technical analysis and market psychology to achieve significant returns, along with a trading style known as "Cash Management Discipline" to mitigate market volatility [3]

This is one of the most important videos I have ever done on the crypto market. Today I'm going to answer the question, what's actually next for the Bitcoin price. Like what's really coming next for crypto.And I cannot see the future. I'm not a fortune teller, but I'm going to give you a technical reason, a macro reason why Bitcoin price is going higher. A technical reason, a macro reason, and a personal reason, not personal to me, but personal to investors.Three big reasons the crypto market is going much ...