一纵一横战略

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花园生物(300401):羊毛脂高增,“一纵一横”效果显现
Orient Securities· 2025-08-21 13:37
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 18.90 CNY based on a 30x P/E ratio for 2025 [2][6]. Core Insights - The company has shown a strong performance in its wool grease and its derivatives, with a revenue increase of 42.12% year-on-year, attributed to increased demand from new production capacities [11]. - The vitamin product segment has experienced a revenue growth of 17.98%, although this growth is relatively moderate due to new capacity coming online and a slight decline in market prices [11]. - The pharmaceutical segment has faced challenges, with a revenue decline of 20.30%, primarily due to the impact of centralized procurement and bidding processes [11]. - The company's strategic focus on a "vertical and horizontal" approach is yielding positive results, positioning it well for long-term growth [11]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are set at 1,362 million CNY, 1,497 million CNY, and 1,672 million CNY, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.6%, 9.9%, and 11.7% [4]. - The forecasted earnings per share for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.63 CNY, 0.73 CNY, and 0.93 CNY, respectively [2][4]. - The gross margin is expected to decline slightly from 59.9% in 2023 to 55.4% in 2025, before recovering to 56.7% by 2027 [4]. Company Overview - The company is recognized as the only global producer with a complete supply chain for vitamin D3, holding a 70% market share in NF-grade cholesterol, which is a key raw material for vitamin D3 production [11]. - The company has several projects in various stages of production, including a 6,000-ton VA powder project and a 5,000-ton VB6 project, which are expected to contribute to revenue growth [11].
花园生物(300401):羊毛脂高增 “一纵一横”效果显现
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 12:42
Group 1 - The company reported a stable performance with revenue of 635 million yuan (up 5.86% year-on-year) and a net profit of 162 million yuan (up 13.67% year-on-year) for the first half of 2025, driven by effective cost control [1] - Vitamin product revenue reached 301 million yuan (up 17.98% year-on-year), while revenue from lanolin and its derivatives grew significantly to 133 million yuan (up 42.12% year-on-year) [1] - The pharmaceutical segment experienced a decline in revenue to 192 million yuan (down 20.30% year-on-year) due to the impact of centralized procurement [1] Group 2 - The company is the only global producer of the full VD3 industrial chain, holding a 70% market share in NF-grade cholesterol, which provides a cost advantage despite falling VD3 prices [2] - New production capacities for vitamin A powder, vitamin B6, and biotin are expected to contribute to future revenue growth [2] - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for vitamin products and pharmaceuticals while increasing projections for cholesterol and lanolin derivatives, with expected earnings per share of 0.63, 0.73, and 0.93 yuan for 2025-2027 [2]