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“大而美法案”中第“899条款”,为何可能引发美国外资危机?
第一财经· 2025-06-09 15:28
Core Viewpoint - The proposed Section 899 of the "Big and Beautiful Act" aims to impose punitive taxes on foreign investors in the U.S., raising significant concerns among multinational corporations and financial institutions regarding its potential negative impact on foreign direct investment and the U.S. economy [1][6][9]. Summary by Sections Section 899 Overview - Section 899, titled "Remedial Measures for Unfair Foreign Taxation," grants the U.S. Treasury Secretary broad discretion to unilaterally determine what constitutes "unfair foreign taxation," allowing for punitive tax rates of up to 20% on foreign investors from countries deemed to have unfair tax practices [2][5]. Impact on Foreign Investment - The implementation of Section 899 is expected to affect investors from developed countries such as Australia, Canada, the EU, and the UK, with tax rates starting at an increase of 5 percentage points annually, potentially reaching a maximum of 20 percentage points above the statutory rate [6][9]. - The International Bankers Association (IIB) highlighted that foreign banks account for over 70% of foreign corporate debt issuance in the U.S., and the proposed tax could significantly hinder foreign direct investment, threatening jobs across various U.S. communities [9]. Opposition from Business Associations - Multiple international business associations have expressed strong opposition to Section 899, arguing that it could severely impact the long-term growth of multinational companies operating in the U.S. and contradicts the government's strategy to attract investment [8][9]. - The American Investment Company Institute warned that Section 899 might restrict foreign investment in the U.S., urging the Senate to refine the clause to specifically target unfair tax practices without harming beneficial foreign investments [9]. Economic Implications - Analysts from Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan have indicated that Section 899 could exert pressure on the U.S. dollar and diminish the motivation for foreign investment, potentially leading to market volatility [6][10]. - The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that Section 899 could raise $116 billion over the next decade, but this is relatively minor compared to the projected $2.4 trillion increase in U.S. debt due to the entire "Big and Beautiful Act" [6]. Legislative Dynamics - The chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee, Jason Smith, initially did not intend to push for Section 899 but felt compelled to address foreign governments' attempts to extract billions from U.S. companies [6][10]. - There is a growing sentiment in Congress that the notion of foreign entities paying taxes in the U.S. is gaining traction, although the final implementation of the clause may be adjusted or delayed [10].