世界货币秩序重构
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申万宏源王胜:牛市远未结束 人工智能应用阶段中国更具有绝对的优势
智通财经网· 2025-11-25 09:00
Core Viewpoint - The bull market is far from over, supported by solid fundamentals, particularly in the technology sector, which is undergoing significant changes [1] Group 1: Artificial Intelligence and Market Dynamics - The development of artificial intelligence (AI) is crucial regardless of whether there is a bubble, as it is tied to major power competition [1] - China has a comparative advantage in the application phase of AI, and the emergence of successful applications may take time but is inevitable [1] - Concerns about an AI bubble may not reflect the true market situation, as structural highlights in China's AI industry are already evident [1] Group 2: Foreign Investment and Market Sentiment - Foreign investment in China is expected to increase by 2026, with a shift in focus towards technology sectors, particularly in AI, reflecting a change in perception [2] - The current level of foreign investment in China remains historically low, but an influx could lead to systemic changes in leading companies in the Hong Kong and A-share markets [2] - By mid-next year, improvements in fixed asset growth, PPI recovery, and real estate fundamentals are anticipated to boost market confidence in a fundamental bull market [2] Group 3: Currency and Global Economic Trends - The long-term outlook for the Chinese yuan is stable with potential appreciation against the US dollar, although the dollar remains strong due to its competition with other developed currencies [2] - The rise of China relative to the US is an undeniable trend, and the future may see the dollar sharing its monetary authority with other currencies [2] - Gold is expected to play a significant role in the restructured global monetary order, with clear long-term investment value despite potential short-term volatility [2]