东引西进出海

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平煤股份:成本优化对冲售价下行,“东引西进出海”值得期待-20250429
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 03:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [5]. Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, with revenue at 5.4 billion and a net profit of 152 million, representing a year-on-year decrease of 34.69% and 79.50% respectively [1][2]. - The company is focusing on cost optimization to counteract the decline in coal prices, with successful implementation of underground filling mining technology and a reduction in coal production costs by 22 yuan per ton [3][4]. - The company has made strategic acquisitions, including a 60% stake in a coal company for approximately 660 million and securing exploration rights for a significant coal mine in Xinjiang [3]. Financial Summary - The company's projected financial performance shows a decline in revenue from 31.63 billion in 2023 to an estimated 24.42 billion in 2025, with a corresponding drop in net profit from 4.01 billion to 702 million [4][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to decrease from 1.62 in 2023 to 0.28 in 2025, indicating a challenging financial outlook [4][9]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to fall from 15.0% in 2023 to 2.6% in 2025, reflecting the impact of declining profitability [4][9].