中国全球影响力提升
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午评:沪指跌0.24%,半导体、化工等板块走低,银行、保险板块逆市拉升
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-11-12 05:40
Market Performance - Major stock indices in the two markets showed weakness, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below the 4000-point mark again, and the ChiNext and Sci-Tech 50 indices dropping over 1% [1] - As of the midday close, the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.24% to 3993.35 points, the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 1.07%, the ChiNext Index dropped by 1.58%, and the Sci-Tech 50 Index declined by 1.65% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 12,704 billion yuan [1] Sector Performance - Sectors such as semiconductors, chemicals, automobiles, non-ferrous metals, brokerages, and steel experienced declines, while insurance, banking, oil, and pharmaceuticals saw gains [1] - Concepts related to brain engineering and innovative pharmaceuticals were active in the market [1] Investment Outlook - Long-term trends for technology growth stocks show insufficient cost-effectiveness, with increasing short-term fundamental concerns [2] - There is a lack of established structures to lead the market breakout, suggesting that the A-share market may continue to experience a volatile phase [2] - The spring of 2026 is projected to be a potential peak, but it is unlikely to represent the peak for the entire year or the current bull market [2] - Three areas of mid-term returns are anticipated: cyclical improvement in fundamentals, asset allocation shifts towards equities leading to valuation reassessment, and increased global influence of China enhancing economic conditions and valuation [2] - The effective return of the framework of "policy bottom, market bottom, economic bottom" is expected by mid-2026, coinciding with a potential start of a new bull market phase [2]