券商策略会现场，还能"淘"到百元级平价靓衫？ 近日，网传消息称，在申万宏源（000166.SZ）资本市场投资年会现场，会场外设置了"户外服装特卖场，最贵的 衣服也就180块"。 网传视频截图 事实上，策略会上推销产品，在券商行业内并非孤立。此前，国内某头部券商在广州举行的2025年中期投资策略 报告会就与国内某新能源汽车厂商合作，在报告会现场推出智能智驾前沿分享以及试乘试驾服务，邀请与会嘉宾 现场参观和体验。业内人士指出，券商的策略会，尤其是大性策略会，往往参与人数众多，其中不乏中小股东或 个人投资者，其未必不能成为一个合适的消费场景。 最贵180元/件 据网传微信聊天截图，近日申万宏源在上海金茂君悦大酒店嘉宾厅召开一年一度的券商策略会，会场外面设置了 嘉麟杰特卖，"有户外羊毛服饰和抓绒衣，大牌同款面料，价格十分之一，最贵的也就180块，性价比很高！欢迎 大家选购！" 公开资料显示，嘉麟杰（002486.SZ）成立于2001年，于2010年10月15日在深圳证券交易所上市，是国内户外运动 功能性面料企业，公司集研发设计、生产制造、营销服务于一体，在针织方面具有从纬编织造、染色、后整理到 成衣的连续加工生产配置 ...

文/李悦 11月21日，A股市场遭遇大幅调整，三大股指集体低开低走。今日收盘，沪指失守3900点整数关口，创业板指跌超4%。盘面上个股普跌，市场情 绪陷入短期冰点，超5000只个股下跌，超100只个股跌停。 然而，在恐慌性抛售背后，机构观点普遍认为，本轮慢牛行情的根基并未动摇，后续A股指数仍存在继续走强的基础。 "年底市场往往呈现反复震荡的特征，但这并不意味着本轮结构性行情的结束。"在前海开源基金首席经济学家杨德龙看来，这是一轮慢牛长牛， 有望让广大投资者切实获得财富增长。 杨德龙指出，2026年市场形成全面牛市的可能性较大，这将带来持续的财富效应，有效提升居民消费信心，进而对经济增长形成直接拉动。 01 超5000只个股下跌 11月21日，市场全天震荡调整.截至收盘，上证指数跌2.45%报3834.89点，深证成指跌3.41%，创业板指跌4.02%，北证50指数跌4.71%。沪深两市 成交额1.97万亿，较上一个交易日放量2575亿。 盘面上个股普跌，全市场5071只个股下跌，107只个股跌停，涨停个股仅33只，形成鲜明对比。 从Wind中国行业指数来看，仅文化传媒板块勉强涨0.1%，其余行业板块均呈现下跌 ...

近期，大盘出现了反复震荡调整的走势，显示出在4000点这一关键关口，多空分歧明显加大。临近年 底，部分投资者出于兑现全年收益的考虑，出现一定程度的获利了结行为，这在情理之中。因此，年底 市场往往呈现反复震荡的特征，但这并不意味着本轮结构性行情的结束。我一直认为，一轮慢牛长牛行 情是提振消费最有效的手段之一，也是打破当前经济增速放缓局面的关键所在。此轮牛市已经启动：以 2024年9月24日政策发布为标志，市场由此开启了第一波大幅上涨，正式拉开牛市序幕；而自2025年6月 底起开启的上攻行情，则可视为牛市的第二阶段。在此阶段，指数成功突破4000点整数关口，这也是A 股历史上第三次站上4000点。 的是，算力相关板块在2025年已累积较大涨幅，年底部分投资者可能选择获利了结，导致市场出现阶段 性调整。但此类调整预计为科技牛进程中的正常波动，并非行情终结。投资者需加以区分，真正具备技 术突破能力、能持续兑现业绩的科技龙头，有望在2026年继续表现；而仅有题材或概念的个股，一旦回 调，可能难有再起机会。因此，在科技股投资中，仍需坚持价值投资理念，谨慎投资纯题材股，避免追 涨杀跌，方能在本轮慢牛行情中真正实现财富的稳健 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a significant style shift as fund managers face year-end performance assessments, leading to a "high cut low" strategy where funds are reallocating from high-performing technology sectors to undervalued cyclical sectors like coal, banking, and steel [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The technology sector, previously leading the market, has seen a notable decline, with the electronic sector down nearly 8% and both media and computer sectors down over 5% since the beginning of the fourth quarter [2] - In contrast, cyclical sectors such as coal and oil have surged, with both sectors gaining over 11%, while banking and steel sectors have increased by more than 7% [2] - There is a clear trend of capital outflow from high-performing technology stocks into lower-valued sectors, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [2] Group 2: Fund Manager Behavior - Fund managers are engaging in a complex game of balancing long-term investment strategies with short-term performance pressures, leading to varied approaches to year-end reallocation [1][3] - The "high cut low" strategy is primarily aimed at locking in profits and managing rankings, with fund managers reducing exposure to high-flying tech stocks while increasing positions in undervalued assets [3][4] - Some fund managers choose to maintain their positions in technology stocks, believing that recent declines are merely profit-taking rather than a sign of a market downturn [4][5] Group 3: Institutional Investor Actions - Insurance funds are also adjusting their strategies, often focusing on stability in the fourth quarter due to their annual performance assessments, which differ from public funds [8][9] - Some insurance institutions are taking advantage of the market's shift by increasing their positions in growth stocks while others are moving towards value stocks [9][10] Group 4: Future Market Outlook - Analysts predict that the market may experience increased volatility as it prepares for a potential transition from a structural bull market to a comprehensive bull market in 2026, with opportunities across both technology and traditional sectors [11][12] - The investment strategy is shifting towards a "rebalancing" approach, focusing on both cyclical sectors and undervalued technology stocks, aiming for a balanced portfolio to mitigate risks [11][12]

从全球局势来看，G2格局逐步确立，未来国际格局中，中美有望出现你追我赶、齐头并进的发展态 势，而非美国在科技上遥遥领先的局面。未来，中美在经贸领域还会继续在合作中竞争、在竞争中发 展。我国在硬件和软件两个方面均实现突破，特别是DeepSeek大模型横空出世，以及在芯片、半导体 方面实现的突破，都提升了全球资本对于中国科技创新的信心，这也是这轮牛市以科技为主线的重要原 因。虽然前期科技板块涨幅较大，一些投资者选择暂时获利了结，导致科技板块出现调整，但科技牛市 预计并没有结束。人工智能带来的科技进步以及生产力提升的趋势将会延续。结构性牛市以科技为主， 主要体现在资金集中投资于少数科技创新板块，如机器人、芯片、半导体、算法创新、固态电池等；到 了全面牛市阶段，更多板块可能会出现上涨，这或将会给市场带来赚钱机会。因此，预计2026年市场的 赚钱效应可能比今年更强，投资机会可能也更多，投资者的体验也可能会更好。 2025年，市场虽走出了牛市走势，但呈现出典型的哑铃型结构：一头是以银行为代表的低估值、高股息 板块，部分个股甚至创新高；另一头是代表新质生产力的科技股大幅上涨，而大多数板块没有明显表 现。2026年，如基本面 ...

最近后台被问爆了： "明明是牛市，怎么 手中 券商股涨得磨磨唧唧，反倒银行保险一路飘红？ 慢牛格局下，啥时候券商股会再来行情？ " 不少散户朋友盯着账户犯嘀咕，当初满仓券商盼着 "牛市旗手"发力，结果看着隔壁农业银行接连创新高，心里那叫一个急。 先别慌着换仓，今天咱们把这事说透 —— 券商不是涨得少，是前面冲得太猛，你刚好错过了它的 "热身赛"。 所谓 "券商涨不过银行保险"，本质上是个"视觉误差"。 咱们先把尺子亮出来，用数据说话才靠谱。记住两个关键时间点： 2024年9月24日，还有2025年4月7日 的特朗普黄金坑 ，这都是本轮行情 的 两个 重要起点。 从 2024年9月24日算起，到 昨天 券商板块整体涨幅超过 4 7 %，而银行板块 超 36 %，保险板块 略超 3 3 %。 再看 2025年4月7日以来的这波反弹，券商也以1 4 %的涨幅，跑赢了银行的 9 %和保险的 5 % ， 而需要注意的是这区间农业银行区间涨幅 接近 57% ， 远超其他大金融个股，后面我们再会详细讲讲它的影响。 这么一看是不是很清晰？券商压根没输，甚至一直是 "隐形冠军"。 那为啥大家总觉得银行保险更能打？这就得说说三类 ...

责任编辑：石秀珍 SF183 临近年底，市场波动可能加大，部分投资者选择获利了结，导致成交量阶段性萎缩、震荡加剧，这属于 正常现象。从投资策略看，在4000点之前的牛市上半场，仓位可以聚焦于高股息板块或科技成长股；进 入下半场后，板块轮动或将加快，"小登股"、"中登股"、"老登股"均可能有机会，配置需更加均衡，可 以避免过度集中，如此进可攻、退可守。在当前关键指数关口，多空分歧加大，信心尤为重要。建议投 资者保持信心，相信这轮慢牛长牛行情将是未来重要的财富增长机遇。最后，建议大家积极学习价值投 资理念，坚持做优质公司的股东，或通过配置优质基金参与市场，力争分享中国经济转型升级与资本市 场发展的长期红利。 （作者系前海开源基金首席经济学家、基金经理） MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ 我认为，4000点之前属于牛市的上半场。在此阶段，科技股一枝独秀，其他板块表现相对低迷，结构性 牛市特征明显。今年A股整体呈现出"哑铃型"结构——这也是我从年初就反复强调的观点。哑铃的一端 是以银行为代表的低估值、高股息板块，另一端则是科技成长股。这两类资产成为今年表现最为突出的 主线。近期，农业银行股价创历史新高，市值跃居 ...

Core Viewpoint - The market is currently at a critical juncture around the 4000-point level, with differing opinions on whether it marks the end or the beginning of a new bull market phase [1][2]. Market Sentiment - Investors are divided on the significance of the 4000-point level, with pessimists viewing it as a potential peak and optimists seeing it as a starting point for further gains [1]. - Recent data indicates a significant increase in new stock accounts, surpassing 25 million this year, suggesting a shift of household savings into the capital market [2]. Sector Focus - The technology sector has been the primary beneficiary of market funds, with a notable performance in hardware companies compared to software firms [3][5]. - Investment interest is shifting towards specific sub-sectors such as humanoid robots, semiconductor technology, and innovative pharmaceuticals, which are expected to drive future growth [3]. Investment Strategy - The current market phase is characterized by a structural bull market, with expectations of transitioning to a more comprehensive bull market in the coming year [2][5]. - Investors are advised to balance their portfolios between high-growth technology stocks and traditional blue-chip stocks, particularly as market conditions evolve [6][7]. Long-term Outlook - The long-term trajectory of the humanoid robot industry is anticipated to follow a similar path to that of the electric vehicle sector, with significant production goals set by companies like Tesla [4]. - The market is expected to maintain a slow bull trend through 2026, encouraging investors to adopt a value investment approach for sustainable growth [7].

Market Performance - Major stock indices in the two markets showed weakness, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below the 4000-point mark again, and the ChiNext and Sci-Tech 50 indices dropping over 1% [1] - As of the midday close, the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.24% to 3993.35 points, the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 1.07%, the ChiNext Index dropped by 1.58%, and the Sci-Tech 50 Index declined by 1.65% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 12,704 billion yuan [1] Sector Performance - Sectors such as semiconductors, chemicals, automobiles, non-ferrous metals, brokerages, and steel experienced declines, while insurance, banking, oil, and pharmaceuticals saw gains [1] - Concepts related to brain engineering and innovative pharmaceuticals were active in the market [1] Investment Outlook - Long-term trends for technology growth stocks show insufficient cost-effectiveness, with increasing short-term fundamental concerns [2] - There is a lack of established structures to lead the market breakout, suggesting that the A-share market may continue to experience a volatile phase [2] - The spring of 2026 is projected to be a potential peak, but it is unlikely to represent the peak for the entire year or the current bull market [2] - Three areas of mid-term returns are anticipated: cyclical improvement in fundamentals, asset allocation shifts towards equities leading to valuation reassessment, and increased global influence of China enhancing economic conditions and valuation [2] - The effective return of the framework of "policy bottom, market bottom, economic bottom" is expected by mid-2026, coinciding with a potential start of a new bull market phase [2]

Market Overview - On November 7, A-shares experienced a slight decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.25% to 3997 points, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.36%, and the ChiNext Index down 0.51% [1] - The total market turnover was 2.02 trillion yuan, a decrease of 557 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with over 3100 stocks declining [1] Sector Performance - The organic silicon sector saw significant gains, with companies like Dongyue Silicon Material and Hesheng Silicon Industry hitting the daily limit [3][5] - The fluorochemical sector also surged, with stocks such as Yongtai Technology and Duofluorite reaching the daily limit [3][5] - The lithium mining sector strengthened, with Shengxin Lithium Energy hitting the daily limit [3] - Conversely, the robotics actuator and reducer sectors declined, with Top Group leading the losses [3] Key Stocks - Notable gainers included: - Dongyue Silicon Material: +20.04% [6] - Huasheng Lithium Battery: +19.16% [6] - Fuxiang Pharmaceutical: +14.01% [6] - The fluorochemical sector saw stocks like Qichuan Chemical and Yongtai Technology also reaching the daily limit [8] Price Trends - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate continued to rise, nearing 120,000 yuan per ton, driven by supply-demand imbalances [7] - The report from Longzhong Information indicated that the market price for lithium hexafluorophosphate fluctuated between 113,800 and 119,800 yuan per ton [7] Industry Insights - The organic silicon industry is undergoing consolidation, with leading polysilicon companies planning to form a consortium to eliminate excess capacity and settle industry debts [5] - The implementation of new energy consumption standards is expected to increase industry concentration by phasing out non-compliant production capacities [5] Future Outlook - According to Shenwan Hongyuan, the spring of 2026 may mark a phase peak, but it is unlikely to be the peak for the entire year [19] - The report suggests that as supply clears, the effective return of "policy bottom, market bottom, and economic bottom" will likely occur, potentially signaling the start of a new market cycle [19]