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中国对外投资不确定性指数(IPU)
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《中国对外开放报告2025》发布会暨学术研讨会圆满召开
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-17 07:45
Core Insights - The report highlights a significant transformation in China's foreign openness, shifting from market-driven to rule-driven approaches, emphasizing the establishment of a new open economic system centered on institutional openness [6] Group 1: Trade Developments - China's total goods trade is projected to reach 43.8 trillion yuan in 2024, accounting for approximately 12.5% of global trade, showcasing resilience despite global economic challenges [7] - The trade structure is continuously optimizing, with an increasing proportion of high-tech and high-value-added product exports [7] - China is enhancing its trade system's resilience through various measures, including deepening regional economic cooperation and promoting green and low-carbon trade transitions [7] Group 2: Service Trade - China has become a global leader in service trade but faces internal and external pressures, including geopolitical factors and regulatory barriers [8] - The report identifies service trade as a key area for future breakthroughs in China's openness, necessitating institutional innovations to align with international standards [8] Group 3: Financial Opening - China is cautiously advancing financial sector openness, capital account liberalization, and the internationalization of the yuan, achieving notable progress [9] - The yuan has become the world's third-largest payment currency and the second-largest trade financing currency, with its functions steadily enhancing [9] - Challenges include balancing efficiency and security amid rising financial protectionism and uncertainties in the international monetary system [9] Group 4: International Technology Cooperation - The global technology cooperation landscape is facing fragmentation and politicization, prompting China to restructure its international technology cooperation framework [10] - There is a shift from a single global innovation network to a focus on regional collaboration and self-sufficiency in key areas [10] Group 5: Foreign Investment - China's foreign investment structure is evolving, characterized by regionalization, greening, and high-end features [11] - The report introduces the "China Foreign Investment Uncertainty Index (IPU)," indicating multifaceted risks in foreign investments, particularly in strategic sectors like AI and biotechnology [11] Group 6: Future Outlook - The report concludes that China is undergoing a profound historical transformation in its foreign openness, aiming to establish a new cooperation framework centered on institutional openness [12] - Key strategies include aligning with international trade rules, enhancing resource allocation capabilities, and strengthening risk prevention systems [12]