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东方财富(300059):2025三季报点评:基金代销收入环比增长,自营投资收益相对承压
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-10-25 12:43
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][6][15] Core Insights - The company's fund distribution revenue has shown a quarter-on-quarter increase, while proprietary investment income is under pressure. The total revenue and net profit attributable to the parent company for the first three quarters of 2025 were 116 billion and 91 billion yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 59% and 51% [6][7] - The report anticipates a slight decline in brokerage market share in Q3, while margin financing market share is expected to increase. Proprietary investment income is projected to decrease due to the impact of the bond market [7][8] - The company is expected to benefit from active trading volumes and a potential recovery in the active equity fund market, leading to an upward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [6][8] Financial Summary - For 2025, the estimated net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 128 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of 33%. The corresponding EPS is expected to be 0.8 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 31.9 times [6][10] - The company's operating revenue for 2025 is estimated at 162.21 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 39.8% [10][11] - The gross profit margin is expected to be 96.6% in 2025, with a net profit margin of 79% [12][13]