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白糖日报-20250616
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 08:46
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core View of the Report - The decline of Zhengzhou sugar is expected to reach a temporary bottom. The overnight surge in crude oil prices led to a rise in energy - chemical commodities this morning, and Zhengzhou sugar rebounded accordingly [8] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **International Sugar Market**: On Thursday, New York raw sugar futures weakened. The main July contract closed down 0.97% to 16.26 cents per pound. The main August contract of London ICE white sugar futures closed down 1.4% to $466.30 per ton. The market is waiting for the production data of the second half of May in the central - southern region of Brazil to be announced by Unica. The intense military conflict between Israel and Iran caused a sharp rise in crude oil prices, which is beneficial to sugar prices [7] - **Domestic Sugar Market**: Yesterday, the main contract of Zhengzhou sugar rebounded after reaching the bottom. The 09 contract closed at 5,664 yuan per ton, up 2 yuan or 0.04%, with an increase of 646 positions. The spot prices in domestic producing areas declined. The price of Kunming sugar was 5,815 yuan, and that of Nanning sugar was 6,015 yuan. During the night session, Zhengzhou sugar continued to decline. The main 09 contract approached the 5,600 mark but then stabilized and rebounded, indicating strong support at this level [7][8] 3.2 Industry News - **Brazilian Sugar Production and Export**: A survey of 20 analysts by S&P Global Commodity Insights shows that the sugarcane crushing volume in the central - southern region of Brazil in the second half of May is expected to increase by 1.2% year - on - year to 45.91 million tons. Sugar production is expected to increase by 4.7% to 2.839 million tons. Ethanol production is expected to decrease by 5.6% year - on - year to 2.005 billion liters. The sugar content of sugarcane (ATR) is expected to decrease by 3.8% year - on - year to 125.17 kg/ton. The ratio of sugarcane to sugar production is expected to be 51.84%, compared with 48.2% in the same period last year. Brazil exported 783,197.58 tons of sugar in the first week of June, with an average daily export volume of 156,639.52 tons, a 2% decrease compared with the average daily export volume in June last year [9] - **Indian Sugar Production**: Indian growers and industry officials said that India will have a sugar production surplus for at least two consecutive years. Due to sufficient rainfall, millions of farmers have expanded the planting area of sugarcane, and the crop yield is expected to increase. The rebound in production will enable India to increase exports in the 2025/26 season [9] - **Domestic Sugar Production and Sales**: In the 24/25 sugar - making season, the cumulative sugar production in Guangdong was 654,500 tons, an increase of 122,800 tons year - on - year. As of the end of May, the cumulative sugar sales in Guangdong were 654,500 tons, an increase of 223,600 tons year - on - year; the industrial inventory was 0 tons, a decrease of 100,800 tons year - on - year; the sales - to - production ratio was 100%, an increase of 18.97% year - on - year. In May, the single - month sugar sales in Guangdong were 3,900 tons. In the 24/25 sugar - making season, the final sugar production in Xinjiang was 814,200 tons, an increase of 255,600 tons year - on - year. As of the end of May, the cumulative sugar sales in Xinjiang were 618,800 tons, an increase of 231,400 tons year - on - year; the sales - to - production ratio was 76%, an increase of 6.65% year - on - year; the industrial inventory was 195,400 tons, an increase of 24,200 tons year - on - year. In May, the single - month sugar sales in Xinjiang were 73,700 tons [9][10] 3.3 Data Overview - The report presents multiple figures and a table showing the trading volume and position changes of the top 20 seats of the main contract of Zhengzhou sugar, including details such as the trading volume, increase or decrease of trading volume, long - position volume, increase or decrease of long - position volume, short - position volume, and increase or decrease of short - position volume of each member [21]