Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to maintain a slow upward trend despite short-term fluctuations, with technology stocks playing a significant role in the rebound [1][2]. Market Outlook - The market is likely in a phase of consolidation before a breakout, with two potential paths: continuing the upward trend or consolidating before challenging previous highs [2]. - Three conditions are necessary for a direct challenge to the previous high of 3674 points: implementation of fiscal stimulus policies, continued global environment easing, and sustained increase in trading volume [2]. Sector Highlights - The A-share market in July is anticipated to be driven by event-based themes, with a high likelihood of sector rotation [3]. - Key sectors to watch include: 1. Consumer expansion and domestic demand, with a focus on dairy products, IP consumption, leisure tourism, and medical aesthetics [3]. 2. Robotics, with a shift from humanoid to quadruped and functional robots, presenting opportunities in sensors and controllers [3]. 3. Semiconductor localization, focusing on semiconductor equipment, wafer manufacturing, materials, and IC design [3]. 4. Military industry, with expectations of order recovery and signs of bottoming out in Q1 reports [3]. 5. Innovative pharmaceuticals, which are expected to see a fundamental turning point in 2025 after a period of adjustment [3]. Market Review - The A-share market showed signs of stabilization and resumed an upward trend, with the ChiNext index rising over 1.7% [4]. - More than 3500 stocks rose, indicating a positive earning effect, with leading sectors including defense, telecommunications, electronics, and pharmaceuticals [4].

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced noticeable fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index briefly falling below the 3500-point mark but recovering to close above it, indicating that the sideways movement since Q4 2024 has ended [1] - The market sentiment regarding trade conflicts has eased, and with the policy window approaching in July, a slow upward trend is expected to continue amidst fluctuations [1] Future Outlook - After breaking the 3500-point level, two potential paths for the market are identified: 1) Continuing the upward trend to challenge the October 2024 high; 2) Consolidating before challenging the 3674-point high [1] - For the market to challenge previous highs, three conditions must be met: 1) Implementation of fiscal stimulus policies; 2) Continued easing of the global environment; 3) Sustained increase in trading volume [1] Sector Analysis - The market is expected to see a thematic event-driven trend in July, with a high likelihood of sector rotation between high and low-performing segments [2] - Key sectors to watch include: 1) Consumer sectors such as dairy, IP consumption, leisure tourism, and medical aesthetics, which are expected to benefit from policies aimed at expanding domestic demand [2] 2) Robotics, with a shift from humanoid to quadruped and functional robots, presenting opportunities in sensors, controllers, and dexterous hands [2] 3) Semiconductor industry, focusing on domestic production across equipment, wafer manufacturing, materials, and IC design [2] 4) Military industry, with expectations of order recovery in 2025, showing signs of bottoming out in Q1 reports [2] 5) Innovative pharmaceuticals, which are anticipated to reach a turning point in fundamentals after a four-year adjustment period, with positive net profit growth since Q3 2024 [2] Market Performance - The market showed signs of consolidation with a decrease in the number of profitable stocks, as only about 1300 stocks rose during the trading session [3] - Leading sectors included telecommunications, computers, electronics, home appliances, and automobiles, while sectors such as coal, agriculture, public utilities, textiles, and beauty care lagged behind [3]