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锦江航运(601083):25Q2预计盈利中值4.4亿,同比+127%,业绩延续高增
Huachuang Securities· 2025-07-15 03:43
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expectation of outperforming the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [18]. Core Insights - The company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 7.95 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 151% [1]. - The second quarter of 2025 is expected to see a net profit of around 4.38 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 127% [1]. - The company continues to strengthen its market position in traditional routes such as Shanghai-Japan and Shanghai-Taiwan, while also expanding its operations in Southeast Asia, contributing to significant profit growth [7]. Financial Performance - For 2025, the total revenue is estimated at 6.773 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 13.5% [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected to be 1.243 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 21.8% compared to 2024 [3]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is expected to be 0.96 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12 [3]. Market Performance - The China Container Freight Index (CCFI) for Japan and Southeast Asia showed a year-on-year increase of 29% in the first half of 2025, while the Taiwan Freight Index (TWFI) increased by 26% [2]. - In the second quarter of 2025, CCFI for Japan rose by 33%, and TWFI for Taiwan increased by 30% [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests an upward revision of the company's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, now estimated at 12.4 billion, 10.5 billion, and 10.5 billion yuan respectively [7]. - The target price for the company's stock is set at 14.4 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 25% from the current price of 11.50 yuan [3][7].