Workflow
产业互补+规则互认
icon
Search documents
自贸区升级拓展合作共赢空间——访新加坡国立大学东亚研究所高级研究员陈波
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-06-04 21:56
Core Viewpoint - The completion of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area 3.0 negotiations is a significant step towards enhancing regional economic cooperation and countering unilateralism and protectionism in global trade [2][6]. Group 1: Strategic Significance - The upgrade of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area 3.0 serves as a strong counteraction to rising unilateralism and protectionism, particularly in light of the U.S. government's trade policies [2]. - China and ASEAN have been each other's largest trading partners for several consecutive years, with bilateral trade reaching 1.71 trillion yuan in the first quarter of this year, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%, accounting for 16.6% of China's foreign trade [2]. Group 2: Trade and Emerging Fields - The 3.0 version establishes a dual-driven mechanism of "industrial complementarity + mutual recognition of rules," facilitating cooperation in sectors like the electronic information industry [2]. - It is projected that by 2024, intermediate goods will account for 67% of bilateral trade, with the upgrade expected to enhance supply chain collaboration efficiency by approximately 15% [2]. Group 3: Digital and Green Economy - The cross-border e-commerce transaction volume between China and ASEAN is expected to exceed 1.2 trillion USD by 2026, with service trade in digital payments anticipated to grow by over 25% [3]. - The establishment of a regional green development fund aims to support ASEAN in developing renewable energy projects, with countries like Vietnam and the Philippines targeting a 35% share of renewable energy by 2030 [3]. Group 4: Supply Chain Resilience - The inclusion of a chapter on supply chain connectivity in the 3.0 version aims to ensure the free flow of key products and services, enhancing infrastructure connectivity to address supply chain disruptions [4]. Group 5: Challenges and Cooperation Deepening - Potential challenges include U.S. pressure and significant developmental disparities within ASEAN. A "classified docking" strategy is suggested to enhance cooperation based on the specific needs of different ASEAN countries [5]. - The global economic recovery remains weak, necessitating the exploration of trade potential through cross-border e-commerce and initiatives like "cross-border consumption vouchers" to stimulate regional circulation [5]. Group 6: Global Trade Cooperation Insights - The China-ASEAN Free Trade Area 3.0 model offers an Asian paradigm for global governance reform, demonstrating the feasibility of multilateralism through consensus and gradual openness [6]. - This model emphasizes economic complementarity rather than exclusivity, aligning with ASEAN's central role and China's collaborative vision, potentially serving as a new driving force for global economic governance [6].