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别再盯着稀土矿了!中国30年布下的产业天网,才是美国最怕的武器
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-16 18:47
Core Viewpoint - The essence of the rare earth industry competition is not merely about resource availability or technological barriers, but rather the complex ecological system that supports rare earth refining [1][3][12]. Group 1: Resource and Technology - The United States holds approximately 10% of the world's rare earth reserves, with the Mountain Pass mine being a significant resource [1]. - The technological gap in rare earth separation and purification processes between the U.S. and China is minimal [1]. Group 2: Ecological System - The refining process of materials like gallium exemplifies the paradox of industrial miracles and resource consumption, requiring substantial raw materials and energy [3]. - China's industrial network effectively utilizes by-products from rare earth refining, significantly reducing comprehensive costs by over 40% [5]. Group 3: Challenges in the U.S. - The U.S. faces critical challenges in rebuilding its rare earth supply chain due to a lack of integrated industries to manage by-products, leading to increased environmental costs [7]. - Historical precedents, such as the bankruptcy of Molycorp, highlight the vulnerabilities of isolated production models in the face of price fluctuations [9]. Group 4: Capital and Investment - The financial implications of establishing a rare earth industry in the U.S. are daunting, with initial investments in the billions and negative cash flow concerns [11]. - The potential for U.S. projects to become reliant on government subsidies raises questions about their long-term viability [11]. Group 5: Global Industry Dynamics - The rare earth dilemma reflects a deeper shift in global industrial power, with China's three-decade investment in a comprehensive rare earth ecosystem creating a formidable competitive advantage [12]. - The real competition in the industry has shifted from mining and laboratory work to the ability to construct and maintain ecological systems [14].