产业生态集成运营
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【上海临港(600848.SH)】产业生态集成运营,厚积薄发价值渐显——2025年三季报点评(何缅南)
光大证券研究· 2025-11-02 00:05
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上海临港(600848):产业生态集成运营 厚积薄发价值渐显
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-01 10:30
Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 3.8 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7.9%, while the total profit reached 1.82 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49.3%, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 74.6% [1][4] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total profit of 1.82 billion yuan, reflecting a 49.3% increase year-on-year [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.1 billion yuan, showing a 74.6% year-on-year growth [4] - The total rental income for the first three quarters was 2.22 billion yuan, with an annualized unit rent of approximately 88.5 yuan per square meter per month, which is a 13.3% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [4] Operational Highlights - As of September 30, 2025, the total leased area of the company's industrial park was approximately 2.788 million square meters [2] - The company has focused on integrated operations in industrial parks, emphasizing innovation and investment in key industries such as integrated circuits, biomedicine, and artificial intelligence [3] - The company has implemented a "fund + direct investment" strategy to enhance its investment in innovative technologies and has supported notable companies like ByteDance and SenseTime [3] Shareholder Returns - The company has maintained a stable dividend payout, with cash dividend ratios of 50.0%, 47.6%, and 46.0% for the years 2022 to 2024, averaging approximately 47.9% [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a dividend yield of about 3.4% to 3.7% for the forecasted earnings from 2025 to 2027, indicating strong attractiveness for investors [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 1.3 billion, 1.35 billion, and 1.42 billion yuan, respectively, up from previous estimates [5] - The current stock price reflects a price-to-earnings ratio of 22, 21, and 20 times for the years 2025-2027, indicating a stable growth outlook [5]