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美线货代跌宕30天
Core Viewpoint - The recent U.S.-China trade negotiations have led to the cancellation of some tariffs, which is expected to revitalize the logistics market, particularly for freight forwarders involved in U.S. routes [1][2][17]. Group 1: Market Impact - Orders for logistics services have surged to more than double the pre-trade war daily average following the announcement of tariff cancellations [1]. - The logistics industry faced a significant downturn in April, with a drastic drop in cargo volumes due to high tariffs, leading to many freight forwarders experiencing severe financial strain [1][3][5]. - Shipping rates fluctuated significantly around the tariff implementation date, with rates dropping sharply after April 9, indicating a direct correlation between tariff policies and shipping demand [4][5]. Group 2: Trade Dynamics - The introduction of "transshipment trade" has increased as companies seek to navigate high tariffs, although regulatory scrutiny has intensified, making this option less viable [1][9][11]. - The U.S. is heavily reliant on Chinese imports, with China accounting for 65% of U.S. apparel imports and 52% of footwear imports, indicating the potential for significant supply chain disruptions due to tariff policies [6]. - The World Trade Organization (WTO) has predicted that the trade tensions could lead to an 80% reduction in trade volume between the U.S. and China [5]. Group 3: Future Opportunities - The recent tariff negotiations have created a sense of optimism among freight forwarders, who are now looking for new opportunities in the market as demand is expected to rebound [2][17]. - Companies are increasingly focusing on global supply chain strategies, with many considering relocating production to Southeast Asia to mitigate tariff impacts [13][14]. - The logistics sector is anticipated to undergo a reshuffling, with successful adaptation to the new trade environment potentially leading to growth opportunities for agile companies [14][19].