Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Views - **Industrial Sector**: In November 2025, industrial profit declined significantly, with a 13.1% year - on - year drop in the profits of large - scale industrial enterprises, mainly due to low PPI, cost pressure, weak demand in some industries, and high inventory pressure. There is a significant industry differentiation, with new kinetic energy industries such as equipment manufacturing and high - tech manufacturing growing rapidly, while traditional industries like upstream resource extraction and some mid - stream raw material manufacturing are under pressure [8]. - **Consumption and Real Estate**: In November 2025, the year - on - year increase in social retail总额 was 1.3%, with service and online consumption as the main growth drivers. The real estate market was under pressure, with both new and second - hand housing prices showing a downward trend in most cities [10]. - **Macroeconomic Indicators**: GDP growth showed certain fluctuations, and different industries had different contributions to GDP growth. Industrial added value, power consumption, and foreign trade also had their own characteristics and trends [13][38][92]. 3. Summary by Directory National Economic Accounting - **GDP Growth**: From 2023 to 2025, GDP quarterly year - on - year growth rates fluctuated. Different industries such as agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, industry, and services had different growth trends. For example, the service industry had a relatively high growth rate in some quarters [13]. - **Contribution to GDP**: Different industries had different contributions to the year - on - year growth of constant - price GDP. The industrial sector generally had a relatively large contribution [18]. Industry - **Industrial Growth**: In November 2025, the added value of large - scale industrial enterprises increased by 4.8% year - on - year and 0.44% month - on - month, with new kinetic energy industries growing significantly faster than the overall level [8]. - **Industrial Production Volume**: The production volumes of major industrial products such as crude oil, coal, and steel showed different trends. For example, in November 2025, the steel output decreased by 2.6% year - on - year [8]. - **Industrial Profit**: From January to November 2025, the total profit of large - scale industrial enterprises was 66268.6 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 0.1%. Different industries had different profit situations, with some industries like computer, communication, and other electronic equipment manufacturing showing growth, while others like coal mining and washing showed a decline [8][42]. - **Industrial Inventory**: As of the end of October 2025, the finished - product inventory of large - scale industrial enterprises reached 6.82 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.7%. The inventory levels of different industries varied, with the inventory of the mining industry decreasing significantly and that of the mid - and downstream manufacturing industries increasing slightly [8][53]. Price Index - **CPI**: In November 2025, the national consumer price index increased by 0.7% year - on - year. Food prices increased by 0.2%, and non - food prices increased by 0.8% [60]. - **PPI**: In November 2025, the national industrial producer price index decreased by 2.2% year - on - year, with a month - on - month increase of 0.1%. Production material prices decreased by 2.4%, and living material prices decreased by 1.5% [68]. Real Estate - **New Residential Prices**: In November 2025, new residential prices in first - tier cities decreased by 1.2% year - on - year, with significant differentiation among cities. Second - and third - tier cities also saw price declines [78]. - **Second - hand Residential Prices**: In November 2025, second - hand residential prices in first - tier cities decreased by 5.8% year - on - year, and second - and third - tier cities also showed year - on - year declines [83]. Foreign Trade and Investment - **Import and Export**: In November 2025, China's total import and export value was 520.63 billion US dollars, a year - on - year decrease of 0.3%. Exports were 305.35 billion US dollars, a year - on - year decrease of 1.1%, and imports were 215.28 billion US dollars, a year - on - year increase of 1.0% [92]. - **Key Commodity Trade**: The export and import volumes of key commodities such as agricultural products, industrial raw materials, and mechanical and electrical products showed different trends [100][101]. Fixed - Asset Investment - **Overall Investment**: From January to November 2025, the national fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) was 44403.5 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 2.6%. There were differences in investment among different industries, with the first industry showing growth, the second industry having a certain increase, and the third industry showing a decline [115]. - **Real Estate Investment**: From January to November 2025, real estate development investment was 7859.1 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 15.9%. The construction, new construction, completion, and sales areas of real estate also showed downward trends [123]. Domestic Trade - **Retail Sales**: The growth rate of social consumer goods retail总额 and service retail sales showed certain trends, with service and online consumption driving growth. The retail sales of different categories of products also had different performance [157][164]. Transportation - **Freight and Passenger Transport**: The freight and passenger transport volumes of different transportation modes such as rail, road, water, and air showed different trends. The freight rates of shipping also had fluctuations [167][178]. Banking and Currency - **Social Financing**: The new social financing scale and its components, as well as the year - on - year growth rate of social financing stock, showed different trends. The growth rates of M1 and M2 also changed, with the M1 - M2 scissors - difference showing a certain trend [182][198]. - **Interest Rates and Exchange Rates**: The central bank emphasized reasonable interest rate control to promote a stable decline in the financing cost of the real economy. The exchange rate of the RMB against the US dollar and the US dollar index also showed certain trends [207][217]. Fiscal and Employment - **Fiscal Revenue and Expenditure**: The general public fiscal revenue and expenditure of the central and local governments showed different trends. Fiscal revenue included tax and non - tax revenues, and fiscal expenditure included infrastructure and people's livelihood - related expenditures [232][233]. - **Employment**: The urban surveyed unemployment rate and the number of new urban employment showed certain trends [238]. Business Surveys - **Global Manufacturing PMI**: The global manufacturing PMI showed certain fluctuations, with different countries and regions having different performance [241]. - **China's Manufacturing and Non - Manufacturing PMI**: In November 2025, China's manufacturing PMI was 49.2%, showing a slight recovery but still in the contraction range. The non - manufacturing business activity index was 49.5%, in the contraction range [244][252]. US Macroeconomy - **GDP Growth**: The US real GDP showed different growth rates in different quarters, with private consumption, investment, and net exports having different contributions [259]. - **Employment**: The US new non - farm employment and unemployment rate showed certain trends [262]. - **Treasury Yields**: The yields of US Treasury bonds of different maturities and their yield curve inversion degree showed certain trends [267]. - **Retail Sales**: The year - on - year growth rate of US retail and food service sales showed certain trends, with different categories of products having different performance [270].