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申洲国际(02313):2025上半年收入增长15%,积极海外推动一体化产能建设
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-28 11:13
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][37] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 14.97 billion HKD for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.3%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.18 billion HKD, up 8.4% year-on-year [1][10] - The gross margin decreased by 1.9 percentage points to 27.1%, primarily due to increased labor costs from wage hikes for frontline workers and a significant rise in tax expenses [1][10] - The company maintained a high dividend payout, declaring an interim dividend of 1.38 HKD per share, a 10.4% increase from the previous year, with a payout ratio of approximately 59.6% [1][10] Revenue Performance - Revenue growth by product category showed that casual wear sales increased by 37.4%, while sportswear and underwear grew by 9.9% and 4.1%, respectively [2][22] - All four major clients experienced revenue growth, with Client A, B, C, and D increasing by 27.4%, 6.0%, 28.2%, and 14.7% respectively [2][24] - International markets showed strong demand, with sales in the US, Europe, and Japan growing by 35.8%, 19.9%, and 18.1% respectively, while domestic sales declined by 2.1% [2][28] Competitive Positioning - The company's growth outperformed that of its major clients, indicating an increase in market share, particularly as Nike is expected to recover in the coming year [3][32] - The company is the largest player in the industry and continues to enhance its competitive advantage, with significant capital expenditures aimed at expanding integrated production capabilities [3][35] - The new garment factory in Cambodia has commenced operations, and a second fabric factory in Vietnam is expected to start production by the end of the year, enhancing vertical integration and supply chain efficiency [3][35] Financial Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 6.576 billion HKD, 7.461 billion HKD, and 8.403 billion HKD for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 5.4%, 13.4%, and 12.6% [4][38] - The target price is set between 75 and 82 HKD, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of 16-17.5x for 2025 [4][37]