Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining International (02259) has seen a significant increase in stock price due to its inclusion in the Hong Kong Stock Connect and the Hang Seng Index, indicating strong market confidence and potential growth opportunities [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Zijin Mining International's stock rose over 5% in early trading, currently up 4.93% at HKD 149, with a trading volume of HKD 1.031 billion [1] - The company is set to be included in multiple indices, including the Hang Seng Composite Index and the Hang Seng Composite Industry Index for Materials, effective from October 16 [1] Group 2: Growth Projections - UBS forecasts that Zijin Mining International's production will achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20% from 2025 to 2027, increasing total production from 45 tons to 65 tons [1] - The company is expected to see a 30% CAGR in profits during the same period, driven by the expansion of current projects and existing mines [1] - By the fiscal year 2027, Zijin Mining International could become the largest gold mining company listed in Hong Kong or A-shares, with a target production of 100 tons by 2030, reflecting a 17% CAGR from 2025 to 2030 [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS initiates coverage on Zijin Mining International with a "Buy" rating, citing strong profit growth and quality assurance, setting a target price of HKD 189, which implies a 30x P/E ratio for 2026, a premium over the 15-25x range for Hong Kong/China gold mining companies [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Zijin Mining International holds interests in nine mines across Central Asia, Australia, South America, and Africa [1] - The company is expected to potentially become the largest listed gold miner in Hong Kong or mainland China by FY2027, surpassing Shandong Gold and Zhongjin Gold, driven by the doubling of production at Akyem and RG gold mines [1] Group 2: Growth Projections - Through acquisition plans, Zijin Mining International aims for a 17% compound annual growth rate in production from FY2025 to FY2030, targeting a production goal of 100 tons by 2030 [1] - UBS forecasts the company's earnings to grow from USD 1.3 billion in 2025 to USD 2.2 billion in 2027, reflecting a 30% compound annual growth rate; operational revenues are projected at USD 4.9 billion, USD 6.8 billion, and USD 7.4 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1]