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美银证券:料铝业公司享电力成本优势 升中国宏桥(01378)及中国铝业(02600)盈测及目标价
智通财经网· 2025-11-11 05:35
美银证券将中国宏桥(01378)2026至2030年盈利预测上调5%至14%,目标价从35港元升至38港元,重 申"买入"评级。另外,该行亦将中国铝业(02600)今明两年盈利预测上调1%及27%,目标价由10港元升 至11.9港元,亦重申"买入"评级,预期在赋能人工智能及数据中心发展主题下,铝业板块估值具吸引 力。 美银证券发布研报称,考虑到中国电价较印度低20%,较美国及欧洲低出介乎30%至60%,认为中国铝 业公司在电力成本上具显著优势,每吨生产成本或低1,200至3,600元人民币。目前海外市场正面对电力 短缺及电价上升的困境,而中国电力供应量充足,该行预期未来几年相关成本优势将扩大,目前中国铝 供应已达4,500万吨的上限,相信全球高成本生产将为中国铝价提供支持,并推动企业2025至2027年利 润率进一步扩张。 ...
大行评级丨美银:中国铝业公司在电力成本上有优势 上调中国宏桥和中国铝业目标价
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-11 02:44
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities reports that China Aluminum Corporation has a significant cost advantage in electricity, with production costs potentially lower by 1,200 to 3,600 RMB per ton compared to global competitors due to lower electricity prices in China [1] Group 1: Cost Advantages - China's electricity prices are approximately 20% lower than India's and 30% to 60% lower than those in the US and Europe, providing a competitive edge for Chinese aluminum producers [1] - The report anticipates that the cost advantage will expand in the coming years as overseas markets face electricity shortages and rising prices, while China's electricity supply remains sufficient [1] Group 2: Supply and Profitability Outlook - Current aluminum supply in China has reached a limit of 45 million tons, which is expected to support global aluminum prices and enhance profit margins for Chinese companies from 2025 to 2027 [1] - Bank of America Securities has raised its profit forecasts for China Hongqiao for 2026 to 2030 by 5% to 14%, increasing the target price from 35 HKD to 38 HKD, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] - The profit forecasts for China Aluminum have been adjusted upward by 1% and 27% for the next two years, with the target price increased from 10 HKD to 11.9 HKD, also maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 3: Industry Valuation - The aluminum sector is viewed as attractive in terms of valuation, particularly in the context of developments in artificial intelligence and data centers [1]