优质消费类资产价值重估

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商业地产行业点评:大悦城地产拟私有化,优质商场迎价值重估
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-08-01 07:38
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [3] Core Viewpoints - The proposed privatization of Dayuecheng Real Estate is expected to lead to a significant revaluation of quality commercial properties, enhancing the ownership concentration of Dayuecheng in premium shopping centers [3][4] - The privatization transaction is valued at a price-to-book (PB) ratio of only 0.27 times, which is considered low, and is anticipated to increase Dayuecheng's net assets by approximately 25% [3][4] - The transaction is seen as a recognition of the value of quality commercial assets by industrial capital, potentially leading to a revaluation of premium consumer-related assets in the market [3][4] Summary by Sections Privatization Details - Dayuecheng's shareholding in Dayuecheng Real Estate will increase from 64% to 96.1% post-privatization, significantly enhancing its stake in quality commercial properties [3] - The total share capital of Dayuecheng Real Estate is 15.33 billion shares, with Dayuecheng holding 9.13 billion shares (64.2%) and market shareholders holding 4.73 billion shares (33.2%) [3] Financial Projections - Dayuecheng Real Estate's rental and related service income for 2024 is projected to be 4.18 billion RMB, primarily from shopping centers, with an average occupancy rate of 95% [3] - The privatization is expected to increase Dayuecheng's net assets by 2.62 billion RMB, representing 24.7% of the projected net assets for 2024 [3] Market Implications - The privatization is likely to attract attention to the valuation of quality commercial real estate assets in China, with potential implications for companies like China Resources Land, Longfor Group, and New Town Holdings [3] - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors, recommending companies with strong product capabilities and those with undervalued recovery potential [3][4]