智利《信使报》12月16日报道，拉加经委会今日发布年度报告，将智利2025年的经济 增长预测从2.6%小幅下调至2.5%，同时维持2026年增长2.2%的预期。这一调整是在区 域经济整体动力不足的背景下作出的。报告指出，拉丁美洲和加勒比地区正陷入"低增 长陷阱"，预计2025年和2026年区域整体增长率将分别为2.4%和2.3%，该地区将连续四 年保持约2.3%的低速增长。主要增长引擎——私人消费和外部需求预计将在2026年失 去动力，就业创造速度也将放缓。在主要国家中，委内瑞拉、巴拉圭和阿根廷的增长 率领先，而墨西哥和玻利维亚的预期较低。拉加经委会警告，未来增长面临全球宏观 经济波动、美国货币政策及内部债务压力等多重风险，并呼吁各国推动生产转型以提 升增长潜力。 （原标题：拉加经委会调低智利2025年增长预期） ...

Core Insights - The United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) has raised its economic growth forecast for Latin America in 2025 by 0.2 percentage points to 2.4% [1] - Chile's growth rate forecast has been increased from 2.4% in August to 2.6% [1] - Venezuela is expected to lead the region with a growth rate of 6%, followed by Paraguay at 4.5% and Argentina at 4.3% [1] - Mexico (0.6%) and Bolivia (1%) are at the lower end of the growth spectrum, while Cuba (-1.5%) and Haiti (-2.3%) are the only economies projected to experience negative growth [1] - Despite external pressures from tariff policies implemented during Trump's administration, an improved international environment has led to the third revision of growth expectations [1] - The report warns that the region remains trapped in a "low growth trap," with an average growth rate of only 1.6% projected from 2017 to 2026 [1] - ECLAC calls for accelerated production transformation, increased productivity, and the creation of quality jobs to overcome the current economic challenges [1]