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A股反弹来到什么位置?6月行情怎么看?
天天基金网· 2025-06-11 11:15
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has rebounded significantly, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising from around 3000 points to over 3400 points, indicating a recovery from previous lows [1][2]. Group 1: Current Market Situation - The current market dynamics are characterized by a "volume surge followed by a volume contraction" pattern, similar to an athlete's intermittent sprinting [6]. - There are two structural contradictions affecting the market: insufficient incremental capital and ongoing external uncertainties, such as tariffs, which have shifted investor sentiment from enthusiasm to hesitation [7]. - Despite these challenges, most indices are within a reasonable valuation range, suggesting a certain level of safety [7][8]. Group 2: June Market Outlook - The market is currently in a state of uncertainty, with expectations for June being influenced by mid-year earnings forecasts, policy expectations, and global liquidity trends [13]. - A diversified investment strategy is recommended, focusing on low-volatility dividend assets and technology sectors that have regained valuation appeal [14][18]. - Gold is suggested as a hedge during periods of market volatility [21]. Group 3: Response Strategies - Investors are advised to maintain balanced portfolios and avoid overcommitting to a single sector, as market sentiment remains divided between growth and value styles [23]. - It is crucial to manage positions carefully, avoiding extremes of being fully invested or completely out of the market, to enhance the likelihood of capturing trends [24]. - Historical data indicates that a significant portion of capital market returns is generated during a small percentage of trading time, emphasizing the importance of remaining engaged in the market [25][26].